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Storms and Convective discussion - 1st June 2020onwards

Supacell

By Supacell
in Storms & Severe Weather

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matt111 Maestro

matt111

Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
Posted
Just now, PurpleLED said:

what if 10 day out gfs was accurate 

 

haha jk, unless......

ukcapeli.png

If only

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bazookabob Community Regular

bazookabob

Posted
  • Location: Garforth, Leeds 86m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Heat, Snow, Thunder
  • Location: Garforth, Leeds 86m asl
Posted

Surprised to see this to the NORTH of me about half an hour ago... Harrogate direction roughly. 20200614_195351.thumb.jpg.5a60af356881a4e16fa7be7f6d2915c5.jpg

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matt111 Maestro

matt111

Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
Posted

 

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted
15 minutes ago, PurpleLED said:

what if 10 day out gfs was accurate 

 

haha jk, unless......

ukcapeli.png

I had to look at that twice,i thought that you zoomed into a storm cell lol.

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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

Just steady rain now as the cells slowly fade away.

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matt111 Maestro

matt111

Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
Posted
1 minute ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

I can look out the window on most days and see that

I can't, well it seems I can't anyway with how things have been lately as nothing happens here 

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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted
56 minutes ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

Not so sure that would be the case. The likelihood of it appearing to explode, is that the updraft which provides the storms power probably would have still been over warm landmass. A sheared environment separated the downdraft (precip) from the updraft (no precip normally). It soon died down once the whole storm was out to sea. 

Also the reason for North Sea storms, is they are elevated, and are often associated with very rich plumes and EML’s, so despite the surface temp being cold, the EML can still provide the CAPE to fuel the updraft. That’s my take on it anyway. 

It’s a fair explanation. Cheers  

how come the storms seem to get more vicious as they leave EA on many occasions. They reach the sea and either maintain strength or get more powerful. Surely that’s not just the MLCAPE or otherwise it would just stay the same.

I want to know what the channel is doing wrong - it never happens there

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Zak M Maestro

Zak M

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, plumes, snow, severe weather
  • Location: Bedfordshire
Posted

Nottingham cell

87C3C2C0-2AD1-4CA7-A2BE-C9D3A2D9C0EC.jpeg

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Guest

Guest

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Zak M said:

Nottingham cell

87C3C2C0-2AD1-4CA7-A2BE-C9D3A2D9C0EC.jpeg

Surprised it has lasted this long! With light to moderate rain over us now from a decayed storm, no chance seeing it on the horizon yet. This stuff overhead needs to clear!

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ChannelThunder Accomplished

ChannelThunder

Posted
  • Location: Thorley, west Isle of Wight
  • Weather Preferences: Spanish plumes & stormy winters. Facebook @ Lance's Lightning Shots
  • Location: Thorley, west Isle of Wight
Posted (edited)
11 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Tomorrow is a slap on the face for anyone in the south. Not sure why it matters as our forecasts are always wrong anyway ?‍♂️

If Tuesday-Thursday fails to deliver anything, 'gutted' will be putting it lightly for me!

Edited by Lance M
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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted
3 minutes ago, Jim Halpert said:

Surprised it has lasted this long! With light to moderate rain over us now from a decayed storm, no chance seeing it on the horizon yet. This stuff overhead needs to clear!

Worth keeping an eye on. Seems to eating it's weetabix and getting strength from somewhere.

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted
7 minutes ago, Jim Halpert said:

Surprised it has lasted this long! With light to moderate rain over us now from a decayed storm, no chance seeing it on the horizon yet. This stuff overhead needs to clear!

 

3 minutes ago, The PIT said:

Worth keeping an eye on. Seems to eating it's weetabix and getting strength from somewhere.

Died off now unfortunately 

2 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

Gone all flat. Brings into question why did yesterday suddenly take off late in the day but today it was the opposite?

 

that's a good question,maybe still too early yet for nocturnal cooling to take effect.

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Zak M Maestro

Zak M

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, plumes, snow, severe weather
  • Location: Bedfordshire
Posted (edited)

Well I finally managed to get there in the end!

I was busy this morning and I finished editing it around the late afternoon, but completely forgot to upload! :olddoh:

So here it is - a video of the distant lightning I was able to see, along with some timelapses I managed to throw in from yesterday. Apologies for the quality in some of the timelapses, some of them had rendering issues so I had to import them in a different way.

Best timelapse I have captured so far this year is 2:06 onwards. It was a storm that developed to the west of Northampton and travelled as far as Birmingham.

Edit: How the hell did @Ryukai's image appear in my post when I was editing it??

Edited by Zak M
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Ryukai Rising Star

Ryukai

Posted
  • Location: Stoke-on-Trent, Norton. 549ft (167m) ASL
  • Location: Stoke-on-Trent, Norton. 549ft (167m) ASL
Posted

Least we finished on a nice looking Sunset up here

IMG_20200614_212410533.thumb.jpg.2083412409a8f2a012560772e71bacbc.jpg

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Popular Post
Posted

From last night over Merseyside.

 

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alijoy60 Apprentice

alijoy60

Posted
  • Location: Ainsdale, Southport, Merseyside
  • Location: Ainsdale, Southport, Merseyside
Posted
2 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

From last night over Merseyside.

 

It was a great night, the best I’ve seen in years here.

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted
50 minutes ago, PurpleLED said:

what if 10 day out gfs was accurate 

 

haha jk, unless......

ukcapeli.png

10 days out with the models being the way they have been lately?

Nice to see a prospect for our first plume of 2020

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Paul Sherman Veteran

Paul Sherman

Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
Posted

Yep absolute carbon copy of today coming up tomorrow and rough for areas of the South and South East.

Storms may fire a little closer to London along the Chilterns as the southern extent but this all moving and maturing to the NW again. Dry for the TOD and COS and also Kent and Eastern Suffolk and Lincs. Severest storms once again West Wales, and North West England and parts of Ireland.

Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

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East_England_Stormchaser91 Veteran

East_England_Stormchaser91

Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
Posted
21 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

It’s a fair explanation. Cheers  

how come the storms seem to get more vicious as they leave EA on many occasions. They reach the sea and either maintain strength or get more powerful. Surely that’s not just the MLCAPE or otherwise it would just stay the same.

I want to know what the channel is doing wrong - it never happens there

I believe they, along with the trough always engage with the Warmer and juicier Theta E and W airmass, which usually happens further East, as that’s where they mostly tend to be located. All relative to the big continental landmass that makes them! 

It’s often why storms said by a few in here always seem to ‘explode’ North of the M25 or M4 too. Basically the further East you go, you get a higher chance of seeing proper plume type storms. 

 

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Ryukai Rising Star

Ryukai

Posted
  • Location: Stoke-on-Trent, Norton. 549ft (167m) ASL
  • Location: Stoke-on-Trent, Norton. 549ft (167m) ASL
Posted
8 minutes ago, Zak M said:

Edit: How the hell did @Ryukai's image appear in my post when I was editing it??

I've had that happen to me before o_O, The Sites getting it's wires crossed somewhere

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