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Storms and Convective discussion - 1st June 2020onwards


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Just now, Mapantz said:

Quite disheartening to see the models show pretty much the same areas getting these storms all week. Absolutely zero likely down here!

Yep but great to see the northwest get some severe weather

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A quick recap of my day, without getting too waffly. It has been an absolute classic and my favourite/most successful chase so far. - started fairly benign as I failed to get a good handle on the

100% Bonafide Supercell no doubting that whatsoever 35knts of flow, Moved right of the deviant steering flow Killed off anything that came near it Like most Supercells massive uptick in

Nice little thunderstorm finally drought is over!  London webcams: I grabbed this!!! 

Posted Images

Something is preventing anything from happening to the south and east of the Peak District today. I wonder if the stubbornness of the cloud earlier scuppered chances due to depressed temperatures?

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Been keeping an eye on this for the last 30 minutes, looking west from central Manchester. Fairly sure there's some rotation to it with very low cloud and intense lightning. Quite the downpour too by the looks of it!

IMG_3197.JPG

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16 minutes ago, TJS1998Tom said:

Surprised not much lightning coming from it

I'm one mile from the town centre on this one, watched it form and heard plenty of of thunder coming from it. No lightning observed and no rain fell In my location but, I bet town is a bit soggy! 

Edited by tooby
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These are of the Cheshire cell near Manchester, it's huge, watched it for a little while, lots of lightning, too distant to make out what kind though, from where l was watching it all seemed embedded.

IMG_20200615_204938.jpg

IMG_20200615_205106.jpg

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1 minute ago, Zak M said:

I haven't seen any lightning to my north surprisingly.

Its definitely intensifying. Have a look at the rain radar. Seen a few more distant flashes as it approaches. 

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Just now, Josh Rubio said:

Its definitely intensifying. Have a look at the rain radar. Seen a few more distant flashes as it approaches. 

It’s well passed me now , but is constantly rumbling away , hardly any lightning spotted but nice little storm for sure 

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11 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Quite disheartening to see the models show pretty much the same areas getting these storms all week. Absolutely zero likely down here!

Quite. Just had a peek at the models and it looks a carbon copy from today.

The feature on Wednesday night - is that ‘thundery rain’ or are we looking at an MCS?

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I’ve heard of splitting right movers in the USA but this one is something else. In the us the right movers will generally head SE, but in this easterly flow we have a north east mover

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4 minutes ago, Azazel said:

Quite. Just had a peek at the models and it looks a carbon copy from today.

The feature on Wednesday night - is that ‘thundery rain’ or are we looking at an MCS?

Not overly sure. The UKV shows the front moving West in to the Midlands very early on Thursday. However, there's an opportunity for some surface-based convection to develop South of that front, all dependent on any sunshine of course. That's the best outlook I can see for down here, at the moment.

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13 minutes ago, Supacell said:

Not so sure. I was to the west yesterday and everything happened to the east. I'd head NW tomorrow but I know what will happen if I do.

I hope so. So disappointing to see everything that dared to get close just die off quickly.

@Paul Sherman explained it was an undercutting wind from the NE that was killing them off, rather than the hills (didn't think the cells got close enough to the hills anyway). XC weather wind map confirmed that. Hopefully different tomorrow.

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