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Posted
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Storms, Snow Thunder, Supercells, all weather extremes
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level
15 minutes ago, Ryukai said:

You got any links, I know Reed Timmer had a website, but that seems to have vanished  and a quick search for Michael just brings up info on the Olympic swimmer.

Follow them on Facebook 

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Posted
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: All
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
39 minutes ago, Ryukai said:

You got any links, I know Reed Timmer had a website, but that seems to have vanished  and a quick search for Michael just brings up info on the Olympic swimmer.

I think the Olympic swimmer tag is going to be a real plus tomorrow morning.

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Posted
  • Location: Stoke-on-Trent, Norton. 549ft (167m) ASL
  • Location: Stoke-on-Trent, Norton. 549ft (167m) ASL
30 minutes ago, Boro Snow said:

Follow them on Facebook 

Ahhh, not for me then, as I don't do Stalkerbook.  I'll stick with hunting down webcams

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

968 to 956mb between the morning and afternoon updates. Rapid rate of strengthening.

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Posted
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: All
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District

Getting a tad breezy

 

Edited by Had Worse
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Posted
  • Location: Clacton-on-Sea, Essex
  • Location: Clacton-on-Sea, Essex
3 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

More Recon on the way.

Still 30% chance of CAT 5 > we need about 3-4 more hours of steady deepening....

At least a high end CAT 4.  Landfall coinciding with high tides.  Low lying area... can't get a lot worse to be honest.

 

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Posted
  • Location: Stoke-on-Trent, Norton. 549ft (167m) ASL
  • Location: Stoke-on-Trent, Norton. 549ft (167m) ASL

Throws tide gauge/water level monitoring site at you all

https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/inundationdb/storm/Laura.html

Despite the fact that the tide is going out, many stations are showing 2feet above what it should be and rising.

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Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,Thunderstorms mix both for heaven THUNDERSNOW 😜😀🤤🥰
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL

When u see the word unsurvivable in a warning

 

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Coastal resorts will be very confused - Low tide due so water level should be receeding yet its rising !

Recon 100 Miles away already readling Hurricane winds at flight level.

If sadistically you are thinking CAT 5 then dropsonde data needs to be > 125KT really as the clock is winding down...

Edited by Steve Murr
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Posted
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
  • Weather Preferences: extremes n snow
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...

Brett Adair and others usually appear on here...https://livestormchasing.com/map

Bob Pack is streaming already.

Brett's journey into Mexico Beach Fl during Hurricane Michael was one of the most exciting and scary things I have every watched.....he and his crew jumped from the car as the storm surge got higher and the car continued to stream as it was washed away down the street.

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Posted
  • Location: Home :Peterborough Work : St Ives
  • Location: Home :Peterborough Work : St Ives
4 minutes ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

When u see the word unsurvivable in a warning

 

They've changed it from catastrophic? 

Possibly a change for the better if so 

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

Lake Charles is probably the worst hit major population center. Will get the NE quad and the storm surge.

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Posted
  • Location: Stoke-on-Trent, Norton. 549ft (167m) ASL
  • Location: Stoke-on-Trent, Norton. 549ft (167m) ASL
10 minutes ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

When u see the word unsurvivable in a warning

 

Water level stations in New Orleans are already into the 'minor flooding' highlighted zone and are getting close to the 'moderate flooding' zone

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Posted
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes, Thunderstorms and blizzards please!
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex
5 minutes ago, summer blizzard said:

Lake Charles is probably the worst hit major population center. Will get the NE quad and the storm surge.

On it's current track, you're right.  Population is around 80,000, so of course not the impact of a hit to Houston or New Orleans, but very serious all the same.  The below storm surge prediction for Lake Charles says it all!

image.thumb.png.12f95edf16df57aa0d1b56f1a2b7ea63.png

 

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Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
12 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

120 KT found by recon.

That midway CAT 4..... 

12 hours to landfall > 4-6 hours left for 17KT....

Still possible

Yeah it's going to be a close call. I think it's just going to fall short BUT even if it held current strength at 120kts it'd be the 2nd strongest landfalling hurricane on US soil since Andrew, only behind Michael of 18 I believe. Imo around 130kts looking around the mark.

Not impossible to squeeze a cat5 still.

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Posted
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
  • Weather Preferences: extremes n snow
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...

Dont forget, Michael went from Tropical Depression to Cat 5 in 48 hours in 2018.

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Posted
  • Location: St Austell,Cornwall
  • Location: St Austell,Cornwall

SPECIAL BULLETIN FROM THE OFFICE OF THE WEATHER DIRECTOR
13L - Hurricane Laura

The purpose of this bulletin is to highlight the extreme threat that Laura poses to Texas and Louisiana. 

Storm surge: Expect storm surge extending up to 30 miles inland and up to 9 feet above ground level... the worst flooding will occur along the shoreline...

Rainfall: Expect rainfall exceeding 10 inches around the zone where the eye moves ashore with lesser amounts fanning outward. 

Winds: Expect very destructive winds around 1-3 miles inland as the storm moves ashore. Hurricane-force winds will occur over a large area, but the most destructive winds are usually confined to a smaller region.

Forecast:

Current intensity... 120 knots (140 mph)
2100Z... 130 knots (150 mph)
0000Z... 135 knots  (155 mph)
LANDFALL... 135 knots (155 mph)

*NOTE THAT THIS IS MY FORECAST, NOT THE OFFICIAL NHC ONE.

Revised at 1749Z for updated intensity

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Posted
  • Location: East Lothian
  • Weather Preferences: Not too hot, excitement of snow, a hoolie
  • Location: East Lothian

The wording is grim in the NHC broadcasts.

Now a Category 4 hurricane, Laura is closing in on the southern United States   https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/10438-major-hurricane-laura-and-the-southern-united-states

aug26laurasatGOMwide.png

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Posted
  • Location: Home :Peterborough Work : St Ives
  • Location: Home :Peterborough Work : St Ives
11 minutes ago, matty40s said:

Dont forget, Michael went from Tropical Depression to Cat 5 in 48 hours in 2018.

Wasn't Michael expected to make landfall as a 4 and then intensified further just before landfall? 

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