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damianslaw

North West Regional Discussion 3 June 2020 onwards

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6 hours ago, northwestsnow said:

Saw a couple of flashes around midnight then fell asleep !!

Typical lol.

Sounds like some had some fun storm watching last night .. ⚡🔥🌤️

Exactly the same here!!!

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Posted (edited)
13 minutes ago, karyo said:

The updated euro 4 shows an isolated downpour in Cumbria for this evening and nothing else for the rest of the region.  Then for Thursday and Friday it has no precipitation over us at all. 😞

Stick with the Arome spot on last night.

IMO the euro 4 is not that good think about winter and its snow predictions very poor.

C.S

Edited by cheshire snow
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5 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:

Stick with the Arome spot on last night.

IMO the euro 4 is not that good think about winter and its snow predictions very poor.

C.S

 The euro 4 often tends to underestimate shower activity and the Arome tends overdo it. Fingers crossed for the Arome to be closer to the mark as it looks peachy for today.

 

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Cumbria is getting active!

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Just hit 30C here according to local obs. Going to be even hotter than yesterday. No signs of any cumulus development yet.

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Kicking off here. Storm is just to my north but now getting refreshing rain and a breeze. Constant thunder

 

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Meanwhile in Pwllheli, the weather gods are sending some active cells to me and I haven't even left the Pizza Oven (Caravan) yet. Occasional rumbles heard.

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30C, near cloudless. Boiling. This is what summer is supposed to be like. 

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A hot 🥵 humid 31c and hazy sunshine here in S Cheshire after last nights epic storms. Hottest day of the year here beating yesterday’s 30c and July 31st’s 30.5c Very rare to get the hottest day of summer in August in recent years usually its mid-late July. 

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The Midlands are getting active too! People in the southern parts of our region need to watch this development.

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I know it's not an official reading but my garden thermometer which is shaded on the back fence has just hit 34.3c,this is the highest it has ever reached here.

 

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Looks like similar setup as Monday with cells starting in Wales and Cumbria

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Who does the warnings for  the Met Office? 

My location is under a thunderstorm warning up and including Monday and yet read the text forecast for region

 Thursday will be dry and mainly sunny, although with some cloud here or there.

Friday and Saturday should be mostly dry and cloudy before further locally heavy showers develop on Monday

So why does that warrant  a met office warning of thunderstorms from now until Monday?

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because they are very difficult to predict I think, and as the scottish situation has shown potentially dangerous .  Warnings are there to warn of possile danger, not as a heads up to weather fans.

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Major flash flood from that south Cumbria storm. Trying to head home now stuck waiting for this to go down! Will have to abandon the van and go on foot as farmer says there is 12 ft of wall in the road where the beck has burst though. Hate to think what it's like further north as I was only on the edge of this. 


 

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A shower developed just northwest of Manchester. Unfortunately moving away from me.

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3 minutes ago, karyo said:

A shower developed just northwest of Manchester. Unfortunately moving away from me.

Popped up just like that around Wigan and barely moved...16:40 nothing on radar...20 mins later...Boom.  Hoping we get a few pop-ups around the GM area before too long, the heats been incredible outdoors at work today.

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19 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

Who does the warnings for  the Met Office? 

My location is under a thunderstorm warning up and including Monday and yet read the text forecast for region

 Thursday will be dry and mainly sunny, although with some cloud here or there.

Friday and Saturday should be mostly dry and cloudy before further locally heavy showers develop on Monday

So why does that warrant  a met office warning of thunderstorms from now until Monday?

Lol! Was thinking the very same thing. Hard to imagine the data has changed that dramatically in the four intervening hours between warnings and forecast being issued for the next five days. 

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2 minutes ago, dodge said:

Popped up just like that around Wigan and barely moved...16:40 nothing on radar...20 mins later...Boom.  Hoping we get a few pop-ups around the GM area before too long, the heats been incredible outdoors at work today.

I was hoping for some imported action from the Midlands as per the Arome but looking at the current situation I think a pop-up cell is our best chance today. 

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13 minutes ago, dodge said:

Popped up just like that around Wigan and barely moved...16:40 nothing on radar...20 mins later...Boom.  Hoping we get a few pop-ups around the GM area before too long, the heats been incredible outdoors at work today.

I have been watching and photographing it. That will be on my timelapse

IaeAg3o.jpgAuFQvF9.jpgqcALxo1.jpgMKepdee.jpgEnaVlKn.jpg

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Im in sight of a beefy shower moving up from east Wales.... however.. it is not electrified for some reason. Ive stood watching it for the last 10 minutes and its just a rain shower it would seem. It looks menacing all the same but not producing. I can only presume there is a deficit of CAPE here near the coast (was forecast to be fair) which is quickly killing any storms. I would definitely heard the thunder by now at this range no doubt. Its still early though.

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