Storms and Convective discussion - 10th April 2020 onwards

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

30 minutes ago, AMeltedFlake said:

Do we believe there's any chance tomorrow?

Could be some thundery showers scattered about with a small amount of CAPE and instability and a trough moving from NW - SE 

[ChannelThunder]

RE tomorrow. Just looks like a few passing showers to me. Might be one or two lightning strikes around through the day, but nothing worth getting remotely excited about

[Eagle Eye]

I know it's far away but is anyone noticing a chance of a plume next week late on looks very unsettled on windy. com but too far away I think

[ChannelThunder]

5 minutes ago, Xanderp009 said:

I know it's far away but is anyone noticing a chance of a plume next week late on looks very unsettled on windy. com but too far away I think

Just had a scan of the models and the chance of a plume next week would be zero given the set-up. Although that can of course change, especially in the longer-term. But for now it looks like high pressure for the start of the week, then a more Atlantic flow taking over - not what you want to see when looking for potential plumes.  

Edited May 22, 2020 by Lance M
Typo

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

1 hour ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

Could be some thundery showers scattered about with a small amount of CAPE and instability and a trough moving from NW - SE 

Looks intereesting tomorrow but probably very very isolated

 

[matt111]

So the P words being mentioned in the MOD thread. Too far out to get excited about of course as it’s just a possibility at this stage and will likely change but still. 

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

15 minutes ago, matt111 said:

So the P words being mentioned in the MOD thread. Too far out to get excited about of course as it’s just a possibility at this stage and will likely change but still. 

whats the p word.....

 

[matt111]

2 minutes ago, Mitch perrott said:

whats the p word.....

 

Plume of course. But it's way too early to get you hopes up as it's at least a week away and one of several possible options. 

[Chris Lea-Alex]

A pl*** is not necessarily enough for action so I think were safe to P-bomb

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

I see signs of rotation

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

Just watching my dinner in the microwave

[Argyle10]

18 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

I see signs of rotation

Where

[Chris Lea-Alex]

22 minutes ago, Charlie Harnett said:

Where

In the kitchen presumably

[Harry]

2 - 3 fine days and a thunderstorm - perfect for me! Low or high pressure relentlessly isn’t great. 

Edited May 22, 2020 by Harry

[The4Seasons]

Well that was some unexpected storm. Huge bang woke me up then the gale and hail . 2nd time this week. 

[Eagle Eye]

looking like a big change next saturday

[Blessed Weather]

A few posts chatting about weather preferences have been moved to the Spring 2020 Moans, Ramps and Chat thread.

Please keep this thread focussed on storm discussions.

Many thanks.

[Eagle Eye]

today's storm forecast

a few showers around and possibly some spaeodic development but low cape means don't expect much lightning but there is probably going to be at least a few lightning strikes per storms

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

Courtesy UKWW

They’ve been moving the enhanced zone about all over the place but it seems to sit here now. Please note: if there’s nothing electrical by 3pm, it’s all over.

Marginal risk of thunder, but there will probably be some hefty showers about.

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

And there’s these for Wednesday/Thursday from MetCheck

Nothing remarkable expected though

[Mr Frost]

Well I think we can all admit...we have been scraping the bottom of the bins this month with regards to anything convective/electrical.

Just looking through previous months of May lightning strikes/activity - 2015 to 2019.

 

Pretty decent up until 2018...last year and this year not so great - wee mention for Wales though seeing some lovely stuff over the past few days!

Hopefully June, July and August deliver the cheeky plume goods and that big supercell that so many crave! (Although it seems we have had quite a few this May from reading through this thread! )

All the best everyone and fingers crossed for a great Summer season of storms across the UK and Ireland. 

Edited May 23, 2020 by Mr Frost

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

Zoom in to the tops. Lenticular clouds I think. Only small. Either way some nice glaciation in the distance over Farnborough direction

[Eagle Eye]

52 minutes ago, Mr Frost said:

Well I think we can all admit...we have been scraping the bottom of the bins this month with regards to anything convective/electrical.

Just looking through previous months of May lightning strikes/activity - 2015 to 2019.

 

Pretty decent up until 2018...last year and this year not so great - wee mention for Wales though seeing some lovely stuff over the past few days!

Hopefully June, July and August deliver the cheeky plume goods and that big supercell that so many crave! (Although it seems we have had quite a few this May from reading through this thread! )

All the best everyone and fingers crossed for a great Summer season of storms across the UK and Ireland. 

i seem to remember that day in 2019, it was a lovely day a few clouds about and then suddenly i heard a rumble of thunder that sounded like the lightning had struck literally overhead also had some great april like showers today  so i think wait a month and were probably going to have may weather

[Zak M]

It looked very promising here earlier

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

One radar says to my south and another says to my north - but I hear nothing