Storms and Convective discussion- 7th August onwards

[davehsug]

41 minutes ago, Marko1690 said:

Il take it lol

It's all nowcasting for the next few days I think. 

Edited August 10, 2020 by davehsug

[TQWX]

There's a live Dawlish webcam on youtube, may be able to see something on there.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sKQJEL-xjjc

[Tristrame]

24 minutes ago, TQWX said:

I thought I could here some thunder and there is activity but a bit far away, the sounds may have been something else. Getting closer though. This cam looks east into North Lyme Bay so something may pop up on there.

http://www.camsecure.co.uk/Camsecure3/broad.html

For reference by the way, the purple line in those is the 12 mile fisheries UK waters border so those strikes are less than 10 miles out to sea so should have been well audible from the shore

[Eastern Scotland WX]

Here is what i have done for my convective forecast for today. More details on my twitter...
Thoughts? 

[ChannelThunder]

5 minutes ago, MAXcrazystorm said:

Here is what i have done for my convective forecast for today. More details on my twitter...
Thoughts? 

Certainly seems to line-up well with the UKV, so as good a chance as any that you'll be correct.

[Harry]

6 minutes ago, MAXcrazystorm said:

Here is what i have done for my convective forecast for today. More details on my twitter...
Thoughts? 

@MAXcrazystorm thank you for the optimism for the SE corner but you really shouldn’t have...you can remind me of this comment if you’re on the money

[Frosty hollows]

I'm in CS England  slap between the M4 and M40. I'll be sweating in 35c brewing these storms for you guys further north, as ever! Im happy to watch frequent lightning from a safe distance,  and I'll take some of that rain, but much as I love a good storm, am happy to export tornadoes and huge hail!

[AMeltedFlake]

Latest UKV, Northwards switch over the last few runs ☹

[Eastern Scotland WX]

Just now, Harry said:

@MAXcrazystorm thank you for the optimism for the SE corner but you really shouldn’t have...you can remind me of this comment if you’re on the money

There just looks like a few cells might move up through the channel overnight tonight , its generally a higher risk than elsewhere in the LOW risk area. 

[Eastern Scotland WX]

2 minutes ago, Lance M said:

Certainly seems to line-up well with the UKV, so as good a chance as any that you'll be correct.

Euro 4 very similar too! 

[Jamie M]

Truly starting to pop there.

 

[Eastern Scotland WX]

if the Midlands get into the low 30s then storms should ignite 

[The PIT]

Small cell did a semit circle round me the remains are now slowly moving north.

[AnvilCrawlers]

2 minutes ago, MAXcrazystorm said:

if the Midlands get into the low 30s then storms should ignite 

This low cloud needs to shift if we got any chance of 30

[sheikhy]

Just now, Ndc Ozzie said:

This low cloud needs to shift if we got any chance of 30

Its so frustrating!!the day the north sea is and east of england is clear of low cloud we somehow manage to build our own patch of low cloud slap bang in the middle of the midlands!!

[T4Toby]

Can any of the experts give me some idea of the chances in Swansea Today. We have a small bit of sea mist that’s starting to burn off.

[Calayte]

6 minutes ago, MAXcrazystorm said:

if the Midlands get into the low 30s then storms should ignite 

I am somewhat doubtful about that, its still quite chilly here in the Birmingham area with a good amount of cloud cover still, I am wondering if we will get to the all important temp to trigger the storms.

[AnvilCrawlers]

2 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Its so frustrating!!the day the north sea is and east of england is clear of low cloud we somehow manage to build our own patch of low cloud slap bang in the middle of the midlands!!

Sure is,yesterday it manage to shift by 11 and we managed 25.8

[Eastern Scotland WX]

1 minute ago, Calayte said:

I am somewhat doubtful about that, its still quite chilly here in the Birmingham area with a good amount of cloud cover still, I am wondering if we will get to the all important temp to trigger the storms.

If storms don't ignite in the Midlands then its likely storms will ignite across northern and central Wales, as well as the Lancashire area. 

[Eastern Scotland WX]

3 minutes ago, T4Toby said:

Can any of the experts give me some idea of the chances in Swansea Today. We have a small bit of sea mist that’s starting to burn off.

keep an eye on this area of showers and storms moving N/NW

[AnvilCrawlers]

Just now, Ndc Ozzie said:

Sure is,yesterday it manage to shift by 11 and we managed 25.8

Now its trying to rain,not much tho

[sheikhy]

1 minute ago, Ndc Ozzie said:

Sure is,yesterday it manage to shift by 11 and we managed 25.8

Yeh took a bit longer here in leicester!!cleared by 12.30 and still managed 25 degrees so hopefully if it clears by 10pm then a 30 degree temperature is not out of question!!

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

Based upon the latest runs, if I chase today, I’ll have a slow trundle across the midlands I think. But it’s so nowcasty, knowing my luck, stuff would pop off out of the blue back at home! 

I do love days like these where it’s a matter of where the first bubble will rise in a loaded gun scenario. Looking to be a potentially special few days for a fair few. About time too! 

[Calayte]

If this cloud over the Midlands goes in the next hour, there is a chance we may reach 30c but any longer than that I think we might struggle

(seems to be showing signs of breaking up already)

Edited August 10, 2020 by Calayte

[ChannelThunder]

The Ac Cas around here has built-up and clumped together enough to be producing a shower just to my west. Not sure if any precip. is reaching the ground, but this area (you can see them clearly on Sat.) is likely one to watch as it moves NW'wards this morning.