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Storms and Convective discussion - 10th April 2020 onwards

Supacell

By Supacell
in Storms & Severe Weather

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matt111 Maestro

matt111

Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
Posted
1 hour ago, staplehurst said:

Certainly rivals this one! 

lightningverif.png

Well you could say it was right  

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted (edited)

Looks a pretty boring transition here. A cold wind off the sea tomorrow and Saturday suppressing temperatures. Wouldn’t surprise me if Sunday is the same temperature as  Saturday as we have a wind off the land then. No chance of thunder here as far as I can see.

Edited by Chris.R
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Ben Sainsbury Accomplished

Ben Sainsbury

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol
Posted

Deep convection going up between Exmoor and Dartmoor as evident on Sat24.

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Zak M Maestro

Zak M

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, plumes, snow, severe weather
  • Location: Bedfordshire
Posted
Just now, viking_smb said:

first strike off coast of north devon half way between devon + ireland

Pretty sure that's a false strike.

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Ryukai Rising Star

Ryukai

Posted
  • Location: Stoke-on-Trent, Norton. 549ft (167m) ASL
  • Location: Stoke-on-Trent, Norton. 549ft (167m) ASL
Posted

Dark clouds rolling in here, nice blob of rain incoming, hopefully it'll 'rapidly intensify' by the time it get's to me *I live in hope  *  

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NUT Accomplished

NUT

Posted
  • Location: Condorrat, Cumbernauld G67
  • Location: Condorrat, Cumbernauld G67
Posted

Looks like pretty much as forecast getting lively towards Northern Ireland

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Zak M Maestro

Zak M

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, plumes, snow, severe weather
  • Location: Bedfordshire
Posted

First sferic in Wales. NE of Llanidloes.

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MP-R Maestro

MP-R

Posted
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Continental winters & summers.
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
Posted

Some nice big billowing clouds in the area now, and looks like a potent little cell west of Cardiff and another in Exmoor. Hopefully the start of things growing!

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Zak M Maestro

Zak M

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, plumes, snow, severe weather
  • Location: Bedfordshire
Posted

Starting to look convective to my south now

2011FB03-4F18-4DD0-9A99-26E2C56B8EB7.jpeg

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MP-R Maestro

MP-R

Posted
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Continental winters & summers.
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
Posted

Not really developing much further. If anything, clearing up again.

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Zak M Maestro

Zak M

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, plumes, snow, severe weather
  • Location: Bedfordshire
Posted

SW Chester now popping off.

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Dangerous55019 Seasoned

Dangerous55019

Posted
  • Location: Mynydd - Isa , Nr Mold - North Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Foggy autumn days are the best! Although I does enjoy a good thunderstorm.
  • Location: Mynydd - Isa , Nr Mold - North Wales
Posted

Confirmed distant thunder. ⛈️

FF2B5D04-32BB-4520-A124-B33D0A2CB6B6.png

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted
15 minutes ago, Zak M said:

SW Chester now popping off.

C'mon push this way,although there isn't really much going on is there:lazy:

and never expected much anyway,would be nice though to get some snaps of the clouds if they make it this way.

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oliverek7 Community Regular

oliverek7

Posted
  • Location: Beckenham, Kent, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, snow, strong winds
  • Location: Beckenham, Kent, UK
Posted

Once again looking like the storm force field might be up again in London ?‍♂️. Hope some can reach me tomorrow

2E5F89EF-A895-4F98-9A1A-49A5BF0117D6.png

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Eagle Eye Maestro

Eagle Eye

Posted
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
  • Weather Preferences: Storm, drizzle
  • Location: Woodchurch, Kent.
Posted

I think any strikes now will be north of Sheffield or a very low 2% chance in Ireland. 

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Zak M Maestro

Zak M

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, plumes, snow, severe weather
  • Location: Bedfordshire
Posted (edited)

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - FRI 08 MAY 2020

Valid: Friday 08 May 00z - Saturday 09 May 00z

Heavy showers could form almost anywhere tomorrow from diurnal heating. The main risk however is in S/SC/SE England where 300-700j/kg CAPE will be present. This area is the most prone area of showers/thunderstorms developing as there is deeper convection in this area so I have issued a moderate risk in a line from the Cotswolds to East Anglia. Elsewhere, 100-400j/kg CAPE will be present and to warrant this a low risk has been issued. When showers do form over parts of N England/Ireland/N. Ireland/Scotland they might be quite isolated and could be quite short lived as convection won't be as deep. If you do catch a thunderstorm, there could be a chance of hail falling.

imageedit_37_5060482172.gif

Edited by Zak M
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Methuselah Maestro

Methuselah

Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
Posted

Yippeee! If it's half as good as what we had a few weeks back (just prior to the last cold snap!) it'll be well worth the wait. What a stonker of a thunderstorm that one was!:clapping:

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James1979 Community Regular

James1979

Posted
  • Location: St Neots, previously Billericay & Brentwood
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, gales, all extreme weather really!
  • Location: St Neots, previously Billericay & Brentwood
Posted
50 minutes ago, Zak M said:

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - FRI 08 MAY 2020

Valid: Friday 08 May 00z - Saturday 09 May 00z

Heavy showers could form almost anywhere tomorrow from diurnal heating. The main risk however is in S/SC/SE England where 300-700j/kg CAPE will be present. This area is the most prone area of showers/thunderstorms developing as there is deeper convection in this area so I have issued a moderate risk in a line from the Cotswolds to East Anglia. Elsewhere, 100-400j/kg CAPE will be present and to warrant this a low risk has been issued. When showers do form over parts of N England/Ireland/N. Ireland/Scotland they might be quite isolated and could be quite short lived as convection won't be as deep. If you do catch a thunderstorm, there could be a chance of hail falling.

imageedit_37_5060482172.gif

Nice summary Zak.  Oh and don't forget to add a little circle around St Neots in that blue zone for the 0% thunder risk area!!  

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted

I'm virtual-plumping for the shires of Derby/Nottingham/S-York/Leicester/Lincoln tomorrow.

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted (edited)
11 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

I'm virtual-plumping for the shires of Derby/Nottingham/S-York/Leicester/Lincoln tomorrow.

Yep,Meto going for that too

m.thumb.png.a3a02f8a5037e616e5bdc5e22f7a07a8.png1943870260_m2.thumb.png.158a6c624e01d069801039a015ce858d.pngm3.thumb.png.8b4ebaf743635c4dcfc97cea7a7e092c.png

BBC's take on it

b.thumb.png.d6425d17d05b3775d56a7ace6d776ef7.png

CW's forecast should be out soon.

Edited by Allseasons-si
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