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North West Regional Discussion 3 June 2020 onwards

damianslaw

By damianslaw
in Regional

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dodge Accomplished

dodge

Posted
  • Location: Oldham, Gtr Manchester
  • Location: Oldham, Gtr Manchester
Posted

Well the rain band wasn't really much of a streamer to be honest, it had a more West to East movement and it's also fizzled out a bit since this morning.  Still we're not going to have much brightness before the dark descends and tomorrow's a virtual write-off.  

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iand61 Maestro

iand61

Posted
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat and winter cold, and a bit of snow when on offer
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
Posted
22 minutes ago, dodge said:

Well the rain band wasn't really much of a streamer to be honest, it had a more West to East movement and it's also fizzled out a bit since this morning.  Still we're not going to have much brightness before the dark descends and tomorrow's a virtual write-off.  

Yeah it’s shaping up nicely to be yet another write off weekend.

how long is it since we had a dry, sunny Saturday and Sunday, seems a lifetime ago.

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Rain Lady Seasoned

Rain Lady

Posted
  • Location: SW Bowland Fells, Lancashire
  • Location: SW Bowland Fells, Lancashire
Posted

A dry cloudy afternoon.   Sun?     Saw a sliver of light way out west at sunset.    It's said Vit D3 tabets are "flying off the shelves".

 

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iand61 Maestro

iand61

Posted
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat and winter cold, and a bit of snow when on offer
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
Posted
Just now, Rain Lady said:

A dry cloudy afternoon.   Sun?     Saw a sliver of light way out west at sunset.    It's said Vit D3 tabets are "flying off the shelves".

 

Sunshine out west and possibly dry tomorrow afternoon; at this rate you’ll miss out on breaking the wettest year record by about 1mm

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Rain Lady Seasoned

Rain Lady

Posted
  • Location: SW Bowland Fells, Lancashire
  • Location: SW Bowland Fells, Lancashire
Posted
4 minutes ago, iand61 said:

Sunshine out west and possibly dry tomorrow afternoon; at this rate you’ll miss out on breaking the wettest year record by about 1mm

An awful lot of Dec left!

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn UK Met Office Fax Charts - UKMOMSLP Analysis and Prognosis - org

WWW.WEATHERCHARTS.ORG
UK Met Office . . Europe and North Atlantic MSLP analysis and prognosis charts

 

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iand61 Maestro

iand61

Posted
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat and winter cold, and a bit of snow when on offer
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
Posted
Just now, Rain Lady said:

An awful lot of Dec left!

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn UK Met Office Fax Charts - UKMOMSLP Analysis and Prognosis - org

WWW.WEATHERCHARTS.ORG
UK Met Office . . Europe and North Atlantic MSLP analysis and prognosis charts

 

Considering the extremely dry spring we had, it’s amazing that 2020 has turned out so wet overall.

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Rain Lady Seasoned

Rain Lady

Posted
  • Location: SW Bowland Fells, Lancashire
  • Location: SW Bowland Fells, Lancashire
Posted

2020 had a very wet stormy start.      We got 572.8 mm until March 20th when the tap was suddenly turned off.

 

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Rush2019 Veteran

Rush2019

Posted
  • Location: Macclesfield
  • Location: Macclesfield
Posted (edited)

Absolutely tipping it down at the moment, a couple of garden pots have been blown over too.  Looking at the radar, Manchester seems to be under quite a stormy downpour with hail over the Bolton area. Not very pleasant out there at all and still quite dark. This will certainly add to the rainfall totals.

Edited by Rush2112
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Iceaxecrampon Veteran

Iceaxecrampon

Posted
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
  • Weather Preferences: LP - Horizontal Drizzle - Nice Blizzards
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
Posted

00z

Looking interesting Christmas Eve - N flow and  less Atlantic murk

h500slp.thumb.png.6bb34420e44314ac6ebe6a8b7ea14bd5.png

 

Everyone up to Barnard Castle for the big day....!

prectypeuktopo.thumb.png.75961eb16cbf93d887aa41e26eb04810.png

 

Forum Meltdown for the SE  in FI

2.thumb.png.f06bbf3955ae6901ae918152f8fe5bc9.png

In the meantime I have to put up with a soggy Grizedale Forest.

 

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iand61 Maestro

iand61

Posted
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat and winter cold, and a bit of snow when on offer
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
Posted

Does going looking for snow count as essential travel when leaving a Tier 3 area

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iand61 Maestro

iand61

Posted
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat and winter cold, and a bit of snow when on offer
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
Posted
28 minutes ago, shadowfax said:

Shame this isn’t snow we’d be buried by now!!

Aye it’s been a bit damp today

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A Face like Thunder Veteran

A Face like Thunder

Posted
  • Location: Cheshire
  • Location: Cheshire
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, iand61 said:

Aye it’s been a bit damp today

Is 'a bit damp' Lancashire for jaffa cakes-ing down which it has been all day here?!   (Edit - I'm not sure 'jaffa cakes-ing down' is quite what I intended but you know what I mean)

Edited by A Face like Thunder
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iand61 Maestro

iand61

Posted
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat and winter cold, and a bit of snow when on offer
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
Posted
21 minutes ago, A Face like Thunder said:

Is 'a bit damp' Lancashire for jaffa cakes-ing down which it has been all day here?!   (Edit - I'm not sure 'jaffa cakes-ing down' is quite what I intended but you know what I mean)

Yeah it’s pretty much peeeeeed it down all day, never torrential but steady throughout and blown horizontally by the wind at times.

a thoroughly awful day and the rivers have certainly responded.

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Iceaxecrampon Veteran

Iceaxecrampon

Posted
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
  • Weather Preferences: LP - Horizontal Drizzle - Nice Blizzards
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
Posted

Ramp.

h500slp.thumb.png.43e015263c114288ec383315be8d9ed2.png

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Iceaxecrampon Veteran

Iceaxecrampon

Posted
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
  • Weather Preferences: LP - Horizontal Drizzle - Nice Blizzards
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
Posted (edited)

Risk chart if you want it.

uksnowrisk.thumb.png.dc0981271fb5f0a4cf2eb414e79d1814.png

Ensembles have gradual cool down too - so looking forward to slightly "colder" drizzle on the Fylde as opposed to "lukewarm"

Edited by Iceaxecrampon
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iand61 Maestro

iand61

Posted
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat and winter cold, and a bit of snow when on offer
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
Posted
2 minutes ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

Risk chart if you want it.

uksnowrisk.thumb.png.dc0981271fb5f0a4cf2eb414e79d1814.png

Ensembles have gradual cool down - so looking forward to slightly "colder" drizzle on the Fylde instead of "lukewarm" drizzle

And maybe a bit of sleety stuff up here but after the procession of mild Christmas Day’s we seem to have had lately it’s looking like an improvement although maybe a messy one.

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Rain Lady Seasoned

Rain Lady

Posted
  • Location: SW Bowland Fells, Lancashire
  • Location: SW Bowland Fells, Lancashire
Posted

Still sodden here.     16.0 mm rain collected this morning for all yesterday's gloom and wet.  Expected more TBH. 

Total now so far for 2020 is 1933.5 mm.   Still to beat these top totals over last 50yrs -- 1936.1mm ( 2017) , 1947.4 mm (2000) and 1984.0 mm (2012). 

 

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dodge Accomplished

dodge

Posted
  • Location: Oldham, Gtr Manchester
  • Location: Oldham, Gtr Manchester
Posted

Quite sheltered from the showers out west, here inland to the east of the region.  Some decent sunny spells for a change.  I should slap myself for even paying any attention to possible xmas day wintry options now showing 11 days out, but hey...we might just get that frosty morning after all.  Beats mild, grey, murky crap of previous years.  I'm resigning myself to the inevitable backdown and Santa not delivering, but at the moment there's a little 'wintry' hope.

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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted (edited)

A dry spell here after a showery day some pretty heavy too.

Models still looking decent for a possible cold spell over the hols, plenty of ups & downs to go yet I suspect.

Edited by Day 10
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Iceaxecrampon Veteran

Iceaxecrampon

Posted
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
  • Weather Preferences: LP - Horizontal Drizzle - Nice Blizzards
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
Posted

Models all seem in agreement for something seasonal Christmas week.10 days off and plenty of time for the usual festive disaster.

NE England looking sweet spot  for the Big Day - but any altitude will favour well as usual from the Cold NW flow - Atlantic looks reasonably block.

All to play for - eyes down.

More runs needed - lol.

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cheshire snow Veteran

cheshire snow

Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
Posted

GFS 12z seems to backtrack trend or one off run......HHmmm sounds familiar not a great Meto update either

Q Mad thread toy throwing 

C.S

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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted
1 hour ago, cheshire snow said:

GFS 12z seems to backtrack trend or one off run......HHmmm sounds familiar not a great Meto update either

Q Mad thread toy throwing 

C.S

Good job it's only weather eh!

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Iceaxecrampon Veteran

Iceaxecrampon

Posted
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
  • Weather Preferences: LP - Horizontal Drizzle - Nice Blizzards
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
Posted
1 hour ago, cheshire snow said:

GFS 12z seems to backtrack trend or one off run......HHmmm sounds familiar not a great Meto update either

Q Mad thread toy throwing 

C.S

Yes.. Had a quick "animate" on the 12Z snow risk.

Not that I'm a regular but better give the MOD thread a wide berth till tomorrows 06z 

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