Storms and Convective discussion - 1st June 2020onwards

[Geordiesnow]

I have to say, I agree with Chris R assessment that coastal areas are likely to stay dry because of the sea breeze, shame really as the atmosphere seems  perfect for convective potential. 

Who knows, once the sea breeze eases down this evening coastal areas may have a chance. 

[Atmogenic]

Got some nice cloudscape to my north moving away 

 

 

but what’s this trying to hide itself to my south

Edited June 15, 2020 by Atmogenic

[SalopWatcher]

Something developing to the east of town giving over us.. might be something of interest towards Wrexham way. Sadly no chase for me today, my 3 year old car failed its first ever MOT today. Nightmare 

[Argyle10]

My lightning app just detected 2 strikes nearby but nothing showing up anything else. I think they are false? 

 

Edit:showing up now on lightning maps now but not blitz

Edited June 15, 2020 by Charlie Harnett

[ChannelThunder]

Interesting comparing AROME 6z run with the current radar at this time; I'd say it's pretty much identical, so maybe that's going to end up being the best-performing model this week for the day-to-day details!

That run also develops cells just north of me (typical) in the middle of the night tonight, swinging them through West-Mids and Wales into the early morning. 

[Sparkiee storm]

3 minutes ago, Calayte said:

Im down near Oldbury and 100% see what you mean, got some good time lapses that show that really well

Nice, tried to capture it with my cam too but couldn't really see it much, 

 

3 minutes ago, ancientsolar said:

still a good amount of time in the day though! I don't believe it was convective so early on yesterday as it was today 

I agree, usually around now onwards for peak heating = max convection.

 

4 minutes ago, weirpig said:

very dark around here now sparkiee    seems to have really developed

I think i can see what you mean from here in Walsall, looks dark towards your way with quite big towers going up.

[Zak M]

3 minutes ago, Atmogenic said:

 

but what’s this trying to hide itself to my south

 

 

 

 

That would be the cell that's about to depart NE France 

[Allseasons-Si]

 

2 hours ago, Supacell said:

Euro4 shows an area of intense precipitation sitting just to my north (Matlock/Chesterfield) from this evening into the first part of the night. Check out the 6 hour accumulation chart from 6pm to midnight courtesy of weatheronline.co.uk

Hey Supacell,is it Karl?

do you think those storms over the NW will back build to this location that you have put above or are there more storms to build from the SE of there?,genuine question.

or it could be that placement above is further west now currently?

Edited June 15, 2020 by Allseasons-si
no space between words.

[Atmogenic]

1 minute ago, Zak M said:

That would be the cell that's about to depart NE France 

I know what it is, i was saying how it was trying to poke itself out from the trees and houses

[Liam Taylor]

Any thunderstorm forecast for Doncaster today and the rest of the week. ⛈

[Jamie M]

1 minute ago, Zak M said:

That would be the cell that's about to depart NE France 

Zak-o-vision strikes again. 

[alexisj9]

1 minute ago, Zak M said:

That would be the cell that's about to depart NE France 

Ive been watching that go up and down all day lol, all that makes it over is some wispy high cloud, although this looks a little stronger. 

[SCB2001]

Hi first time on here, keen amateur. How are things looking storm wise for Bradford/Bingley area?

 

[Calayte]

In the time it took me to walk to the shop and back it has got extremely dark, can feel the humidity and warmth rising too! Hoping for something to kick off soon, certainly feels like it will!

[Allseasons-Si]

Initiation over Leicester as in a cell has popped up there pretty quick.

[Justin1705]

So the net-wx data is promising. So 15z has a small cell or group of small cells starting in the area where there as few areas of precipitation at present and moving north west awards over the capital and into the midlands, rapidly growing and hopefully producing daughter cells the next 45-1 hour will tel. Sorry to all for distrusting the happy forum if 

[Chris.R]

As expected, all lightning is not reaching this far west due to the seabreeze. Maybe it will be different later.

[Weather-history]

Bird song and almost continuous grumbling thunder

 

Edited June 15, 2020 by Weather-history

[Argyle10]

11 minutes ago, Charlie Harnett said:

My lightning app just detected 2 strikes nearby but nothing showing up anything else. I think they are false? 

 

Edit:showing up now on lightning maps now but not blitz

?? Dissapeared on lightning maps again

Edited June 15, 2020 by Charlie Harnett

[Calayte]

3 minutes ago, Justin1705 said:

So the net-wx data is promising. So 15z has a small cell or group of small cells starting in the area where there as few areas of precipitation at present and moving north west awards over the capital and into the midlands, rapidly growing and hopefully producing daughter cells the next 45-1 hour will tel. Sorry to all for distrusting the happy forum if 

I noticed that! Definitely hoping that does come to something as ill be right in the firing line!

[Justin1705]

Just now, Calayte said:

I noticed that! Definitely hoping that does come to something as ill be right in the firing line!

Yeah hopefully it fires up over the capital and not after it leaves to the Nw need a storm 1) I’ve had 1 strike and 1 rumble this year, and 2) it’s boiling !!

[The PIT]

Can see the towers in the north west from here. Faint attempts of convection here.

[Liam Taylor]

Tomorrow looks like my area will get thunderstorm tomorrow 

[Sparkiee storm]

AROME los res, showing what Lance M mentioned storms going through the Midlands and into Wales between 11pm and 2am overnight tonight. 

[SarahWxm]

14 minutes ago, SalopWatcher said:

Something developing to the east of town giving over us.. might be something of interest towards Wrexham way. Sadly no chase for me today, my 3 year old car failed its first ever MOT today. Nightmare 

Not much happening Wrexham way atm but it’s gloriously hot and very humid! Typical kind of clouds around atm too. I’ll be very surprised if we don’t get any action some point today.