South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2020 onwards

[Eskimo]

Latest Arpege out now. I mean...how can a run differ so much when the conditions that it's trying to model are literally happening at this very point. 

[lottiekent]

32.3mm of rain here today, most of that this evening. Currently 7.7c, DP is 7.2c

A lot cooler to the west though! 

[sheikhy]

Im sorry but this surely is going straight through london and is further west than the ecm!!its pivoting already!

[Nick F]

A fair nudge west by UKV over last 24hrs of 3 hourly runs.

This is current 18z run for 3am tonight

This is yesterday's 18z run for 3am tonight.

GFS also been edging west over subsequent runs. While EC been edging east, but maybe a tad too far east

Goes to show models don't handle frontal waves too well.

Edited December 3, 2020 by Nick F

[sheikhy]

3 minutes ago, Nick F said:

A fair nudge west by UKV over last 24hrs of 3 hourly runs.

This is current 18z run for 3am tonight

This is yesterday's 18z run for 3am tonight.

GFS also been edging west over subsequent runs. While EC been edging east, but maybe a tad too far east

Goes to show models don't handle frontal waves too well.

Wow that looks identical to the ecm 12z yesterday

[SMU]

All we need is the 00z UKV to go red !

PPN now knocking on the door -

Temp stationary. 3.3c Still.

Edited December 3, 2020 by Steve Murr

[Jamie M]

Typical. 

[weathergeek]

Here in Ashtead (near Epsom), we dropped to 3.6c, then went back up, then went down to 3.9c again and now it's started raining and gone back up to 4.5c!! Possible sleet in the early hours but other than that, not expecting much.... but will be checking local hills in the morning, just in case!!

[SMU]

3.5C here. - Awaiting the turn... At least I have made it into the PPN !

[Daniel*]

It’s definitely turning been dry in my part of London but not for long. 

[lassie23]

bbc says rain with a bit of sleety stuff mixed in, lol

[Kentspur]

3 hours ago, Daniel* said:

UKV suggests widespread transition 2am.

With 40mins to go its plain old rain across the region according to netweather radar currently temps 4.8c here way too high sleet at best here by rush hour oh well it's only way December 

[Met4Cast]

2 minutes ago, Kentspur said:

With 40mins to go its plain old rain across the region according to netweather radar currently temps 4.8c here way too high sleet at best here by rush hour oh well it's only way December 

Unfortunately dew points are well above what they need to be for any snowfall, even the N Kent Downs is struggling to see anything wintry, as largely expected. This is why it's important to look at the parameters rather than relying on the precip charts like some, it never looked favourable for us in the SE.

[Kentspur]

3 minutes ago, Met4Cast said:

Unfortunately dew points are well above what they need to be for any snowfall, even the N Kent Downs is struggling to see anything wintry, as largely expected. This is why it's important to look at the parameters rather than relying on the precip charts like some, it never looked favourable for us in the SE.

Any chance the temps and dew points will lower as the BBC and Met apps do show this by the rush hour?

[cookie27]

Agree dew point too higjnatm.. But look at Cornwall, it's drop to - 3 in 3hrs and heading this way 

[Kentspur]

5 minutes ago, cookie27 said:

Agree dew point too higjnatm.. But look at Cornwall, it's drop to - 3 in 3hrs and heading this way 

Start of a renewed temp drop? I've gone from 4.9c which was stable for a while to now 4.7c off to bed night all lets hope for a surprise ❄

[Mapantz]

Anybody under that?

[cookie27]

Just what I was thinking.. Huge area of heavy something 

[jamesgold]

Still nothing resembling a snowflake here in Bromley, just lots and lots of rain

[Ackkers]

Heavy snow here at Silver Hill Salehurst  East Sussex. Settling now. Temp 0.7 dp 0.0c on my vantage pro2. I’m at 110m

Edited December 4, 2020 by Ackkers

[Snipper]

Very wet here at the mo. 
 

Might change to wet snow. 

[Ackkers]

Now 0.4C dp -0.1 and moderate snow. Everything turning white as it’s settling easily. Location details above

[cookie27]

Definitely a little more sleety here

[westHimalayanfoothills]

7 minutes ago, cookie27 said:

Definitely a little more sleety here

Bro nothing in stratford

[Daniel*]

Well dew point has began falling I don’t hold out much hope here not that I did in first place, but nice to hear other reports of it turning to snow within last hour.