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24 minutes ago, Boro Snow said:

Reed Timmer and Michael Phelps are on the ground and worth watching 

You got any links, I know Reed Timmer had a website, but that seems to have vanished 😕 and a quick search for Michael just brings up info on the Olympic swimmer.

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Just been on Sky News at 2pm talking to Colin Brazier about the Hurricane decent little interview didnt big it up too much as it was thankfully not as bad as expected with the storm surge etc

If Josh Morgerman is telling people to get out, you know this thing is bad - he doesn't quit on any hurricane.  

The power of Nature...

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15 minutes ago, Ryukai said:

You got any links, I know Reed Timmer had a website, but that seems to have vanished 😕 and a quick search for Michael just brings up info on the Olympic swimmer.

Follow them on Facebook 

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39 minutes ago, Ryukai said:

You got any links, I know Reed Timmer had a website, but that seems to have vanished 😕 and a quick search for Michael just brings up info on the Olympic swimmer.

I think the Olympic swimmer tag is going to be a real plus tomorrow morning.

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30 minutes ago, Boro Snow said:

Follow them on Facebook 

Ahhh, not for me then, as I don't do Stalkerbook.  I'll stick with hunting down webcams 😛

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3 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

More Recon on the way.

Still 30% chance of CAT 5 > we need about 3-4 more hours of steady deepening....

At least a high end CAT 4.  Landfall coinciding with high tides.  Low lying area... can't get a lot worse to be honest.

 

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Coastal resorts will be very confused - Low tide due so water level should be receeding yet its rising !

Recon 100 Miles away already readling Hurricane winds at flight level.

If sadistically you are thinking CAT 5 then dropsonde data needs to be > 125KT really as the clock is winding down...

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Brett Adair and others usually appear on here...https://livestormchasing.com/map

Bob Pack is streaming already.

Brett's journey into Mexico Beach Fl during Hurricane Michael was one of the most exciting and scary things I have every watched.....he and his crew jumped from the car as the storm surge got higher and the car continued to stream as it was washed away down the street.

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4 minutes ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

When u see the word unsurvivable in a warning 🙏

 

They've changed it from catastrophic? 

Possibly a change for the better if so 

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10 minutes ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

When u see the word unsurvivable in a warning 🙏

 

Water level stations in New Orleans are already into the 'minor flooding' highlighted zone and are getting close to the 'moderate flooding' zone 😕

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5 minutes ago, summer blizzard said:

Lake Charles is probably the worst hit major population center. Will get the NE quad and the storm surge.

On it's current track, you're right.  Population is around 80,000, so of course not the impact of a hit to Houston or New Orleans, but very serious all the same.  The below storm surge prediction for Lake Charles says it all!

image.thumb.png.12f95edf16df57aa0d1b56f1a2b7ea63.png

 

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12 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

120 KT found by recon.

That midway CAT 4..... 

12 hours to landfall > 4-6 hours left for 17KT....

Still possible

Yeah it's going to be a close call. I think it's just going to fall short BUT even if it held current strength at 120kts it'd be the 2nd strongest landfalling hurricane on US soil since Andrew, only behind Michael of 18 I believe. Imo around 130kts looking around the mark.

Not impossible to squeeze a cat5 still.

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SPECIAL BULLETIN FROM THE OFFICE OF THE WEATHER DIRECTOR
13L - Hurricane Laura

The purpose of this bulletin is to highlight the extreme threat that Laura poses to Texas and Louisiana. 

Storm surge: Expect storm surge extending up to 30 miles inland and up to 9 feet above ground level... the worst flooding will occur along the shoreline...

Rainfall: Expect rainfall exceeding 10 inches around the zone where the eye moves ashore with lesser amounts fanning outward. 

Winds: Expect very destructive winds around 1-3 miles inland as the storm moves ashore. Hurricane-force winds will occur over a large area, but the most destructive winds are usually confined to a smaller region.

Forecast:

Current intensity... 120 knots (140 mph)
2100Z... 130 knots (150 mph)
0000Z... 135 knots  (155 mph)
LANDFALL... 135 knots (155 mph)

*NOTE THAT THIS IS MY FORECAST, NOT THE OFFICIAL NHC ONE.

Revised at 1749Z for updated intensity

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