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Storms and Convective discussion - 10th April 2020 onwards

Supacell

By Supacell
in Storms & Severe Weather

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Josh Rubio Community Regular

Josh Rubio

Posted
  • Location: Leicester
  • Location: Leicester
Posted

The UKV chart gives us living in more central locations some hope, although it seems like there's a trend to keep shunting it eastwards, and will be confined to the SE and parts of East Anglia.

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Mitch the motorbike storm Community Regular

Mitch the motorbike storm

Posted
  • Location: South east England, broadstairs
  • Location: South east England, broadstairs
Posted
1 minute ago, Josh Rubio said:

The UKV chart gives us living in more central locations some hope, although it seems like there's a trend to keep shunting it eastwards, and will be confined to the SE and parts of East Anglia.

*cough* Kent clipper *cough*

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted

I just bunged a few frames together, showing the latest 18Z (left)  vs 15Z (right)

1727255682_Annotation2020-05-19215147.thumb.png.2e0bf1d9f7ec4edf729364f1072502a8.png

1969170729_Annotation2020-05-19215220.thumb.png.20d0d39e5ab13e3e6c8dda3d61a57e51.png

591084825_Annotation2020-05-19215245.thumb.png.60ef0ea1016f04d38152b12e0aa97953.png

152063675_Annotation2020-05-19215304.thumb.png.3891c7c6beff7a7adc6b845d3b4f84b7.png

 

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Mitch the motorbike storm Community Regular

Mitch the motorbike storm

Posted
  • Location: South east England, broadstairs
  • Location: South east England, broadstairs
Posted
5 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

I just bunged a few frames together, showing the latest 18Z (left)  vs 15Z (right)

1727255682_Annotation2020-05-19215147.thumb.png.2e0bf1d9f7ec4edf729364f1072502a8.png

1969170729_Annotation2020-05-19215220.thumb.png.20d0d39e5ab13e3e6c8dda3d61a57e51.png

591084825_Annotation2020-05-19215245.thumb.png.60ef0ea1016f04d38152b12e0aa97953.png

152063675_Annotation2020-05-19215304.thumb.png.3891c7c6beff7a7adc6b845d3b4f84b7.png

 

Keeps moving towards Kent hmmmm yes yes Kent clipper inbound hmmm

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TJS1998Tom Seasoned

TJS1998Tom

Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
Posted
1 minute ago, Mitch perrott said:

Keeps moving towards Kent hmmmm yes yes Kent clipper inbound hmmm

To think Lincolnshire was looking to be the prime spot, still hoping Lincolnshire produces some of it's classic home grown storms though

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James1979 Community Regular

James1979

Posted
  • Location: St Neots, previously Billericay & Brentwood
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, gales, all extreme weather really!
  • Location: St Neots, previously Billericay & Brentwood
Posted

Will soon be ye olde classic Benelux coastline hugger at this rate.

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Zak M Maestro

Zak M

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, plumes, snow, severe weather
  • Location: Bedfordshire
Posted (edited)
31 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

Why?

Shhh!....

It's reverse psychology 

I will happily take the 18z UKV that Mapantz posted though, as it looks like it shifted the elevated thundery activity a fraction to the W.

Edited by Zak M
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Ben Sainsbury Accomplished

Ben Sainsbury

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol
Posted

ICON 12z showed hardly any precipitation at all, so the fact the ICON 18z has shown heavier more widespread precipitation is good!

I don't see the negativity regarding the UKV 18z compared to the 15z seems anywhere from CS England to SE to EA may see something? 18z is very similar if anything a touch west.

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Zak M Maestro

Zak M

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, plumes, snow, severe weather
  • Location: Bedfordshire
Posted
2 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

ICON 12z showed hardly any precipitation at all, so the fact the ICON 18z has shown heavier more widespread precipitation is good!

I don't see the negativity regarding the UKV 18z compared to the 15z seems anywhere from CS England to SE to EA may see something? 18z is very similar if anything a touch west.

Hopefully.

Not sure if I will get a direct hit though. A few distant rumbles will be fine for me.

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Greeny Aficionado

Greeny

Posted
  • Location: Norwich, Norfolk, East Anglia
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny, stormy and I don't dislike rain only cold
  • Location: Norwich, Norfolk, East Anglia
Posted (edited)
2 hours ago, Harry said:

Absolutely balmy and gorgeous evening - sat in the garden after eating some whopping great big T-bone steaks. Sensational! Feels as if we’re on the verge of a plume type evolution...make of that what you will lol

We've been outside all afternoon and this evening (Norwich), it got chilly pretty quickly even though it was pretty damn hot when the sun was out earler. Last night was lovely, felt warm, we were expecting the same this evening but it didnt happen.

Edited by Greeny
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Ben Sainsbury Accomplished

Ben Sainsbury

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol
Posted
2 minutes ago, MAXcrazystorm said:

image.thumb.png.54f73c3f8c7b061ec2e055d1878b651e.png 

 

Could that potentially be quite a strong gust from along the front edge of this possible MCS across the SE?. 

Definitely will be strong gusts associated, would imagine we will have a nice storm structure too, gust front etc.

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Mitch the motorbike storm Community Regular

Mitch the motorbike storm

Posted
  • Location: South east England, broadstairs
  • Location: South east England, broadstairs
Posted
16 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

Definitely will be strong gusts associated, would imagine we will have a nice storm structure too, gust front etc.

I've never seen a good storm structure, am I in a good spot to see one, currently in Ramsgate 

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Ben Sainsbury Accomplished

Ben Sainsbury

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol
Posted (edited)

Yessss AROME in line with EURO4, UKV & NMM. Makes me feel a lot better.

ARPEGE a touch better too!

 

Edited by Ben Sainsbury
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East_England_Stormchaser91 Veteran

East_England_Stormchaser91

Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
Posted

A trend certainly in the right direction. If we can keep that going, even better! 

Love but hate the drama at the same time! 

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Zak M Maestro

Zak M

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, plumes, snow, severe weather
  • Location: Bedfordshire
Posted
29 minutes ago, bradleywx said:

Arome's first chance to show us its thoughts for Thursday..anddd I'd certainly take that!

image.thumb.png.3c32ba9007e52c15b5aedeb200d96c19.png

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Ben Sainsbury Accomplished

Ben Sainsbury

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol
Posted (edited)

EURO4 18z indicative of a marginally severe surface based thunderstorm across Norfolk Thursday mid-afternoon.

Edited by Ben Sainsbury
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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted (edited)
1 minute ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

EURO4 18z indicative of a marginally severe surface based thunderstorm across Norfolk tomorrow.

Tomorrow?

Edit: oh yeah

Edited by Flash bang flash bang etc
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Ben Sainsbury Accomplished

Ben Sainsbury

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol
Posted
1 minute ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Tomorrow?

Technically is tomorrow since it's 20 past midnight, but yeah I get you I've just changed the wording.

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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted
Just now, Ben Sainsbury said:

Technically is tomorrow since it's 20 past midnight, but yeah I get you I've just changed the wording.

GFS is actually showing storm potential for tomorrow afternoon. By tomorrow I mean today... Wednesday!

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