Noctilucent Clouds Season 2020

[mushymanrob]

6 hours ago, Arnie Pie said:

To many irished coffee`s mate

French grape juice, lol.

I was just making the point that i need to be selective about ramping up these clouds. Im disappointed that they are not more popular, so i dont want to encourage people to stop up/go out if theres next to nothing likely to show. So on TAW ill only promote an evening thats got a good chance of a decent display.

[Paul Sherman]

22 minutes ago, mushymanrob said:

French grape juice, lol.

I was just making the point that i need to be selective about ramping up these clouds. Im disappointed that they are not more popular, so i dont want to encourage people to stop up/go out if theres next to nothing likely to show. So on TAW ill only promote an evening thats got a good chance of a decent display.

Yh agree with this

I only send alerts out to people if its showing really strong with pics coming in from Belgium, Holland, Denmark and Germany and we start getting them around 1030pm. ALL displays like this since May 31st have had a much better display at 130-330am the following morning

[The PIT]

Pain woke me up at two had a look out there may have been a few faint clouds above the house but too faint to tell for sure.

[Arnie Pie]

15 hours ago, SNOW_JOKE said:

Very faint NLCs seen from here between 11:30pm and midnight, really needed to bring out the contrast on the photo's but so-far tonight it's been slim pickings.

 

 

Nice one....as you said slim pickings last night

A difficult one to call at first.....in fact i didn`t

Here`s one from last night taken at 11pm to the NW (its the same sky....Capella)

52mm 6" @ f8.0 iso 500 + a bit of local contrast (photoscape)

I`m having the same problem. Im finding that there is a fine line between representing the image infront of you....or Art, of which we appreciate

Many a wallpaper and prints has be borrowed from the community

A challenging sweet spot to find to find on the camera

 

 

[Arnie Pie]

20 hours ago, mushymanrob said:

Yep, but not enough for me to stop up for, nor recommend others to do so, as you have seen

i think its working very well this year.....as for what it is ....A bestguessomiter

Where just going to have to crack the 3 dayout forecast

( win some more beer of Mr Sherman)

it was ok last season when we had the AIM`s by tea time

But there coming in later than the first European sightings

Edited June 24, 2020 by Arnie Pie

[Paul Sherman]

28 minutes ago, Arnie Pie said:

i think its working very well this year.....as for what it is ....A bestguessomiter

Where just going to have to crack the 3 dayout forecast

( win some more beer of Mr Sherman)

it was ok last season when we had the AIM`s by tea time

But there coming in later than the first European sightings

 Yep I am a few beers down

Have tipped off the Canadian guys for tonight seeing as the big display we had Sunday into Monday should have gone around the clock to them by now.

Still trying to work out the DAISY Clock. I wonder if its 1.5 turns per day eg 4 days would be the 12 o clock  position. I just dont know tbh

Looking at the 21st Image though you would think its gunna be quiet for a few more days yet as nothing is spiking around the 11-1 position really

[Arnie Pie]

20 hours ago, Arnie Pie said:

Latest Aim for 21-06-2020 (for Sunday nights showing)

looks like there a lot of defragmentation around the 1 o`clock area with individual NLC`s floating around at lower latitudes.....Could be some small sightings for tonight

 

As you can see 3 days out (11 0`clock) is a deterioration down to the core ....and like last night`s, some bigger banks of of individual clouds at lower latitudes......So a similar forecast to last night for tonight/ morning

Hold the front Page

Since the Marrsy radar  has gone down Ive been keeping an eye on the Oswin radar...of which to me. there seems to be a correlation between a strong signal and NLC sightings......Having said that the more i read about the Oswin radar the less i understand

Copyright only allows me to link to the page......but check out the Oswin signal

Current radar observations - Research - Leibniz-Institut für Atmosphärenphysik, Kühlungsborn

WWW.IAP-KBORN.DE

 Edit;  It could be that one of the bigger banks of of individual clouds has slid down to a lower latitude and is passing over the radar now

Edited June 24, 2020 by Arnie Pie

[Arnie Pie]

1 hour ago, Paul Sherman said:

 Yep I am a few beers down

Have tipped off the Canadian guys for tonight seeing as the big display we had Sunday into Monday should have gone around the clock to them by now.

Still trying to work out the DAISY Clock. I wonder if its 1.5 turns per day eg 4 days would be the 12 o clock  position. I just dont know tbh

Looking at the 21st Image though you would think its gunna be quiet for a few more days yet as nothing is spiking around the 11-1 position really

Its` all about the way the NLC`s migrate around the pole....Nasa beleive  to complete 1 circuit of the pole...  ie 360° takes 5 days

We know that the NLC`s travel from East to West which means that the clouds migrate in a clockwise direction around the pole

Which 1 day of migration around the pole would be equal to 72° travel

Which if were a clockface.....Then this would be equal to 12 mins per day

Edited June 24, 2020 by Arnie Pie

[Paul Sherman]

So effectively or roughly 2.5 bit of the clock per day. So 2 days ago would have been 1 oclock and 3 days ago 10 and a half etc etc

[Arnie Pie]

Roughly yes.....I f you can imagine yesterdays AIM under this clockface ( remember its 12mins a day clockwise migration)

@PauI Sherman I know who  to trust when getting a forecast for a static brummie for this weeks thunderstorm outlook

Edited June 24, 2020 by Arnie Pie

[Arnie Pie]

 Latest AIM for 22-06-2020

 

 

Not tonight Josephine

[mushymanrob]

7 minutes ago, Arnie Pie said:

 Latest AIM for 22-06-2020

 

 

Not tonight Josephine

no?.... thought horizon sightings would be likely?..

[Arnie Pie]

17 minutes ago, mushymanrob said:

no?.... thought horizon sightings would be likely?.

On my horizon....Quite possibly yes...but im expecting a very small, faint display

even back to the core the mass has a lighter colour

So no firewoks tonight

Edited June 24, 2020 by Arnie Pie

[Arnie Pie]

Eddy Metais  facebook

Visual Storyteller · 3 mins

Faint NLC starting to show up in Copenhagen
NW direction. 20 deg above horizon

[Arnie Pie]

Last try this morning at 2.30am, which was just before Nautical twilight.......

Allthough Capella and Menkallnan were shining brightly... no NCL`s visible from here

a few sightings from Europe this morning of faint, low alltitude NCL`s

 The first 4° of our view is the smut level which they may have been behind

As for tonight....I wont be calling any watch parties

but im encouraged by the upcoming density of the cloud

Oh for a clear night on Fri/ Sat

Edited June 25, 2020 by Arnie Pie

[Arnie Pie]

Latest Aim 28-06-2020

Nowt much tonight but the next couple of nights will be interesting

[Arnie Pie]

Gulp

High altitude showing now in EU

 

Edited June 25, 2020 by Arnie Pie

[Arnie Pie]

Showing on the Baltic cams now....we might be ok for a second half display

Overview - Forschung - Leibniz-Institut für Atmosphärenphysik, Kühlungsborn

WWW.IAP-KBORN.DE

 

[Paul Sherman]

Agree next 2 nights looking very favourable, now are those skies gunna be clear - Hmmmm

[mushymanrob]

12 hours ago, Arnie Pie said:

Gulp

High altitude showing now in EU

 

oooohhh i see...... we have left the EU so wont be getting their clouds!

[Arnie Pie]

5 hours ago, mushymanrob said:

oooohhh i see...... we have left the EU so wont be getting their clouds!

A difficult negotiation Rob....Up there with the fisheries

Lets hope we get some of their thunder storms

[Arnie Pie]

9 hours ago, Paul Sherman said:

Agree next 2 nights looking very favourable, now are those skies gunna be clear - Hmmmm

Not looking good for vast parts of the UK....lets hope that the skies full of rotating wall clouds and disco thunder heads

[Paul Sherman]

2 hours ago, Arnie Pie said:

Not looking good for vast parts of the UK....lets hope that the skies full of rotating wall clouds and disco thunder heads

You do know I live in the offshoot of the Atacama Desert Arnie where the skies are clear 320 of the 365 days of the year 

[Arnie Pie]

29 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

You do know I live in the offshoot of the Atacama Desert Arnie where the skies are clear 320 of the 365 days of the year 

Seems leggit

Edited June 26, 2020 by Arnie Pie

[Arnie Pie]

Nice early one tonight....latest AIM 24-06-2020... although the arms that were present 3 days out have regressed back to higher latitudes,  It has left  a strong bulk at the core......  Looks good for some low altitude sightings....  and theres signals on the radar

Clear skies please

Edited June 26, 2020 by Arnie Pie