Storms and Convective discussion - 1st June 2020onwards

[viking_smb]

2 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Too much rain cooled air from the mass of storms that have moved across the Bristol Channel today - Last of the showers in Someret will fade by 22z and skies clearing. Tomorrow looks good for you guys

thanks mate much appreciated you missed a good little storm earlier here in cardiff I dont mind about tomorrow as in work lol but I will have my spare sailing jacket ready though  , apparently  dan@convective weather said there is cape avail tonight is that correct?

Edited June 17, 2020 by viking_smb

[toggerob]

It looks to be more thundery rain here than a thunder storm, not that i'm complaining  

[Harry]

Finally seeing across Benelux what this ‘possible MCS’ is all about...been a steady flow of rain spreading into the Channel all day (but decaying thankfully) but now there’s some more active storms racing westwards

[Paul Sherman]

1 minute ago, viking_smb said:

thanks mate much appreciated you missed a good little storm earlier here in cardiff, apparently  dan@convective weather said there is cape avail tonight is that correct?

Spoke with Dan a little while ago, things have changed somewhat after todays events which is what is putting tonight and tomorrow off kilter. Am sure he will put up a forecast probably by 10-11pm as he has been chasing today around Suffolk and West Norfolk

[oliverek7]

Cells popping up again in the SE now

Edited June 17, 2020 by Oliver Wyndham-lewis

[Paul Sherman]

1 minute ago, Harry said:

Finally seeing across Benelux what this ‘possible MCS’ is all about...been a steady flow of rain spreading into the Channel all day (but decaying thankfully) but now there’s some more active storms racing westwards

Profiles are awful Harry - Totally Saturated at all levels, happy to be proved wrong but that nearly always promotes dynamic rainfall with one or 2 rumbles. There could be some developments ahead of the incoming system if winds are favourable and a line of convergence happens in the early hours but thats an outside bet

[Had Worse]

Boom, that was shotgun thunder.

Struck something very close

[Chris Lea-Alex]

Scud. From Crystal palace park

Edited June 17, 2020 by Chris Lea-Alex
It is awake

[Harry]

5 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Profiles are awful Harry - Totally Saturated at all levels, happy to be proved wrong but that nearly always promotes dynamic rainfall with one or 2 rumbles. There could be some developments ahead of the incoming system if winds are favourable and a line of convergence happens in the early hours but thats an outside bet

Agreed - to my mind it always looked an outside bet anyway as instability has always looked quite marginal. Only hope I took was from the convective looking outbreaks ahead or accompanying it but, given the local downpours to here are currently producing no lightning, optimism is low  

Edit - spoke too soon - strike appeared a very short distance from here under a very dark base - but I saw and heard nothing - noooooo!!!

Edited June 17, 2020 by Harry

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

Nice little storm over Westbury way

[cambs_ry]

Patiently waiting for these reds and pinks to slam into us, been staring out the window for an hour now, I think it's slowed down as it adopts a more westerly trajectory.

[Tom dewey likes thunder]

10 minutes ago, Andy Bown said:

Funnel or scud?

Also how the energy transfers within storms is remarkable.

It did a U-turn from Westbury to go towards Warminster to Mere and saw light front window then my back and close flash of lighting and rumble thunder

 

[SarahWxm]

Black as night over Wrexham atm but no thunder heard yet. My detector says lightning 8 miles away!

[oliverek7]

Um. Lightning kicking off in south London?

Edited June 17, 2020 by Oliver Wyndham-lewis

[The PIT]

Well that should be it for the night. So far this year plenty of thundery showers and one storm. Still kicks a lot of years into dust.

[oliverek7]

Think I just heard a rumble

[Harry]

Just now, Oliver Wyndham-lewis said:

Um. Lightning kicking off in south London?

Very near me but I’ve seen and heard nothing

[Shaun L]

2 minutes ago, SarahWxm said:

Black as night over Wrexham atm but no thunder heard yet. My detector says lightning 8 miles away!

Looks like the storm is over Johnstown way

[Harry]

Heard thunder just then though - just as it’s travelled past though grrrrrrr

[oliverek7]

Just now, Harry said:

Very near me but I’ve seen and heard nothing

Just heard another one. Funny as soon as you said these cells were producing no lightning, a bunch of sferics appeared

[Robbie Garrett]

3km into my 5km interval run, look at that beauty moving away into Buckinghamshire. 

5 minutes ago, Harry said:

Finally seeing across Benelux what this ‘possible MCS’ is all about...been a steady flow of rain spreading into the Channel all day (but decaying thankfully) but now there’s some more active storms racing westwards

20 minutes ago, Harry said:

Handful of very localised but RAPIDLY developing deluges kicking off in my locale. No thunder sadly.

4 minutes ago, Oliver Wyndham-lewis said:

Cells popping up again in the SE now

Yes - cells rapidly popping off and becoming electrical now. Cells back-building over that one over central London.   Watching from my Living room view.

 

[chapmanslade]

Two of the closest strikes for a long time out of that one as it came overhead from Warminster. Less than 300m, one near Corsley and the other on the A36 at the top of Blackdog Hill. Both instant shotgun thunder. Two nights running now at about the same time.

[Harry]

Can see lightning from it now - sadly going in the wrong direction

[oliverek7]

Becoming more frequent now. Love how unpredictable it is at the moment

[SarahWxm]

4 minutes ago, Shaun L said:

Looks like the storm is over Johnstown way

Not sure. It’s so black but nothing seen or heard. It’s weird lol