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Storms and Convective discussion - 1st June 2020onwards


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A quick recap of my day, without getting too waffly. It has been an absolute classic and my favourite/most successful chase so far. - started fairly benign as I failed to get a good handle on the

100% Bonafide Supercell no doubting that whatsoever 35knts of flow, Moved right of the deviant steering flow Killed off anything that came near it Like most Supercells massive uptick in

Nice little thunderstorm finally drought is over!  London webcams: I grabbed this!!! 

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Having chased in Alberta last July I can tell you the hail does indeed get quite large up there. Its called Hail Alley near Calgary for a reason

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22 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Yep absolute carbon copy of today coming up tomorrow and rough for areas of the South and South East.

Storms may fire a little closer to London along the Chilterns as the southern extent but this all moving and maturing to the NW again. Dry for the TOD and COS and also Kent and Eastern Suffolk and Lincs. Severest storms once again West Wales, and North West England and parts of Ireland.

Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

mean you say zzzzz 

I say bring it on

today was great. Took my lad out on a 60 mile chase around Shropshire/Wrexham and he loved it. One strike so close on the car he was headed down to the footwell to hide

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Just now, Paul Sherman said:

Having chased in Alberta last July I can tell you the hail does indeed get quite large up there. Its called Hail Alley near Calgary for a reason

Yes,i remember a luxury parking lot been destroyed by large hail and all the cars where all dented in and all the windows where smashed,cannot remember what year it was though,i am sure i posted pictures in one of the USA storm chase threads

anyway not to dive off topic,do you have access to the UKV for tomorrow?

 

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1 minute ago, SalopWatcher said:

mean you say zzzzz 

I say bring it on

today was great. Took my lad out on a 60 mile chase around Shropshire/Wrexham and he loved it. One strike so close on the car he was headed down to the footwell to hide

If that had been me as a kid, I would have been hanging out the car window shouting "Get Closer!"  ?

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Yh sorry the Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz is the weather in the South East should have added that on not the Midlands and North West and Wales 

Will wait for the 21z UKV and put some up

Edited by Paul Sherman
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26 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Storms may fire a little closer to London along the Chilterns as the southern extent but this all moving and maturing to the NW again.

What and where is the eastern extent of this looking like, may I ask? 

Yesterday everything bypassed us to the west, giving the West Mids all the fun. 

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1 minute ago, Paul Sherman said:

Yh sorry the Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz is the weather in the South East should have added that on not the Midlands and North West and Wales 

Zzzzzzzz here too ATM Paul, an easterly in the summer is never on my weather wish list! Constant cloud and haar streaming in off the North Sea ? give me a southerly plume like flow ??

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1 minute ago, Josh Rubio said:

What and where is the eastern extent of this looking like, may I ask? 

Yesterday everything bypassed us to the west, giving the West Mids all the fun. 

So the Cotswolds and Chilterns should fire some storms these moving NW So eastern extent would be probably parts of Bucks around to the NW of London, draw a line anywhere North and West of there really

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2 minutes ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

Zzzzzzzz here too ATM Paul, an easterly in the summer is never on my weather wish list! Constant cloud and haar streaming in off the North Sea ? give me a southerly plume like flow ??

Yuk weather, saw a pic from a pal in Norfolk and it was thick dreich up there as well today

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31 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Yep absolute carbon copy of today coming up tomorrow and rough for areas of the South and South East.

Storms may fire a little closer to London along the Chilterns as the southern extent but this all moving and maturing to the NW again. Dry for the TOD and COS and also Kent and Eastern Suffolk and Lincs. Severest storms once again West Wales, and North West England and parts of Ireland.

Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

Dry also for the 'wrong side of the chilterns' too aka the mid m4/m40 dry cone

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2 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

So the Cotswolds and Chilterns should fire some storms these moving NW So eastern extent would be probably parts of Bucks around to the NW of London, draw a line anywhere North and West of there really

Thanks. Looks like it'll be a repeat of Saturday, with everything heading into the West Midlands and here staying dry. ?

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4 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

So the Cotswolds and Chilterns should fire some storms these moving NW So eastern extent would be probably parts of Bucks around to the NW of London, draw a line anywhere North and West of there really

I'm the other side of the river from the Chilterns.  We breed them  and see naff all ???

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When is the next possibility of storms heading into the south coast Near Brighton? rather than the usual heading inland and towards The midland and northern England scenario 

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27 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

So the Cotswolds and Chilterns should fire some storms these moving NW So eastern extent would be probably parts of Bucks around to the NW of London, draw a line anywhere North and West of there really

Erm Paul, if you could just confirm that there is absolutely NO chance of storms in Stoke-on-Trent tomorrow, we'd be very gratedful ?.

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All these tweets i keep on posting about all this lightning and i haven't seen any yet?

And more from Waterford,Ireland, WOW.

 

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12 minutes ago, davehsug said:

Erm Paul, if you could just confirm that there is absolutely NO chance of storms in Stoke-on-Trent tomorrow, we'd be very gratedful ?.

Stoke will be right in the mixer again but as we all know its luck of the draw - You have a lot more chance than someone with 0% though so think of us in the desert lol

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5 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

You have a lot more chance than someone with 0% though so think of us in the desert lol

That's a higher chance than me - 1.616255(18)×10−35 % chance down here!

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