Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

Storms and Convective discussion - 1st June 2020onwards


Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Norwich
  • Location: Norwich
19 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

Gone all flat. Brings into question why did yesterday suddenly take off late in the day but today it was the opposite?

 

Yesterday's storms were primarily because of positive vorticity advection in the mid-levels arriving from the south during the evening, encouraging lift of an already very unstable profile, while today upper forcing is relatively weak so storms are primarily driven by surface heating and low-level convergence / orographic forcing alone. Similar process tomorrow too, although some minor forcing aloft during the evening could keep showers/storms going over London / M4 northwest to south Midlands / mid-Wales for a time into the first part of the night (but the amount of lightning is questionable given decreasing CAPE through the evening).

Edited by staplehurst
  • Like 4
  • Thanks 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
8 minutes ago, NUT said:

I like the look of that

more from yesterday.

 

Edited by Allseasons-si
  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)

Oh dear!!!

 

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

Having chased in Alberta last July I can tell you the hail does indeed get quite large up there. Its called Hail Alley near Calgary for a reason

  • Like 6
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Shrewsbury
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Snow, Floods...
  • Location: Shrewsbury
22 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Yep absolute carbon copy of today coming up tomorrow and rough for areas of the South and South East.

Storms may fire a little closer to London along the Chilterns as the southern extent but this all moving and maturing to the NW again. Dry for the TOD and COS and also Kent and Eastern Suffolk and Lincs. Severest storms once again West Wales, and North West England and parts of Ireland.

Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

mean you say zzzzz 

I say bring it on

today was great. Took my lad out on a 60 mile chase around Shropshire/Wrexham and he loved it. One strike so close on the car he was headed down to the footwell to hide

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Just now, Paul Sherman said:

Having chased in Alberta last July I can tell you the hail does indeed get quite large up there. Its called Hail Alley near Calgary for a reason

Yes,i remember a luxury parking lot been destroyed by large hail and all the cars where all dented in and all the windows where smashed,cannot remember what year it was though,i am sure i posted pictures in one of the USA storm chase threads

anyway not to dive off topic,do you have access to the UKV for tomorrow?

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Stoke-on-Trent, Norton. 549ft (167m) ASL
  • Location: Stoke-on-Trent, Norton. 549ft (167m) ASL
1 minute ago, SalopWatcher said:

mean you say zzzzz 

I say bring it on

today was great. Took my lad out on a 60 mile chase around Shropshire/Wrexham and he loved it. One strike so close on the car he was headed down to the footwell to hide

If that had been me as a kid, I would have been hanging out the car window shouting "Get Closer!"  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

Yh sorry the Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz is the weather in the South East should have added that on not the Midlands and North West and Wales 

Will wait for the 21z UKV and put some up

Edited by Paul Sherman
  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Leicester
  • Location: Leicester
26 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Storms may fire a little closer to London along the Chilterns as the southern extent but this all moving and maturing to the NW again.

What and where is the eastern extent of this looking like, may I ask? 

Yesterday everything bypassed us to the west, giving the West Mids all the fun. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,Thunderstorms mix both for heaven THUNDERSNOW 😜😀🤤🥰
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
1 minute ago, Paul Sherman said:

Yh sorry the Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz is the weather in the South East should have added that on not the Midlands and North West and Wales 

Zzzzzzzz here too ATM Paul, an easterly in the summer is never on my weather wish list! Constant cloud and haar streaming in off the North Sea give me a southerly plume like flow

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
1 minute ago, Josh Rubio said:

What and where is the eastern extent of this looking like, may I ask? 

Yesterday everything bypassed us to the west, giving the West Mids all the fun. 

So the Cotswolds and Chilterns should fire some storms these moving NW So eastern extent would be probably parts of Bucks around to the NW of London, draw a line anywhere North and West of there really

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
2 minutes ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

Zzzzzzzz here too ATM Paul, an easterly in the summer is never on my weather wish list! Constant cloud and haar streaming in off the North Sea give me a southerly plume like flow

Yuk weather, saw a pic from a pal in Norfolk and it was thick dreich up there as well today

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
31 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Yep absolute carbon copy of today coming up tomorrow and rough for areas of the South and South East.

Storms may fire a little closer to London along the Chilterns as the southern extent but this all moving and maturing to the NW again. Dry for the TOD and COS and also Kent and Eastern Suffolk and Lincs. Severest storms once again West Wales, and North West England and parts of Ireland.

Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

Dry also for the 'wrong side of the chilterns' too aka the mid m4/m40 dry cone

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)

 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)

 

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Leicester
  • Location: Leicester
2 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

So the Cotswolds and Chilterns should fire some storms these moving NW So eastern extent would be probably parts of Bucks around to the NW of London, draw a line anywhere North and West of there really

Thanks. Looks like it'll be a repeat of Saturday, with everything heading into the West Midlands and here staying dry. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
  • Location: Benson, Oxfordshire
4 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

So the Cotswolds and Chilterns should fire some storms these moving NW So eastern extent would be probably parts of Bucks around to the NW of London, draw a line anywhere North and West of there really

I'm the other side of the river from the Chilterns.  We breed them  and see naff all

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)

From Waterford,Ireland last night.

 

  • Like 9
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Shoreham-by-sea, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: T storms, severe gales, heat and sun, cold and snow
  • Location: Shoreham-by-sea, West Sussex

When is the next possibility of storms heading into the south coast Near Brighton? rather than the usual heading inland and towards The midland and northern England scenario 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)

 

  • Like 9
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Hanley, Stoke-on-trent
  • Location: Hanley, Stoke-on-trent
27 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

So the Cotswolds and Chilterns should fire some storms these moving NW So eastern extent would be probably parts of Bucks around to the NW of London, draw a line anywhere North and West of there really

Erm Paul, if you could just confirm that there is absolutely NO chance of storms in Stoke-on-Trent tomorrow, we'd be very gratedful .

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)

All these tweets i keep on posting about all this lightning and i haven't seen any yet

And more from Waterford,Ireland, WOW.

 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
12 minutes ago, davehsug said:

Erm Paul, if you could just confirm that there is absolutely NO chance of storms in Stoke-on-Trent tomorrow, we'd be very gratedful .

Stoke will be right in the mixer again but as we all know its luck of the draw - You have a lot more chance than someone with 0% though so think of us in the desert lol

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
5 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

You have a lot more chance than someone with 0% though so think of us in the desert lol

That's a higher chance than me - 1.616255(18)×10−35 % chance down here!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

    UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2024-03-29 07:13:16 Valid: 29/03/2024 0600 - 30/03/2024 0600 THUNDERSTORM WATCH - FRI 29 MARCH 2024 Click here for the full forecast

    Nick F
    Nick F
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    Difficult travel conditions as the Easter break begins

    Low Nelson is throwing wind and rain at the UK before it impacts mainland Spain at Easter. Wild condtions in the English Channel, and more rain and lightning here on Thursday. Read the full update here

    Netweather forecasts
    Netweather forecasts
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

    UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2024-03-28 09:16:06 Valid: 28/03/2024 0800 - 29/03/2024 0600 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - THURS 28 MARCH 2024 Click here for the full forecast

    Nick F
    Nick F
    Latest weather updates from Netweather
×
×
  • Create New...