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Storms and Convective discussion- 15th August onwards


Supacell

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Posted
  • Location: Takeley, Bishop's Stortford, CM22, 104m(340ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Anything extreme!
  • Location: Takeley, Bishop's Stortford, CM22, 104m(340ft) ASL

Torrential rain for the first time in, well, weeks. To the south (of SE12) has just piped up. 

Baby having a nap. I'm so conflicted right now!

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Posted
  • Location: Stoke-on-Trent, Norton. 549ft (167m) ASL
  • Location: Stoke-on-Trent, Norton. 549ft (167m) ASL
7 hours ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

Last heard and saw one of them in Majorca a few years back. The flash was followed by about 5 or 6 unmistakeable sonic booms all within about 3-4 seconds and then an ambient roar for over one minute! You know when one of them has hit that’s for sure. Tends to set the alarms off everywhere for fun! 

If it's Sonic BOOMS you like check the vid below, posted it a few days ago, but it probably got lost in the thread considering how everything was kicking off at the time   It was about 7 mins of positive after positive after positive!  The previous cell that passed over was launching bolts across miles of sky into this one, so no idea if it was affecting the charge somehow (draining the - and only leaving + to build up ???).  The doors were physically rattling in their frames, and if you whack the sound up to max at the 6 min mark you can hear them 'buzz' (I'm amazed my crappy phone cam picked it up  ).  Had my hand on the window too (keeping the camera steady) and could feel it bowing inwards under the pressure   

 

 

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Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire

Saw this earlier. How much smaller can a tower be?

72E091BD-DAC5-42AF-818C-78C891D07EF7.jpeg

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Posted
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and breezy with a bit of cloud, about 20C
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex

Hearing something, not sure if it’s wind or thunder...

Just checked lightningmaps, it’s thunder!

Edited by Thunderstruck
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Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, plumes, snow, severe weather
  • Location: Bedfordshire

Stunning clouds to my south. Wonder if it might go bang soon.

And just as I finish typing that a sferic has popped up near Luton.

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Posted
  • Location: Takeley, Bishop's Stortford, CM22, 104m(340ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Anything extreme!
  • Location: Takeley, Bishop's Stortford, CM22, 104m(340ft) ASL
Just now, Thunderstruck said:

Hearing something, not sure if it’s wind or thunder...

Definitely thunder, looking at the radar.

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Posted
  • Location: Rushden. Northamptonshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Rushden. Northamptonshire
Just now, Zak M said:

Stunning clouds to my south. Wonder if it might go bang soon.

And just as I finish typing that a sferic has popped up near Luton.

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Please just hold a little longer, wanting my washing to dry today lol!

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Posted
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and breezy with a bit of cloud, about 20C
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex
1 minute ago, Mark said:

Definitely thunder, looking at the radar.

Yeah it is, pretty frequent too. Seemed to come out of pretty much nowhere 

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Posted
  • Location: Stoke-on-Trent, Norton. 549ft (167m) ASL
  • Location: Stoke-on-Trent, Norton. 549ft (167m) ASL
3 minutes ago, matt111 said:

Saw this earlier. How much smaller can a tower be?

72E091BD-DAC5-42AF-818C-78C891D07EF7.jpeg

From tiny Acorns, mighty Oaks do grow.  

___________

I am being swarmed by towers, some small gaps in the cloud and when the sun does poke through it feels like being in a greenhouse  .  Can see what looks like part of an Anvil to my E over the Pennines.  Cloud base is stupidly low, about what I'd consider 'normal' if it was a skud  .  This is the View to my SW, nice and stormy looking!.

549366066_IMG_20200817_1246476261.thumb.jpg.d0115343cc249abf9a70291ad829de12.jpg

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Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming

Okay so don’t really care if this sounds ‘moany’ - but now it’s all done and dusted I can say with all my heart that I can’t remember another time in my life that forecasts have got it so wrong for this area.

I know people are going to say one of the following:

• ... these things are hard to predict!

• ... many places were affected by storms so the forecasts were spot on!

Well, let me tell you that it’s now been 7 days and from a broad imby perspective, it’s 7 days of WAY OFF forecasts for this area.

I judge a forecast to be a warning about weather - and not a guide for storm/wind/snow chasers - and in that regard I would expect it to tell people to expect severe or inclement weather.

For 7 days we’ve actually had pretty benign weather. Yes - very hot - but it’s barely done anything other than the odd shower. We had ‘storms’ on one day, but these were rumbling fair-weather clouds until they departed our area. Then (as usual) they became more significant as they moved away.

I can’t blame anyone, but if the forecasts are consistently this way out why bother with the computing power and the time and effort? Or at least look at what we need to do to better the system. I’m just aghast at how many days on the trot it’s got it so, so wrong. I haven’t even been able to catch a storm when I’ve tried.

So for this reason I am giving up on the rest of the year for storms. Not going to believe one forecast. I’m going to make my own assumptions (that it won’t happen) and will just nowcast, perhaps. But probably will just do something else instead.

2020 has been a total waste of time weatherwise.

Even if we were to get a humdinger tonight, we’ve still been burned in the south. You couldn’t have made up such a disappointing period of convective weather for Surrey.

To add - the storms London had the other night were in the fog/mist - without which it would have been great but ruined by a mist that only turned up for that night. Again, can’t make it up.

It also follows about 3 previous busts involving our area earlier in the year. Statistically it would seem highly unlikely everything would bust for us but there you go - can’t trust statistics. ?‍♂️

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Posted
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and breezy with a bit of cloud, about 20C
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex

The Cone of Silence has officially fallen, and the guy who was cleaning the windows of the house across the road has retreated to his van rather hastily! 

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Posted
  • Location: Cambridge
  • Location: Cambridge
26 minutes ago, loubylou2905 said:

Storm now approaching Cambridge city centre, can hear rumbling in the distance and its getting dark.

Meh, about 2 rumbles of thunder in the end and alot of rain.  It's passed through already.  The rain won't help the village where I live, part of which was flooded yesterday.

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Posted
  • Location: Home near Sellindge, 80m/250feet, 5miles from Coast
  • Weather Preferences: Severe Storms and Snow
  • Location: Home near Sellindge, 80m/250feet, 5miles from Coast
9 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Okay so don’t really care if this sounds ‘moany’ - but now it’s all done and dusted I can say with all my heart that I can’t remember another time in my life that forecasts have got it so wrong for this area.

 

Hence my signature ;)

Yes it's been awful, in fact the worst Forecasting I've witnessed for years... To forecast storms for 7 days and get nothing in such a wide area, with the 7th day expecting the most severe of weather with a lot of rain to get drizzle was a joke!

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Posted
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and breezy with a bit of cloud, about 20C
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex

Haven’t seen any lightning yet but the thunder sounds pretty close so I guess it must be quite elevated

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Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, plumes, snow, severe weather
  • Location: Bedfordshire

Getting really dark to my south now...

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Posted
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and breezy with a bit of cloud, about 20C
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex
Just now, Paul Sherman said:

Couldn't make this up am 20 miles west at work today 2020 is harsh

Screenshot_20200817_130636_tv.netweather.netweatherradar.jpg

Oh no! I’ll be honest, this is probably the best storm since July last year in terms of distance and frequency of lightning. Sounded like a pretty close CG just now

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Posted
  • Location: Takeley, Bishop's Stortford, CM22, 104m(340ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Anything extreme!
  • Location: Takeley, Bishop's Stortford, CM22, 104m(340ft) ASL

So that's this morning's hit and miss out of the way around South London. Torrential rain was the top feature.

Now looking at the zoomed out radar, hoping for potential later...

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Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, plumes, snow, severe weather
  • Location: Bedfordshire

Thunder heard.

Oh boy do I love living in the UK thunderstorm centre 

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Posted
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and breezy with a bit of cloud, about 20C
  • Location: Benfleet, South Essex

Having said that it’s gone very quiet all of a sudden...

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