Storms and Convective discussion - 10th April 2020 onwards

[Chris.R]

1 minute ago, Rush2112 said:

Don't you have the Formby, Heswall shield, if I remember rightly.

Well I thought so but evidently it’s been switched off today. The sea breeze is not making any difference yet. Still won’t let any storms in though.

[Dangerous55019]

Starting to kick off the other side of the Clwydian Range. 

[Marcus_surfer]

Huge cell development north of swansea. Deep rumbles and a huge cg stike. Blue skies and warm sunshine dominate to the south of this cell

[Convective]

The 06Z GFS provides the goods.

Plumetastic! 

 

 

Edited May 9, 2020 by Convective

[Allseasons-Si]

4 minutes ago, Convective said:

The 06Z GFS provides the goods.

Plumetastic! 

 

 

I would like that to happen but i fear that they will be gone on the 12z as it was a massive outlier but i hope that it's a trend

[Allseasons-Si]

There is a line of Cu developing from the wash down to the seven estuary,something to keep an eye on.

[Chris Lea-Alex]

3 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

There is a line of Cu developing from the wash down to the seven estuary,something to keep an eye on.

100% to keep an eye on

[Timannie]

I think this is what I can see of the weather that is brewing over the Clwydian Range

[Zak M]

This was taken in Cork today apparently.

If so, that is some well defined CB to the right!

 

[Allseasons-Si]

Just touching on the forecast warnings about the criteria of the hatched warning^,they put this up because there is a risk in this hatched area and anywhere(roughly) could catch a heavy downpour/storm and is classed as a low risk and most in this hatched area will miss out,it is the nature of showers and you cannot predict/pinpoint that a storm will be IMBY

an example from Thu 25th July last year,this is what we want to see but it is only May

 

i hope this helps temper some of your expectations

[sparky1972]

19 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

There is a line of Cu developing from the wash down to the seven estuary,something to keep an eye on.

Best light the BBQ now then, that should make it rain, lol

[markw2680]

There’s definitely something developing Just south of Birmingham 

[sparky1972]

Clouds building here

[Eagle Eye]

A lot of Cirrus here,  if I see Virga I'll be Happy. 

[sparky1972]

Maybe, just maybe

[Eagle Eye]

does anyone now what is happening, I've had precipitation at nearly the same time of day around 8pm with no Clouds. 

[Zak M]

Look at those echoes 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

14 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

an example from Thu 25th July last year,this is what we want to see but it is only May

 

i hope this helps temper some of your expectations

I remember that day well, the potential was certainly there even for tornadoes and a supercell did form across the NW and moved into the borders but nothing happened as far as tornadoes but this was the Skew T chart from Edinburgh on that day last year it’s pretty rare to get 2000 CAPE up here!  

 

[AMeltedFlake]

Just now, Zak M said:

Look at those echoes 

Wow! Usually only see those mid July

[virtualsphere]

Decent storm here in SW Wales this afternoon, first of the year. Lost count of the rumbles, flashes and several louder booms followed by heavy rain.  Seems to have eased now. Hopefully helped get the pollen count down a bit!

[Marcus_surfer]

Lovely clouds north of swansea. Plenty of thunder and action from these

[Dangerous55019]

New cell over towards my South West? 

[Marcus_surfer]

One for good measure keeps exploding north of swansea. Beautiful 

[Eagle Eye]

Small chance down south Tomorrow

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

3 minutes ago, Marcus_surfer said:

One for good measure keeps exploding north of swansea. Beautiful 

Likely to be a convergence zone great pics