Storms and Convective discussion- 7th August onwards

[SarahWxm]

3 minutes ago, samadamsuk said:

Explosive updraft north of Oxford - nothing showing in radar but the cap broke  and its rapid. 

Is this the main course for this evening?

 

[Mr_ Nexus]

Netweather forecast for my area has been updated to show 80% chance of thunderstorms tonight between 19.00 and 22.00 . Previous Forecast was showing no Thunderstorms for today.

[Weather-history]

Compare current radar with Euro 4 hr 06z

WRF

Aperge

GFS

HIRLAM

ICON

ECM

 

What do you reckon? 

[Chris.R]

Scary sounding b Thunder from this as it approaches

[Cloudwatcher]

Bloody hell just had a massive CG out of nowhere, car alarms are going off!

 

[Janet Haycock]

Sun shining bright to the left and black to the right of me ! Lots of rain and some thunder here on the Wirral

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

3 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

Compare current radar with Euro 4 hr 06z

WRF

Aperge

GFS

HIRLAM

ICON

ECM

 

What do you reckon? 

Gfs look whats pushing into the south east

[Chris K]

4 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

Compare current radar with Euro 4 hr 06z

WRF

Aperge

GFS

HIRLAM

ICON

ECM

 

What do you reckon? 

ARPEGE looks closest to my eyes..

Edited August 10, 2020 by Chris K

[Electricmumma]

Currently 30 here in East Sussex  and this is forming along the channel to my west, nice rainbow in there, don’t know if my phone captured it or not. Looks grey back there.  
 

[Chris.R]

Wow this thunder means business

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

1 minute ago, Chris K said:

APERGE looks closest to my eyes..

Hmmmm but the south east is having that  green blob push around the same time

[TJS1998Tom]

I assume these storms are the start of the main possible event tonight or will further storms develop behind it? 

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

We have visible development! Would be from France too soooooo

 

[Chris K]

Just now, Mitch perrott said:

Hmmmm but the south east is having that  green blob push around the same time

Indeed..but still closest to current radar obs in my view (compared to the others). Different resolutions though.

[Had Worse]

Nice and muggy again here.

Had terrific storm that tracked over Criccieth and  Porthmadog with super extra base thunder and CG's galore.

[PurpleLED]

Nne of me with a pileus 

[Pat Butcher]

9 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

Compare current radar with Euro 4 hr 06z

WRF

Aperge

GFS

HIRLAM

ICON

ECM

 

What do you reckon? 

I reckon UKV has smashed the lot out of the park.

[Cloudwatcher]

Sun's out now after a five minute torrential downpour and the temperature has suddenly rocketed up

[Ryukai]

7 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

Compare current radar with Euro 4 hr 06z

WRF

Aperge

GFS

HIRLAM

ICON

ECM

 

What do you reckon? 

I'd say the ICON is the closest, followed by Aperge. 

Aperge just has too much going on in the West Midlands and the stuff over Wales is too far south. Whilst ICON is showing the stuff over Anglesey curving towards Ireland and then back towards Scotland (which it's currently doing) 

[StormLoser]

You are doing well in the north west! 

Nothing for us in the SE. Anything importing from France is drying out, and where developments have tried, they swiftly fizzle out.

I have often mentioned my theory of the "Thames Valley high pressure zone" and (regardless of the accuracy of my theory) it seems to be well in force at the moment.

(My theory goes that the horseshoe of low hills surrounding London acts as a local weather influence).

Unless the pressure slips (it has moved one millibar down here) and the cap comes off, we're stuck.   

[DanDorsetUK]

Keeps going very cool and then muggy again along the south coast Bournemouth.

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

Can someoje say if anything is going to happen in South east, cells are pushing in currently 

[PurpleLED]

that cell is going up fast to the north east ish of me, might get a good timelapse for once.

[Guest]

Yep, utter tosh here as usual, not even a hot day to compensate. At least those in Kent aren't getting all the fun and joining in with the convective messiness that's heading their way.....

[carl1980]

10 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

Wow this thunder means business

Can hear some distance booms