Storms and Convective discussion - 1st June 2020onwards

[Paul Sherman]

Actually more of the West Country gets involved tomorrow as well so areas like Bristol and South Wales that sort of area. Have not looked at eastern extent yet but am guessing we will brew em up again

[ChezWeather]

Looking like abit of a dead duck for this region today, I will happily be proven wrong of course! 

[Tom dewey likes thunder]

to days cape model and tomorrow's cape model 

[Cheshire Freeze]

Just now, Ryukai said:

Been watching this ominous looking thing building over me for the last 5 mins, it's barely moving!!!! 

 

CZ has shifted N

[ChannelThunder]

Got a heavy downpour basically one mile to the north right now, the sky is dominated by it, yet it still refuses to rain here! Yet another downpour this month that's passed within miles. 

This village surely belongs in SE Essex for the amount of rain it gets!

[Mr Frost]

7 minutes ago, matt111 said:

While the south and east gradually turns more and more into a desert  

Could be worse Matt - think June 2019!

Surely June 2020 will be better? 

Edited June 15, 2020 by Mr Frost

[Paul Sherman]

1 minute ago, Lance M said:

Got a heavy downpour basically one mile to the north right now, the sky is dominated by it, yet it still refuses to rain here! Yet another downpour this month that's passed within miles. 

This village surely belongs in SE Essex for the amount of rain it gets!

Wednesday looks quality down your way though so at least there is hope 

[Calayte]

10 minutes ago, Sparkiee storm said:

Lets hope they do, a repeat of Saturday Evening would be lovely, without sounding too greedy lol.

I think it is too much wishful thinking lmao! But it would be a nice surprise!

Although i have just noticed, Netweather thinks were going to have a higher chance between 19:00 & 22:00 

Edited June 15, 2020 by Calayte

[Allseasons-Si]

1 minute ago, Tom dewey likes thunder said:

to days cape model and tomorrow's cape model 

You cannot just go on cape though Tom,there is other factors like CZ's(convergence zones),shear,lapse rates,dew points etc etc,and as is the nature of showers,some places just like the last few days get a dumping whilst most stay dry

hope that helps

[ChannelThunder]

1 minute ago, Paul Sherman said:

Wednesday looks quality down your way though so at least there is hope 

Good to hear, thanks mate! Need to go check the models and see if the MCS is still on for the night time, seen a couple of people here saying it's 'on again' after your post this morning saying it looked dead!

[IanieKetchup]

28 minutes ago, Nick L said:

4th thunder day of the year here in Aylesbury. One of the best years I can remember for number of thunder days so far. 

I am just east in Wingrave. Was just saying it's going away but just had a massive one near by!

 

I agree it has been very frequent around here recently.

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

Wow! Can see that Norfolk storm from here. Cracking top to it! 

[tempesta]

Very heavy rain and one low thunder rumble in epsom. Feels better! 

[cheshire snow]

This looking a bit naughty 

[Paul Sherman]

6 minutes ago, Lance M said:

Good to hear, thanks mate! Need to go check the models and see if the MCS is still on for the night time, seen a couple of people here saying it's 'on again' after your post this morning saying it looked dead!

Yh coming back onto the 12z suites for sure. Dans not too hopeful for too many sferics at this stage but surprises always crop up, Some take it into East Anglia which would be the worst outcome, some up the Estuary and some offshore into the Channel so guessing this time tomorrow night will be a better indicator

[Frosty hollows]

28 minutes ago, Allezwasps. said:

Don’t get too excited it produced Naff all here , probably en route to High Wycombe again !!!

As usual,  gone to my East on the wrong side of the river

[ChannelThunder]

1 minute ago, Paul Sherman said:

Yh coming back onto the 12z suites for sure. Dans not too hopeful for too many sferics at this stage but surprises always crop up, Some take it into East Anglia which would be the worst outcome, some up the Estuary and some offshore into the Channel so guessing this time tomorrow night will be a better indicator

Certainly enjoying this one, although it's probably drunk. Still, we can dream.

[Paul Sherman]

1 minute ago, Frosty hollows said:

As usual,  gone to my East on the wrong side of the river

The stuff east of Reading is tracking straight at Oxford though

[Sparkiee storm]

12 minutes ago, Calayte said:

I think it is too much wishful thinking lmao! But it would be a nice surprise!

Although i have just noticed, Netweather thinks were going to have a higher chance between 19:00 & 22:00 

Will we have to see, ive saw a couple things saying storms for the Midlands tonight but anytime from 7pm till 3am lol, so we will have to see and keep checking the radar/lightning. The cells around Milton Keynes are heading up this way slowly so the forecast might be relating to those.

[tempesta]

 

 

9 minutes ago, tempesta said:

Very heavy rain and one low thunder rumble in epsom. Feels better! 

Met office app under 5 percent chance of rain

Edited June 15, 2020 by tempesta

[sparky1972]

nothing here thus far, been a pleasent afternoon once the low cloud burnt off, but has a nice clear feel, nothing overly humid, tuesday looks our best chance at the mo.

[Guest]

Friend shared this video on Facebook (not her video, I might add) 

 

[The PIT]

Sadly looks like we are out of luck for a Thundery shower today. The showers to the south of us are weakening as they edge west north west.

[Ryukai]

Thunder from the storm just to my west, come closer little storm!

[Cheshire Freeze]

Thunder heard here