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2020 Arctic Sea Ice Minimum Poll: May

BornFromTheVoid

By BornFromTheVoid
in Climate Change

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Arctic Sea Ice Minimum Extent Poll 2020   

14 members have voted

  1. 1. What will the 2020 NSIDC daily sea ice extent minimum be this year? Options are in millions of km2

    • > 7.0
      0
    • 6.75 - 7.0 (80s average)
      0
    • 6.5 to 6.75
      0
    • 6.25 to 6.5 (90s average)
      0
    • 6.0 to 6.25
      0
    • 5.75 to 6.0
      0
    • 5.5 to 5.75
      0
    • 5.25 to 5.5 (00s average)
      0
    • 5.0 to 5.25
      0
    • 4.75 to 5.0
      0
    • 4.5 to 4.75
      1
    • 4.25 to 4.5 (10s average)
      3
    • 4.0 to 4.25 (2007)
      1
    • 3.75 to 4.0
      3
    • 3.5 to 3.75
      4
    • 3.25 to 3.5 (2012)
      1
    • 3.0 to 3.25
      0
    • 2.75 to 3.0
      0
    • 2.5 to 2.75
      0
    • 2.25 to 2.5
      0
    • 2.0 to 2.25
      0
    • 1.75 to 2.0
      0
    • 1.5 to 1.75
      0
    • 1.25 to 1.5
      0
    • 1.0 to 1.25
      0
    • <1.0
      1

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BornFromTheVoid Maestro

BornFromTheVoid

Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
Posted

Latest poll to see how we think the Arctic sea ice melt season will go this year. Extent has generally been hovering around 2nd to 5th lowest during May, much like it has for Spring so far.

As before, the data will be based on the NSIDC extent measures. They provide excel spreadsheets here that contain all of their daily data. Below are the values for the last 10 minima, in millions of km2

image.png.f5571f0538f96495c4159298a40781

 

The first poll, at the end of March, the average of 22 votes was 4.1 million km2, with a 90% range from 2.5 to 5.7.
The last poll, from a total of 15 votes, the average was 4.0 million km2, with a 90% range from 3.2 to 4.9.

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BornFromTheVoid Maestro

BornFromTheVoid

Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Author
Posted

A week remaining to get your votes in, so don't forget!

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BornFromTheVoid Maestro

BornFromTheVoid

Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Author
Posted

Poll closing later today

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