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Storms and Convective discussion - 10th April 2020 onwards

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What's that building off the coast of SW Wales?

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4 minutes ago, Zak M said:

What's that building off the coast of SW Wales?

A shower, driven by low-level wind convergence where an easterly wind along the south Pembrokeshire coast meets a northeasterly from the north Pembrokeshire coast, and probably partly aided (initially) by nearby hills too. Many models had a good handle on this feature and the potential for isolated showers to develop here just as they move offshore.

Perhaps bigger potential down in Cornwall with more pronounced sea breeze convergences, and perhaps some orographic uplift from Dartmoor playing a part too. 

Screen Shot 2020-05-10 at 14.36.42.png

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5 minutes ago, staplehurst said:

A shower, driven by low-level wind convergence where an easterly wind along the south Pembrokeshire coast meets a northeasterly from the north Pembrokeshire coast, and probably partly aided (initially) by nearby hills too. Many models had a good handle on this feature and the potential for isolated showers to develop here just as they move offshore.

Perhaps bigger potential down in Cornwall with more pronounced sea breeze convergences, and perhaps some orographic uplift from Dartmoor playing a part too. 

Screen Shot 2020-05-10 at 14.36.42.png

It has electrified now!

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1 hour ago, staplehurst said:

A shower, driven by low-level wind convergence where an easterly wind along the south Pembrokeshire coast meets a northeasterly from the north Pembrokeshire coast, and probably partly aided (initially) by nearby hills too. Many models had a good handle on this feature and the potential for isolated showers to develop here just as they move offshore.

Perhaps bigger potential down in Cornwall with more pronounced sea breeze convergences, and perhaps some orographic uplift from Dartmoor playing a part too. 

Screen Shot 2020-05-10 at 14.36.42.png

Cell now developing just offshore from Plymouth/Looe and already produced a couple of lightning strikes - must've gone up in a fair hurry as the latest radar scan (7 min delay) is not particularly impressive! Expect other showers/storms to develop further west across into 'mainland' Cornwall over next few hours... 

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Rapid developments once again in Cornwall. Sferic just to the NE of Truro.

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Truro cell looks intense. Unfortunately it’s completely bypassed the Mrs down in St Austell ?

Mean while down this end, Portsmouth it’s actually quite gusty for an evening. 

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Ding Dong the Plume is back which old Plume the "End of next week Plume"  

Sung to the theme of the Munchkins in The Wizard of Oz ?

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Long way off obviously but this looks quite awesome.

ukprec.thumb.png.f5b17062d5974e5f6da271c93832a3d6.png   ukcapeli.thumb.png.64de1f800e3704b1eebf51122a1095d0.png   ukmaxtemp.thumb.png.41da7f18a80005a00ec99bea6d0a0844.png

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6 minutes ago, Zak M said:

Long way off obviously but this looks quite awesome.

A big outlier too..

viewimage.thumb.png.65f47080bf15b502a30c8da46f78fb81.png

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58 minutes ago, Xanderp009 said:

Just was about to Say. 

Screenshot_20200511_154305_com.android.chrome.jpg

Not sure what's going on there, as we're right underneath HP during the weekend according to both GFS and ECM

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i think xanderp009 is a tad excited about storms, for info there will be no storms this weekend. 

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55 minutes ago, viking_smb said:

i think xanderp009 is a tad excited about storms, for info there will be no storms this weekend. 

Aren't we all ? this season needs to deliver, especially for all those unable to go over to the Alley!

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Why do our seasons suck so much now? The last five years have been awful for storms which leads me to believe there must be some long term processes at play - things like solar cycles (currently minimum), AMO phases (currently positive) and possibly even coal power stations closing down (water vapour from cooling towers could cause storm initiation). With my limited knowledge of meteorology i can only think that a lack of storms is due to lower instances of cut off lows and similar patterns which lead to moisture advection and heat from the south. High pressure seems more dominant now making summer a hot a dry affair. I wonder if anyone can shed some light on this. 

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4 hours ago, lancem said:

Not sure what's going on there, as we're right underneath HP during the weekend according to both GFS and ECM

Maybe it’s a wind up? ?

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Hmm. Considering that we might have another warm spell of weather (potentially hot) coming up, I'm hoping for things to go bang once again!

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28 minutes ago, Zak M said:

Hmm. Considering that we might have another warm spell of weather (potentially hot) coming up, I'm hoping for things to go bang once again!

You mean once

?

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GFS 18Z once again turning into the stormchaser’s dream.

Hopefully these are all signs it’s onto something longer term and not constantly standing as an outlier like it is currently!

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3 minutes ago, Convective said:

GFS 18Z once again turning into the stormchaser’s dream.

Hopefully these are all signs it’s onto something longer term and not constantly standing as an outlier like it is currently!

It looked good from the reliable so we are getting there.

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7 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

It looked good from the reliable so we are getting there.

Like the look of the secondary low over Iberia. Could prolong the driving of the southerly airflow, although that is well into the depths of FI!

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check out this amazing storm that happened yesterday  here in spain 

20200510_080148.jpg

20200510_084856.jpg

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We get Mad storms here in Spain especially in Spring Summer and Autumn 

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I hope Y 'all get somthing good next week when the plume event happens causing a sudden spike in temps. 

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8 minutes ago, alexhawkins said:

check out this amazing storm that happened yesterday  here in spain 

20200510_080148.jpg

20200510_084856.jpg

Nice pics mate! If I was to go anywhere in Europe during Spring, it would definitely be Spain.

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