Storms and Convective discussion - 10th April 2020 onwards

[Andy Bown]

Mid level instability moving over beneath the higher frontal cloud. Slight promise for you lot further East as it’s quite a long albeit narrow line of cloud.

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

1 minute ago, Harry said:

Tonight most definitely wouldn’t qualify as a bust - there’s been no strong signal at all for anything but a low risk to be honest - some develop nothing, some develop storms off the coast of east anglia, some over eastern EA while one develops storms around SE London Ne’wards. There is however model agreement that any developments will be between 01:00 and 02:00.

Sooo... any risk for me in Broadstairs?  ^-^ also I might make an island close to France to get storms

[Harry]

9 minutes ago, Mitch perrott said:

Sooo... any risk for me in Broadstairs?  ^-^ also I might make an island close to France to get storms

Not that it means very much but you have more chance than me. Any storms that develop seem most likely to be along the Essex/Suffolk/E Norfolk coasts, so a very short extension south and you’d be good. For me, about 50 miles further west it’s very reliant on AROME model being on the money...and even then I’m pretty much on the western edge. 

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

14 minutes ago, Harry said:

Tonight most definitely wouldn’t qualify as a bust - there’s been no strong signal at all for anything but a low risk to be honest - some develop nothing, some develop storms off the coast of east anglia, some over eastern EA while one develops storms around SE London Ne’wards. There is however model agreement that any developments will be between 01:00 and 02:00.

A voice of reason amongst the fevered hypothesising going on in this thread this evening, bravo!

I do like evening like this when it’s an unannounced possibility - but this is best enjoyed with a MASSIVE MINE of salt, and nobody is allowed to complain when the majority of forecasts get it right tomorrow and NOTHING HAPPENS!!!!!

Interesting cloudscapes tonight anyway

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

5 minutes ago, Harry said:

Not that it means very much but you have more chance than me. Any storms that develop seem most likely to be along the Essex/Suffolk/E Norfolk coasts, so a very short extension south and you’d be good. For me, about 50 miles further west it’s very reliant on AROME model being on the money...and even then I’m pretty much on the western edge. 

Well I have low hopes then haha 

Me- looks at estofex arome and netweather

Nature- lol nah here is some rain, saving all my energy for my boyfriend France 

Me- I feel cheated

Nature- *strips in the English channel*

Me- watches her perfect structure while standing in the rain,  crying

Edited May 21, 2020 by Mitch perrott

[viking_smb]

7 minutes ago, Mitch perrott said:

Well I have low hopes then haha 

Me- looks at estofex arome and netweather

Nature- lol nah here is some rain, saving all my energy for my boyfriend France 

Me- I feel cheated

Nature- *strips in the English channel*

Me- watches her perfect structure while standing in the rain,  crying

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

What did the country have for dinner last night?

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

2 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

What did the country have for dinner last night?

flashes with a side of fish

[matt111]

Those pesky fish stealing our storms now and then in the winter they steal our cold weather 

[viking_smb]

6 minutes ago, matt111 said:

Those pesky fish stealing our storms now and then in the winter they steal our cold weather 

no its the mermaids that are doing that, and we should get the royal navy to blast atlantis  king triton military wont be able to stand up to our fleet

Edited May 21, 2020 by viking_smb

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

I JUST SPIT MILK EVERYWHERE WHEN THIS POPPED UP

[Zak M]

Was this blob of rain in the red box forecasted?

[Zak M]

1 minute ago, Mitch perrott said:

I JUST SPIT MILK EVERYWHERE WHEN THIS POPPED UP

Go clean your mess - it's a false strike 

Edited May 21, 2020 by Zak M

[viking_smb]

1 minute ago, Mitch perrott said:

I JUST SPIT MILK EVERYWHERE WHEN THIS POPPED UP

poss be a false strike, not on blitzortung 

Edited May 21, 2020 by viking_smb

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

1 minute ago, Zak M said:

Go clean your mess - it's a false strike 

[matt111]

Nothing on the radar near where that's showing so must be false

Edited May 21, 2020 by matt111

[Zak M]

Just now, Mitch perrott said:

Sorry 

[viking_smb]

3 minutes ago, Zak M said:

Go clean your mess - it's a false strike 

I nearly died seeing that comment 

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

1 minute ago, Zak M said:

Sorry 

Even the radar is teasing us... ;-; when will this nightmare end- I can't even sleep because I'm waiting till 1am

[Zak M]

1 minute ago, Mitch perrott said:

Even the radar is teasing us... ;-; when will this nightmare end- I can't even sleep because I'm waiting till 1am

Have some hope bud 

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

Just now, Zak M said:

Have some hope bud 

I'm like a puppy at a window , watching out the window all night, my hopes are still there!

[matt111]

10 minutes ago, Zak M said:

Have some hope bud 

Hopes a dangerous thing when it comes to the weather in this country. 

[Zak M]

1 minute ago, matt111 said:

Hopes a dangerous thing when it comes to the weather in this country. 

Hahahahah wow

[matt111]

On a more serious note the latest UKV pushes it further east so that what's left of it is now hugging the coastline

[Josh Rubio]

I wouldn't focus too much on models for now. They seem to chop and change quite a bit and often lead to disappointment. I'd just watch the rain radar and/or skies.