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Just been on Sky News at 2pm talking to Colin Brazier about the Hurricane decent little interview didnt big it up too much as it was thankfully not as bad as expected with the storm surge etc

If Josh Morgerman is telling people to get out, you know this thing is bad - he doesn't quit on any hurricane.  

The power of Nature...

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11 minutes ago, matty40s said:

Dont forget, Michael went from Tropical Depression to Cat 5 in 48 hours in 2018.

Wasn't Michael expected to make landfall as a 4 and then intensified further just before landfall? 

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11 minutes ago, FetchCB said:

Wasn't Michael expected to make landfall as a 4 and then intensified further just before landfall? 

NHC only started to monitor Michael as they thought it might affect the Yucatan or Cuba on 6th October, it was named as potential cyclone 14 at 9pm...next day forming TD14, progressing to Cat5 by 17.30 on the 9th....only just before landfall.

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I was in Cuba when Michael hit. Bearing in mind we were hundreds of miles away from Havana we still experienced strong winds for 48 hours. Strong enough to down some trees. I knew at that point Michael was going to be a lot bigger than was being suggested. Rest of the time the weather was glorious. Flying home at night, it was odd to see large swathes of Florida in darkness from the power cuts. Very eerie.

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1 minute ago, Ryukai said:

Watching Live storm media and you know it's bad when all the Stormchasers are moving AWAY from the main impact area...

Can i ask the link to the website please?

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17 minutes ago, Lauren said:

I was in Cuba when Michael hit. Bearing in mind we were hundreds of miles away from Havana we still experienced strong winds for 48 hours. Strong enough to down some trees. I knew at that point Michael was going to be a lot bigger than was being suggested. Rest of the time the weather was glorious. Flying home at night, it was odd to see large swathes of Florida in darkness from the power cuts. Very eerie.

Was looking about Michael earlier. If you go into Street View via Google Earth (not Maps) at Mexico Beach in Florida, all the imagery was taken in Oct 2018 immediately after the hurricane. 

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5 minutes ago, Skullzrulerz said:

Can i ask the link to the website please?

https://livestormchasing.com/map  *Live Storm Chasing, not media, sorry.  Watching Brad Arnold atm, he has sound on and you can hear him occasionally talking to the other chasers.  He's heading out of the main area to Port Arthur along with a bunch of other chasers.

Edited by Ryukai
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12 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

944 MB !!!

944 is bang on the figure for Cat 4 extreme 

Central pressure 920 to 944 mb or 27.17 to 27.88 in    

Winds 131 to 155 mph or 114 to 135 kts    

Surge 13 to 18 feet

Edited by MAF
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May have to revise that earlier forecast, I think Cat 5 is a possibility now, so many hurricanes are now going through these phases of rapid intensification. Seems like the models can't keep up. So many hurricanes also surpass model expectations now. Only hurricane I remember where there was high confidence of a cat 5 from the models in recent times was Irma back in 2017.

Edited by Quicksilver1989
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2 hours ago, summer blizzard said:

Lake Charles is probably the worst hit major population center. Will get the NE quad and the storm surge.

Brandon Copic in Lake Charles, just trying to get permission to stay in a 3rd level car park for the duration......nuts

 

Edited to add, looks like he got permission, hes on the top floor now.

Edited by matty40s
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