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Storms and Convective discussion- 7th August onwards


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Posted
  • Location: South Staffordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: South Staffordshire
    2 minutes ago, Tomtommytom2020 said:

    Leicestershire too far north? 

    Maybe. 
     

    30 miles south of Birmingham and South/West of there are today’s hot spot. North of that and you are struggling massively. 
     

    It’s a Birmingham south event.

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    A beautiful altocumulus castellanus sunrise this morning. 

    Oo she's a beauty 

    My first attempt at storm shots 🤷‍♂️ (Please don't judge 🤣) The cells are impressive tonight! 

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: North Leicestershire
  • Location: North Leicestershire
    2 minutes ago, PolarWarsaw said:

    Maybe. 
     

    30 miles south of Birmingham and South/West of there are today’s hot spot. North of that and you are struggling massively. 
     

    It’s a Birmingham south event.

    😱😐😐

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    Posted
  • Location: Shrewsbury
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Snow, Floods...
  • Location: Shrewsbury
    6 minutes ago, PolarWarsaw said:

    I would be VERY surprised if anything made it north of stoke. There’s a storm 10 miles south of me here (yet again, we are getting SCREWED) and that’s not making it any further north. I’m 25 miles north of Birmingham. I’m expecting to stay dry and storm less, too much of a westerly element. 
     

    Somewhere in a line south of Birmingham into towards Worcester is going to get slammed tonight. Further north than that? 
     

    Can’t see it. If I’m too far north then Leeds, Manchester, Stoke, Crewe etc have no chance today. 
     

    An absolutely infuriating week so far here.

     

    You could get something creeping up there, but I like your prediction based on radar and steering winds. As we are up stream of your prediction area, we could be set for another round, but its a case of how long the developing line goes into the night... few hours before anyone in the midlands can call bust yet though. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Birmingham
  • Location: Birmingham
    2 minutes ago, PolarWarsaw said:

    Maybe. 
     

    30 miles south of Birmingham and South/West of there are today’s hot spot. North of that and you are struggling massively. 
     

    It’s a Birmingham south event.

    There's a storm is South Staffs right now to the NW of Brum

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    Posted
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
  • Weather Preferences: extremes n snow
  • Location: on a canal , probably near Northampton...
    6 minutes ago, Tomtommytom2020 said:

    Leicestershire too far north? 

    Possibly too far East

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    Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

    Looks like we can add another day onto the totals in the Cone of Silence and others taking us to 385 days now and edging ever closer to that magical 400 days 

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    Posted
  • Location: Bexhill
  • Location: Bexhill
    Just now, Mitch perrott said:

    there is no way that french cell is heading to us, its moving west at such fast speeds, the one in holland though is heading here

    Even if it did head in England’s direction the DEC(Ducking English Channel) will kill it  

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    Posted
  • Location: Hanley, Stoke-on-trent
  • Location: Hanley, Stoke-on-trent
    1 minute ago, SalopWatcher said:

    You could get something creeping up there, but I like your prediction based on radar and steering winds. As we are up stream of your prediction area, we could be set for another round, but its a case of how long the developing line goes into the night... few hours before anyone in the midlands can call bust yet though. 

    Quite. The "real" storms haven't got going until mid evening, with severe stuff not getting organised till 10pm and later. There'll be no giving up around here!

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Rugby
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, high teens to low 20's,sunny and convective
  • Location: Rugby
    3 minutes ago, matty40s said:

    Possibly too far East

    I'm guessing same as here as seem to be just a tad too far east

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    Posted
  • Location: Warwickshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy, sunny, warm, hot, and thundery conditions 🧡
  • Location: Warwickshire

    Much better potential for storms over the South Midlands and areas to the south of us as storms near London move WNW. It’s not like we don’t deserve it having been one of the hottest areas in the country and missing storms earlier this week to our North.

    E2FB052C-542C-46A1-9A2F-B66C3D0476AA.jpeg

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    Posted
  • Location: Canvey Island, Essex
  • Location: Canvey Island, Essex
    2 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

    Looks like we can add another day onto the totals in the Cone of Silence and others taking us to 385 days now and edging ever closer to that magical 400 days 

    SE Essex here, was that really our last storm? 
    I knew it’d been quite some time but, wow, incredible to think it has been that long.

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    Posted
  • Location: North Cornwall 187ft asl
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic Storms, Thunder & Lightning, Snow.
  • Location: North Cornwall 187ft asl

    Large hail in Richmond

    ESWD.EU

    European Severe Weather Database

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
    14 minutes ago, Electricmumma said:

    If there is anywhere one could reach on a train, from East Sussex, with something like a Travelodge, that looks like a good possibility of a storm either direct or near enough to watch/listen.. where would it be? I have two excited young storm enthusiasts who are dying to see something, but without a car I’m a bit stuffed.

    Maybe Dorking, then walk up Boxhill from there, 2 or 3 miles?

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    Posted
  • Location: St Neots, previously Billericay & Brentwood
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, gales, all extreme weather really!
  • Location: St Neots, previously Billericay & Brentwood

    Wowsers, looking out the window wfh and suddenly theres a huge anvil in front of me.... sadly I'm on the edge of it all again looking at sat24 but just heard a rumble.... please build eastwards!! 

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    Posted
  • Location: Chesterfield, Derbyshire, 110m
  • Location: Chesterfield, Derbyshire, 110m

    Can anyone explain why the Netweather lightning detector seems to pick up loads of strikes from some storms, yet performs very poorly on others? Is it the type of lightning? It seems to be at night that it doesn't function as well

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
    12 minutes ago, PolarWarsaw said:

    I would be VERY surprised if anything made it north of stoke. There’s a storm 10 miles south of me here (yet again, we are getting SCREWED) and that’s not making it any further north. I’m 25 miles north of Birmingham. I’m expecting to stay dry and storm less, too much of a westerly element. 
     

    Somewhere in a line south of Birmingham into towards Worcester is going to get slammed tonight. Further north than that? 
     

    Can’t see it. If I’m too far north then Leeds, Manchester, Stoke, Crewe etc have no chance today. 
     

    An absolutely infuriating week so far here.

     

     

    9 minutes ago, Tomtommytom2020 said:

    Leicestershire too far north? 

    If the steering flow is now to the NW or WNW as it looks (was still to the NNE earlier) then your looking at a line from Peterborough to Nottingham to Manchester being the main northward extent. Anybody further north is reliant on much more widespread convection making time to grow less important.  

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    Posted
  • Location: South Staffordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: South Staffordshire
    7 minutes ago, hammerb32 said:

    There's a storm is South Staffs right now to the NW of Brum

    Yes but it’s moving westwards, not north. 

    If that’s the case for myself, then the likes of Leeds have nothing, the main action is South east towards London. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Rugby
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, high teens to low 20's,sunny and convective
  • Location: Rugby
    2 minutes ago, Josh Rubio said:

    Slightly frustrating seeing all these storms skirt west of here. That's pretty much been the story over the past few days. 

    Yup same here,get so close then watch it skirt pass

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    Posted
  • Location: Bracknell, Berkshire
  • Location: Bracknell, Berkshire

    It is trying and failing miserably to really get going here. Dark, cloudy and now some rain. But rumbles are certainly aloft and/or distant.

    The wind has really picked up and to my untrained eye of looking up at the sky and knowing which way is north...says they are moving west...possibly even a west south west

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    Posted
  • Location: Irlam
  • Location: Irlam
    14 minutes ago, PolarWarsaw said:

    I would be VERY surprised if anything made it north of stoke. There’s a storm 10 miles south of me here (yet again, we are getting SCREWED) and that’s not making it any further north. I’m 25 miles north of Birmingham. I’m expecting to stay dry and storm less, too much of a westerly element. 
     

    Somewhere in a line south of Birmingham into towards Worcester is going to get slammed tonight. Further north than that? 
     

    Can’t see it. If I’m too far north then Leeds, Manchester, Stoke, Crewe etc have no chance today. 
     

     

     

    That's assuming storms don't develop further north though

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