Storms and Convective discussion- 7th August onwards

[matt111]

After removing the storms reaching the south coast from France after the 15z run yesterday, the UKV is now showing them again on the 06Z.

[T4Toby]

AHHAHAHAHAAHAH Metoffice reckon I'm having a storm right now. I can tell you that its lovely and sunny right now 

[oliverek7]

Just now, matt111 said:

After removing the storms reaching the south coast from France after the 15z run yesterday, the UKV is now showing them again on the 06Z.

God they gotta stop giving me heart attacks so unpredictable. But seriously that looks really promising if they make it across  

[AMeltedFlake]

8pm this evening on the UKV Although the majority of the models are showing this moving up the middle of the UK! 

[Dreckly]

That just about covers it

via meteoalarm

 

[ChannelThunder]

5 minutes ago, matt111 said:

After removing the storms reaching the south coast from France after the 15z run yesterday, the UKV is now showing them again on the 06Z.

 

[Ben Sainsbury]

21 minutes ago, Southern Storm said:

So, looks like today is going to be the best chance for us southerners.

I have my camera gear ready and charged, I am able to finish work early, so far so good!

The plan was to travel north and base myself near  Bristol, one problem though, my wife needs me back in Christchurch for 17:45 

And I'm not sure of the timings of when storm are going to break out, the plan was to be in position for the storms in the highest risk area, then head south with the hope of capturing the southern coastal risk later in the evening.

Any advice would be greatly appreciated!

 

Majority of the storms look to be later in the evening than 5:45 unfortunately

[Gordon Webb]

Personally I'd pay no attention to these warnings all the way out to Monday from the Met Office , basically saying some might get showers but most won't , well judging by model output I could say that and I'd probably be right at least once , this seems to be an exercise in covering their backsides in case things go pear shaped , also doesn't ring with their forecasts

edit - seems their forecasts do mention this a little but I still think they're overdoing it

Edited August 12, 2020 by Gordon Webb

[T4Toby]

1 minute ago, AMeltedFlake said:

8pm this evening on the UKV Although the majority of the models are showing this moving up the middle of the UK! 

I mean Ill take that if it happens, its right over my head

 

[Southern Storm]

Thanks for the replies, looks like a wait and see event.

Good luck guys

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

15 minutes ago, matt111 said:

After removing the storms reaching the south coast from France after the 15z run yesterday, the UKV is now showing them again on the 06Z.

South east might get a tad

[David Hill]

6 minutes ago, T4Toby said:

I mean Ill take that if it happens, its right over my head

 

Me toooooooo , I be taking a drive to Aberafan front.

[T4Toby]

Something just popped up of the Pembrokeshire coast 

[Gordon Webb]

2 minutes ago, Mitch perrott said:

South east might get a tad

quote from convective weather in case it was missed for our friends in the south

During the evening hours, a band or cluster of thunderstorms over northern France will begin to drift north across the English Channel, potentially affecting the Channel Islands for a time - it is unclear where these storms will survive the crossing, but the vast majority of model guidance is in agreement that they will decay fairly rapidly after leaving the coast, with lightning activity tending to hug the French coastline to the east. Nonetheless, a few elevated thunderstorms may be possible across S / SE England overnight, and perhaps at the end of the night close to the East Anglia coast.

[oliverek7]

4 minutes ago, Mitch perrott said:

South east might get a tad

That looks like a lot more than a “tad” if that comes off

[Gordon Webb]

1 minute ago, T4Toby said:

Something just popped up of the Pembrokeshire coast 

don't tell me a Dinghy got lost on it's way to Dover

[Harry]

1 minute ago, Oliver Wyndham-lewis said:

That looks like a lot more than a “tad” if that comes off

Assuming it doesn’t fizzle out or lose its electrical oomf as it moves North

[StormChaseUK]

Evening well spent watching this for hours

 

 

[Mapantz]

The UKV has shown it all week - anything moving up from the channel decays.

[StormLoser]

Is it me or has the Met Office's Yellow Weather warning map been struck by lightning and gone invisible?

[Phildb2]

1 minute ago, StormLoser said:

Is it me or has the Met Office's Yellow Weather warning map been struck by lightning and gone invisible?

Not just you

[Gordon Webb]

1 minute ago, StormLoser said:

Is it me or has the Met Office's Yellow Weather warning map been struck by lightning and gone invisible?

probably searching for the person who posted warnings for up to 5 days out

[StormLoser]

Thanks. Sometimes my Adblocker / Cookie killer and various other defences break websites.

[David Hill]

A very serious question now I guess from me, are we going to see what happened last night over mid wales be more south over M4 corridor. And will it be in the night hours? Daytime storms for me anyway while good just dont have the same pasaz

[Josh Rubio]

Met Office;
 

“With those high temperatures comes the risk of severe #thunderstorms this afternoon and evening, becoming mainly focused across central and southern areas overnight”