Midlands Regional Discussion 17/06/2020 Onward

[markw2680]

Well as there at it in the mod thread might aswel have a Midlands BOOM too

[I remember Atlantic 252]

26 minutes ago, AppleUK 123 said:

Good Evening all. As others have mentioned, today there has been a lot of melt, still some snow cover but you can tell it is rather wet. Pretty impressive to have quite a few days of snow cover just from a few disturbances and showers and not from a large scale snow event. Looking forward to the coming weeks. I wonder many days we will record some lying snow on the ground!

yes bit wet now, bits of rain on my walk, still quite a lot of snow at Weston Road, 3 miles N of me, similar elevation though,

[shunthebartlett92]

12 minutes ago, markw2680 said:

Well as there at it in the mod thread might aswel have a Midlands BOOM too

Now that looks rather tasty doesnt it hahaha, cant rule it out given such short notice!

[weirpig]

Latest icon     

West of brum event on this model 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

3 minutes ago, weirpig said:

Latest icon     

West of brum event on this model 

reminds me of Tuesday just gone,

[smethwickgg102]

Nothing to get too excited about, just been out with the dog & very light white stuff dropping out of the sky. Fingers crossed for tomorrow

[Snowy L]

2 hours ago, markw2680 said:

Well as there at it in the mod thread might aswel have a Midlands BOOM too

Was wondering why BBC app had me down for hours of heavy snow showers tomorrow. 

[Snowy L]

1 hour ago, weirpig said:

Latest icon     

West of brum event on this model 

Where is it coming from though, surely it's from the East or Northeast, so 3 hours earlier should be over East Midlands, unless it is appearing out if nowhere?

[I remember Atlantic 252]

3 minutes ago, Snowy L said:

Was wondering why BBC app had me down for hours of heavy snow showers tomorrow. 

sleet for me

[Snowy L]

Just now, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

sleet for me

Strange, you would think West of region would be more likely to be less marginal as more protected from sea influence.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Just now, Snowy L said:

Strange, you would think West of region would be more likely to be less marginal as more protected from sea influence.

Aye but bbc app useless, few days ago was saying heavy snow for monday 4th Jan, then rain, now just white cloud

[phil nw.]

A couple of s/r models showing snow showers for tomorrow-ukv and aparge.

Dews look ok away from the e.coast and se.Hard to say if we get much or if it will lie.This as the easterly sets in so maybe a little disturbance in the flow to create precipitation. 

[weirpig]

24 minutes ago, Snowy L said:

Where is it coming from though, surely it's from the East or Northeast, so 3 hours earlier should be over East Midlands, unless it is appearing out if nowhere?

From the North Sea  and arcs around  similar to Tuesday 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

bbc again surely too mild, all 4's and 5's, tomorrows feature wintry mix, troughs shown Sun and Mon as mainly rain

[markw2680]

Let’s see what the situation is in the morning but I’d say there’s a decent chance of a covering again

[weirpig]

11 minutes ago, markw2680 said:

Let’s see what the situation is in the morning but I’d say there’s a decent chance of a covering again

Yep.  Icon 18z

[sheikhy]

31 minutes ago, weirpig said:

Yep.  Icon 18z

Leicester misses out again from the heavy stuff!!

[weirpig]

Just now, sheikhy said:

Leicester misses out again from the heavy stuff!!

Just one model mate   50 miles push east is nothing 

[sheikhy]

1 minute ago, weirpig said:

Just one model mate   50 miles push east is nothing 

Gfs did have it further east but will probably correct west

[weirpig]

Latest Gfs 18z  similarish to the icon

[I remember Atlantic 252]

18Z GFS shifts it slightly West, hope not any more, or it'll end up in bloody Ireland

Edited January 1, 2021 by I remember Atlantic 252

[MattStoke]

Looks like at least part of the Midlands may well get a covering (or top up) tomorrow, but still disagreement on exactly where.

[weirpig]

Arp 18z  more scatter dash

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Tuesday starting to look super! -9 uppers and N Sea convection snowy setup

[Gord]

I don’t have a problem with challenging forecasts and looking into why they might or might not be correct. But to dismiss one as useless before anything has happened seems a little unfair.

As we discussed on here last weekend, it’s best to draw an overall impression using several forecasts. Watch how they update and evolve.