North West Regional Discussion 3 June 2020 onwards

[itsnowjoke]

And feels a lot colder just no precipitation around

[itsnowjoke]

11 members something must be going down

[SP1986]

Temperature falling very quickly here although it's slowing up a bit now

Currently 1.2C

[Kasim Awan]

23 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

Much colder out today than yesterday so a better starting point already, I'd say Merseyside has about a 30% of snow around 6-8am.

60% plus for me, esp further east Mancs etc

[itsnowjoke]

5 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:

60% plus for me, esp further east Mancs etc

What about my neck of the woods do you have an idea 

[carl1980]

-0.2°c snow has frozen in areas that had been melting

[carl1980]

Icy sunset

[Day 10]

14 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:

60% plus for me, esp further east Mancs etc

I wouldn't go that high for Merseyside but further east yeah agree.

[SP1986]

There's a lot of high cloud around at the moment limiting the fall of the temperature.

[raul_sbd]

2.2c here in Sale for the last 2h.. must be high clouds preventing the drop. Spot on the WeatherProHD radar yesterday on the 4cm we got here.. kind of pivoted around the sth Mcr area.. and also @Kasim Awan prediction.. could we do well again tonight south of the region Kasim? 1-3 cm starting around 3am up to 7am? 2nd round yeahh

[Kasim Awan]

4 minutes ago, raul_sbd said:

2.2c here in Sale for the last 2h.. must be high clouds preventing the drop. Spot on the WeatherProHD radar yesterday on the 4cm we got here.. kind of pivoted around the sth Mcr area.. and also @Kasim Awan prediction.. could we do well again tonight south of the region Kasim? 1-3 cm starting around 3am up to 7am? 2nd round yeahh

Did well considering Heaten Chapel had none. Very narrow margins. Looks more marginal this time. The wrf which did well last night has the precip intensifying over Manchester which could be interesting though.

[Its snowing]

Here in Nelson the snow is still around but from the minute it fell yesterday it was slightly melting and has continued to very slowly melt today but tonight temps are going to be lower so all should freeze up and last even longer 

[Miamay]

Roads around here starting to ice up. No sign of any gritters about

[itsnowjoke]

3 minutes ago, Miamay said:

Roads around here starting to ice up. No sign of any gritters about

What’s new 

[carl1980]

13 minutes ago, Miamay said:

Roads around here starting to ice up. No sign of any gritters about

Our road was gritted a couple of hours ago

[cheshire snow]

18 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:

Did well considering Heaten Chapel had none. Very narrow margins. Looks more marginal this time. The wrf which did well last night has the precip intensifying over Manchester which could be interesting though.

Manchester airport taf indicating snow showers 3am-8am

Liverpool airport taf indicating rain and snow showers for the same period

Onto the ECM now to see if it still shows an event for Wednesday GFS sends this front no further than south Midlands which is why the warnings don't affect us on Wednesday unusual for the met to go with the GFS normal they go with a middle ground of ECM and GFS.

 

Edited December 28, 2020 by cheshire snow

[Gary2701]

Hovering 0.2c here in North Swinton/Kearsley border and possibly will drop as broken high cloud

[Chris.R]

-1.3°C here now and still falling. I can’t see any marginality even with the cloud later  it is much colder than forecast.

[captaincroc]

I'm guessing we will soon start to see tonight's feature appearing on the radar. Kasim - which I have to say is a a top poster in here! - I'm sure will keep us in check in it's progression. 

Selfishly I'm in Keswick so was the Euro4 projection as it looks like we will get some flakes at least. Will be nice to walk the lake tomorrow with a covering. Either way, good luck people.

[Deep Snow please]

2 minutes ago, captaincroc said:

I'm guessing we will soon start to see tonight's feature appearing on the radar. Kasim - which I have to say is a a top poster in here! - I'm sure will keep us in check in it's progression. 

Selfishly I'm in Keswick so was the Euro4 projection as it looks like we will get some flakes at least. Will be nice to walk the lake tomorrow with a covering. Either way, good luck people.

Already quite a bit of shower activity, will be interesting to see if the hills kill it before it gets to us or not. 

[cheshire snow]

ECM keeps wednesday front along the M4 south

Q mass hysteria in the SE thread (mod thread)

C.S

[Deep Snow please]

Just now, cheshire snow said:

ECM keeps wednesday front along the M4 south

Q mass hysteria in the SE thread (mod thread)

C.S

I wouldn't be so excited if I was them, there was one of these that corrected so far south it pasted the channel islands and north of france a while back.

 

Anyone - question one is do these get all the way across or die a death.

 

 

 

[Frost HoIIow]

I wouldn't take too much notice of the met office or BBC hourly forecasts. I spend too much time myself fussing over them because last night was showing bone dry for parts of our region that got a covering of snow, think backtrack mentioned something similar. Sometimes these bands of precipitation can out fox supercomputers. Definitely a nowcast situation I reckon tonight. 

[severe snowstorm]

1 minute ago, cheshire snow said:

ECM keeps wednesday front along the M4 south

Q mass hysteria in the SE thread (mod thread)

C.S

Could even end up in the channel and miss everywhere altogether! If that's the case, protection will be advised if venturing into the mod thread on Wednesday as toys will be flying! 

[Day 10]

39 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:

Manchester airport taf indicating snow showers 3am-8am

Liverpool airport taf indicating rain and snow showers for the same period

Onto the ECM now to see if it still shows an event for Wednesday GFS sends this front no further than south Midlands which is why the warnings don't affect us on Wednesday unusual for the met to go with the GFS normal they go with a middle ground of ECM and GFS.

 

Sounds about right.