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Storms and Convective discussion - 1st June 2020onwards


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A quick recap of my day, without getting too waffly. It has been an absolute classic and my favourite/most successful chase so far. - started fairly benign as I failed to get a good handle on the

100% Bonafide Supercell no doubting that whatsoever 35knts of flow, Moved right of the deviant steering flow Killed off anything that came near it Like most Supercells massive uptick in

Nice little thunderstorm finally drought is over!  London webcams: I grabbed this!!! 

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3 minutes ago, Jim Halpert said:

Splitting off to the right? image.thumb.png.85020dbf62a56d51a918b9220341afb9.png

 

1 minute ago, Mitch perrott said:

when!? also is that the only risk map for that day or is there updates before and after that one? ?

Only 2 more days of repeated storms up north before it’s our turn and it fails to happen on the day ?‍♂️
 

Fool me once...

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4 minutes ago, Mitch perrott said:

when!? also is that the only risk map for that day or is there updates before and after that one? ?

Look for where it says 'valid' at the top right - so 3am Weds night/Thurs in this case. And it's not a risk map or anything like that, it's just one model's take on it. Like Paul said, some models have it way north and some have it crawling along the southern counties, so you and I need to hope for the latter ? 

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6 minutes ago, carl1980 said:

Constant rumbling in the distance, getting louder

Are you in Kirkby or St Helens now? Can’t hear anything here yet.

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6 minutes ago, Zak M said:

Guessing you didn't hear it?

nope ? although i did see the shower was turning more stormy as it moved away. This is north to me.

Mk way looks worst, got that bluey grey ness to it.

 

 

stormy pic pic.jpg

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Loving the excitement - keep the posts coming peeps.

As an aside, and basing it on @Zak M post, I think blitzortung and other lightning detectors aren’t picking up a number of strikes. The thunder and lightning I was VERY lucky to get on Saturday was far more frequent than blitzortung indicated and I’m thinking that’s true of others storms around the country. 

Can only sit here under blue skies with envy at what you guys are enjoying ?

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Look at what's going on over Ireland right now!

1948157569_Screenshot2020-06-15at20_14_16.thumb.png.55e522961cb5024e8de2752590ab1d83.png57352567_Screenshot2020-06-15at20_14_29.thumb.png.0b8d422103ae489c97e078ef19b4cb49.png971394517_Screenshot2020-06-15at20_14_46.thumb.png.407fb203d3a0ff22d41fc9c66312ae7b.png

I don't think I've seen rainfall rates that high before, it's basically off the scale! Gorgeous overshooting top too.

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And still in Congleton we get nothing, the wait goes on. How can we miss a storm 3 days in a row by a few miles, what's more annoying is that storm went past to the west, now has split to the east just north of my town. 

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