Storms and convective discussion - 18th June 2020 onwards

[Thunder and Lightning]

Just now, Jamiee said:

Popped. 

Thanks 

Edited June 26, 2020 by Thunder and Lightning

[SarahWxm]

Dark moody skies this morning. Been raining and not long heard my first rumble of distant thunder. It’s bin day today though and I keep jumping up only to realise it’s the flamin bin wagon

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

2 minutes ago, Jamiee said:

Popped. 

[Jamie M]

Just now, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

I find it funny that they still posted the sounding even though it probably popped. 

 

[Harsh Climate]

Does anyone know if there are any doppler radar's in europe covering uk?

[MikeUpjohn]

Did not expect the stuff South of me over the Welsh border to explode like that at 9am in the morning?! Crazy.

[Jamie M]

Just now, Harsh Climate said:

Does anyone know if there are any doppler radar's in europe covering uk?

Only UK Doppler radar is the Met Office's one & no one except them has access to it. Not sure if there are commercial plans in future but right now it is diddly squat.

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

3 minutes ago, Jamiee said:

I find it funny that they still posted the sounding even though it probably popped. 

 

Maybe they did it because it looked funny?

Does it even provide any information at all? Wondering if we can finish it off using the existing lines as a guide?

[SalopWatcher]

1 minute ago, mikeofmacc said:

Did not expect the stuff South of me over the Welsh border to explode like that at 9am in the morning?! Crazy.

Formed a bit of a line moving north east but looks less intense than it was already... can still here it rumbling away

[Harsh Climate]

Just now, Jamiee said:

Only UK Doppler radar is the Met Office's one & no one except them has access to it. Not sure if there are commercial plans in future but right now it is diddly squat.

Ah that's a bit naff isn't it. I'm very hopeful that todays storms will produce a supercell or two would be nice to see how they look on a doppler radar

 

[ChezWeather]

Most Precip models favouring an area around North Lincs later this afternoon, with the exception of the EURO4 that keeps things further North into North Yorks and the NE. 

[Ryukai]

Looks like things are just about to start kicking off round here (is it me or is this moving ALOT slower than was on the predictions)

View to my SSW, it's like I'm under a very slow and gently billowing cloth that's slowly undulating up and down. Bet it would look amazing on a time-lapse!

[SalopWatcher]

1 minute ago, Ryukai said:

Looks like things are just about to start kicking off round here (is it me or is this moving ALOT slower than was on the predictions)

View to my SSW, it's like I'm under a very slow and gently billowing cloth that's slowly undulating up and down. Bet it would look amazing on a time-lapse!

Thats what it looked like here before he had some fun around 8.30... 

[RichardC27]

Not much showing from that line of showers on blitzortung now.

[Chris.R]

this rain needs to clear soon or we won’t get enough surface heating in  before the wind beers.

[SalopWatcher]

1 minute ago, RichardC27 said:

Not much showing from that line of showers on blitzortung now.

Yeah is decaying rapidly... shame.. Telford also had a good storm out of it which is good as quite a bit of the last round of storms missed them. 

[Ryukai]

1 minute ago, SalopWatcher said:

Thats what it looked like here before he had some fun around 8.30... 

Watching that line on the radar now, if it holds together it should arrive in about an hours time given it's current speed (still over 22C here with 70% humidity and 16C dewpoints so it's got plenty of good stuff to work with )

[Guest]

Yep got upset in the model output thread, seems likely they'll be little in the way of plume activity before at least the 10th July with an active Jet and mobile Atlantic.....Good luck to those in the east today, certainly looks like insolation won't be a problem looking at the satellite imagery. 

Edited June 26, 2020 by Guest

[cloudsabove]

Some mammatus effect on the back of the dying cell just now.

[RichardC27]

4 minutes ago, SalopWatcher said:

Yeah is decaying rapidly... shame.. Telford also had a good storm out of it which is good as quite a bit of the last round of storms missed them. 

It is a shame. The radar says it should be raining where I am now but there's nothing yet

[Staffordshire]

First time posting in a long time, haven’t seen a proper storm now for probably 4 years, odd rumble of thunder a couple times (live in Leeds now)

 

saw the news and was hoping maybe I could break that duck today, but I’m not too hopeful lol. The past few years of weather have essentially led to me becoming disinterested.

 

anyhow, best of luck all!

[Chris.R]

Expect no more lightning from the showers now as we are approaching diurnal minimum and elevated convection should weaken. 

We need it to clear or the CAPE will not be realised. This is especially so here as I have a cut-off point at around 3 pm when the atmosphere become stable.

Edited June 26, 2020 by Chris.R

[Gordon Webb]

Update From Tony Gilbert

Brief UPDATE 8am Fri

As per earlier forecast with following comments;
Spatial risk more restricted to E Anglia, NE and Scotland.
Risk period adjusted to 08z-22z
A Slight risk of moderate/ large hail.

WRF forecast soundings show very little capping today for E Anglia with fairly large CAPE. Some lingering capping further to the north. Cloud tops potentially to 200mb means they will likely be influenced by the upper jet and could become severe.
Forecast Hodographs indicate less SRH than earlier expectations. A weak tornado still possible primarily based on convergence.

Apologies if image is small

[Ice Day]

3 hours ago, Paul Sherman said:

Yep Cones Gone 

3 quick successive visible lightning strikes and peels of thunder

Thank the Lord on this day 26th June 2020

Indeed and same here. upwards of 6 rumbles of thunder .  The TOD/COS/POS has officially been breached!!!!

[Boro Snow]

I am right in the Middle of that MDT zone so fingers crossed