Storms and Convective discussion - 1st June 2020onwards

[Allseasons-Si]

Cool,cloudy and drizzly up here with a stiff wind 13c,yuk!

a storm kicking off on the N French coast now NE of La Havre

and good on William grimsley,bless him

[ChannelThunder]

3 minutes ago, Zak M said:

Little storm just developed off the coast of N France

Could potentially have my name on it if it survives.

 

...who am I kidding? 

Edited June 12, 2020 by Lance M

[Marcus_surfer]

Big squall pushing northwards towards south wales but disappointed theres no strikes of lightning

[Allseasons-Si]

Plenty of activity now in NW France too.

[Paul Sherman]

3 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

Plenty of activity now in NW France too.

Thank god they are opening their borders on 1st July cant come soon enough

Think I will find myself over there for extended periods this summer lol

[Allseasons-Si]

1 minute ago, Paul Sherman said:

Thank god they are opening their borders on 1st July cant come soon enough

Think I will find myself over there for extended periods this summer lol

I think i might join ya ha! ha!

[Wilxy]

That was a rather dramatic 5-10 mins of weather, torrential rain and strong winds didn't observe any thunder or lightning though. 

[Paul Sherman]

Its too warm aloft and profiles up the column are too saturated for lightning hence the high rainfall totals and PWAT values

Probably going to be the same with the East Anglia Clipper tonight.

Tomorrow looks much better

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

1 minute ago, Paul Sherman said:

Its too warm aloft and profiles up the column are too saturated for lightning hence the high rainfall totals and PWAT values

Probably going to be the same with the East Anglia Clipper tonight.

Tomorrow looks much better

will i be in a good area for the east anglia clip? and could you show it on radar?

[staplehurst]

9 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Its too warm aloft and profiles up the column are too saturated for lightning hence the high rainfall totals and PWAT values

Probably going to be the same with the East Anglia Clipper tonight.

Tomorrow looks much better

12z Camborne ascent highlights the issues - limited instability (couple hundred J/kg CAPE), saturated through the convective layer and not particularly cold equilibrium level temperatures (-15C or so). Enough instability to generate convection, plenty of moisture available for heavy rain, but just not quite enough 'oomph' to generate lightning. Quite finely-balanced, especially considering the rain rates and lack of lightning...

Edited June 12, 2020 by staplehurst

[Argyle10]

Absolute torrential rain here

17 hours ago, Allseasons-si said:

 

 

Edited June 12, 2020 by Charlie Harnett

[Paul Sherman]

9 minutes ago, Mitch perrott said:

will i be in a good area for the east anglia clip? and could you show it on radar?

Its an ever evolving situation will get a better handle by 8-9pm tonight i think

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

2 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Its an ever evolving situation will get a better handle by 8-9pm tonight i think

okay thankyou, what gfs chart are you using to show when the weather front arrives tonight?

 

[Paul Sherman]

1 minute ago, Mitch perrott said:

okay thankyou, what gfs chart are you using to show when the weather front arrives tonight?

 

Lol I dont use or trust GFS to fight its way out of a paper bag both here in the Uk and USA chasing - Its Pants

Try to use the ECM, Arome, UKV if you can as they have much better results

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

1 minute ago, Paul Sherman said:

Lol I dont use or trust GFS to fight its way out of a paper bag both here in the Uk and USA chasing - Its Pants

Try to use the ECM, Arome, UKV if you can as they have much better results

could you send me some links? sorry im new to looking at radars haha

 

[viking_smb]

Just now, Paul Sherman said:

Lol I dont use or trust GFS to fight its way out of a paper bag both here in the Uk and USA chasing - Its Pants

Try to use the ECM, Arome, UKV if you can as they have much better results

paul, are you able to upload the current charts with UKV with regards tonight/tomorrow please mate?

[Josh Rubio]

Pretty surprised with how the BBC have confidently worded this for the weather tomorrow. No doubt it'll change by tomorrow so take with a pinch of salt. This is for the East Midlands;

"Sunny spells at first but cloud is likely to bubble up, giving heavy showers and thunderstorms. Locally this may be intense with hail, gusty winds and frequent lightning."

[ChannelThunder]

4 minutes ago, Mitch perrott said:

could you send me some links? sorry im new to looking at radars haha

 

For an actual radar: 

Rainfall Radar - Met Office

WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK

---

UK rainfall radar map.

 

For a good model site to get you started, google 'Wxcharts'

Edited June 12, 2020 by Lance M

[Paul Sherman]

Am out and about picking my daughter up from work atm but am sure 1 of the others who have Extra (UKV) will upload some slides for projected tonight 

[MP-R]

12mm of rain in as many minutes here as that line went through. Heaviest rain since 1st May - was quite impressive being blown about. Now back to overcast skies and calm again.

[matt111]

@viking_smb Tonight and tomorrow

[Supacell]

2 hours ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

Hi Supacell,

Am considering chasing tomorrow also, do you have any particularly good spots across W Midlands into Wales with good access routes etc. I'm thinking maybe positioning around the Shropshire AONB area? Maybe further north towards Shrewsbury. What's your thinking?

I am glad others have answered this as to be honest I don't know the routes as well across the chase area tomorrow. My current thinking would be to sit somewhere near the M54 just west of Birmingham as this will provide me quick access westwards towards Shrewsbury. It also puts me in close proximity to the M6 which is a quick way north into Staffordshire and Cheshire. With things as they are and it being a Saturday, I am hoping this will prevent running into too much traffic congestion.

2 hours ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Can’t believe you won’t even buy a boat

Or a helicopter. Times are hard for us storm chasers, having to stay on just roads

[viking_smb]

cheers matt

[Frosty hollows]

Thought I'd escaped the rain, but this is incoming

 

[Guest]

14 minutes ago, matt111 said:

@viking_smb Tonight and tomorrow

Under whelming