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Storms and Convective discussion - 10th April 2020 onwards

Supacell

By Supacell
in Storms & Severe Weather

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Zak M Maestro

Zak M

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, plumes, snow, severe weather
  • Location: Bedfordshire
Posted
7 minutes ago, TheToastPeople said:

Nope nothing yet, I fear you are correct. Oh well this has me more confident about tomorrow's chances! 

Yep, definitely have got some rain now.

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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Author
Posted

Yet again, Euro4 spot on. In my view they really are the top performers when it comes to convective set ups.

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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted
3 hours ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

Yep. The capping was too strong today in many places. 

Tomorrow it does look as if it will be weaker as pressure will be lower. A stagnated front should be able to erode it even more so across the midlands and into Lincolnshire/EA. 

I misread that as ‘the clapping’

would that be the NHS disrupting our storm chances?

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Zak M Maestro

Zak M

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, plumes, snow, severe weather
  • Location: Bedfordshire
Posted

Liking the Met Office's graphics for here tomorrow!

met0.png

met1.png

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East_England_Stormchaser91 Veteran

East_England_Stormchaser91

Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
Posted

Absolute torrential downpour just happened here. No lightning seen as of yet. Surprised there wasn’t any! 

Time for bed now Anyways. Hoping for a decent clear sky first thing to get the temperatures rising to punch through the cap and kick things off. 

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Zak M Maestro

Zak M

Posted
  • Location: Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, plumes, snow, severe weather
  • Location: Bedfordshire
Posted
Just now, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

Absolute torrential downpour just happened here. No lightning seen as of yet. Surprised there wasn’t any! 

Time for bed now Anyways. Hoping for a decent clear sky first thing to get the temperatures rising to punch through the cap and kick things off. 

Saw that on the radar and I was surprised there wasn't any lightning too.

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East_England_Stormchaser91 Veteran

East_England_Stormchaser91

Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
Posted
5 minutes ago, Zak M said:

Saw that on the radar and I was surprised there wasn't any lightning too.

Would’ve been good so early in the season. Another thing is how remarkably warm it’s been for an early April evening. Still 18c at midnight. Feels more like a night in mid June or July! 

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Justin1705 Enthusiast

Justin1705

Posted
  • Location: Luton
  • Location: Luton
Posted

There seems to be some high level instability this morning, opposite to yesterday with clear blue skies. Hopefully this bodes well for this afternoon. Cape levels in the SE of England will be a little bit higher than yesterday and start a little bit earlier by all accounts. Not going to lie this heat the past few days is quite oppressive and does feel like it could go out with a bang

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East_England_Stormchaser91 Veteran

East_England_Stormchaser91

Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
Posted (edited)

Sun is out. Hoping to start seeing things develop soon. One thing about today, I feel where I am, I’m on a bit more borrowed time, as we have them stable northerlies forecast to come along later. 

Over the years, I have seen these setups, and once a cool wind off the N Sea kicks in here, it’s game over usually (for surface based storms). A crucial 6 hour window for areas round the wash anyway. 

Elsewhere, a greater risk today of some flashes and bangs! 

Good luck all!! 

Edited by East_England_Stormchaser91
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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted

CW and Estofex broadly similar to where the warnings are

socialmedialogo.png

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Convective Weather

WWW.CONVECTIVEWEATHER.CO.UK
Forecasting thunderstorms and severe convective weather across the British Isles and Ireland for up to the next 5 days.

http://www.estofex.org/

am i too far north

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James1979 Community Regular

James1979

Posted
  • Location: St Neots, previously Billericay & Brentwood
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, gales, all extreme weather really!
  • Location: St Neots, previously Billericay & Brentwood
Posted

Acca's to the south already, hopefully a good sign of things to come!

Screenshot_20200412-094601_Gallery.jpg

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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted

Looking good for the midlands / middle half of the country today.

Potentially quite a soaking in places.

 

18_precip.png

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East_England_Stormchaser91 Veteran

East_England_Stormchaser91

Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
Posted

Quoting estofex here, they are not ruling out an isolated tornado event today! 

Watch out for wall clouds and rotation if you do see a storm. 

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Dangerous55019 Seasoned

Dangerous55019

Posted
  • Location: Mynydd - Isa , Nr Mold - North Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Foggy autumn days are the best! Although I does enjoy a good thunderstorm.
  • Location: Mynydd - Isa , Nr Mold - North Wales
Posted

Morning everyone. :oldsmile:

Well I’ve got a lot of low level crud around these parts this morning... But in the breaks I can see some really encouraging signs... Albeit a bit on the weak side.

... But the day is still young... Hopefully the sun will burn this lot off and allow things to really get going later. ?️

As always, good luck to everyone today with this, and stay safe. ?️:oldgood:

D37B3BB9-B052-496C-BD2E-2186A9781A42.jpeg

0675A0CD-4FBD-44DF-B735-269E8E8B0615.jpeg

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Dangerous55019 Seasoned

Dangerous55019

Posted
  • Location: Mynydd - Isa , Nr Mold - North Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Foggy autumn days are the best! Although I does enjoy a good thunderstorm.
  • Location: Mynydd - Isa , Nr Mold - North Wales
Posted

And just as I posted, the U.K. Met Office have just issued a thunderstorm warning for later. ?️?️:oldgood:

9C8DD1BA-6776-4F2A-9AD0-BE8CE11CDC3D.png

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted

Here is METO's take on it,i stand a good chance from 1pm.

initiation starting in Wales at 12pm.

636164117_Untitled6.thumb.png.4fbe575ec1b40a73378bc0ab36c6448f.pngUntitled.thumb.png.ccb9dabb99b4070ea5e7cf520d479ecc.png1731040213_Untitled1.thumb.png.dc61440ab3187ba8f30aec105329c44e.png696563130_Untitled2.thumb.png.2a2aa41bfd52aaacd0e15a93aa5813dc.png1118826385_Untitled3.thumb.png.24493ff443dec826e67aeaa09f253925.png274510947_Untitled4.thumb.png.acc51b1c44e75b13ba073393f9cff70f.png1151158621_Untitled5.thumb.png.11165034f5e3d6f3048ed60350db9e7a.png

@East_England_Stormchaser91,best to get south/southeast side of the storm,if we can:oldlaugh:

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Lynxus Aficionado

Lynxus

Posted
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and thundery or Cold and snowy.
  • Location: Abbeymead ,Glos Member Since: July 16, 2003
Posted
7 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

Here is METO's take on it,i stand a good chance from 1pm.

initiation starting in Wales at 12pm.

636164117_Untitled6.thumb.png.4fbe575ec1b40a73378bc0ab36c6448f.pngUntitled.thumb.png.ccb9dabb99b4070ea5e7cf520d479ecc.png1731040213_Untitled1.thumb.png.dc61440ab3187ba8f30aec105329c44e.png696563130_Untitled2.thumb.png.2a2aa41bfd52aaacd0e15a93aa5813dc.png1118826385_Untitled3.thumb.png.24493ff443dec826e67aeaa09f253925.png274510947_Untitled4.thumb.png.acc51b1c44e75b13ba073393f9cff70f.png1151158621_Untitled5.thumb.png.11165034f5e3d6f3048ed60350db9e7a.png

@East_England_Stormchaser91,best to get south/southeast side of the storm,if we can:oldlaugh:

Id suggest not storm chasing unfortunately, could end up with a hefty fine  - Id love to be out on the road, but really shouldnt.

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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Author
Posted

Interesting, I am nicely placed in the middle of the Met Office warning zone. I have my fingers crossed for later. Currently sunny skies albeit a bit hazy with temperatures currently at 15c. That's very warm for 10am on an April morning.

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AMeltedFlake Contributor

AMeltedFlake

Posted
  • Location: Bishops Castle, Shropshire
  • Location: Bishops Castle, Shropshire
Posted

Not too sure if I'm allowed to talk about another site in here but Tony Gilbert From UK Weather World has cancelled his Thunderstorm forcast for today

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted (edited)
8 minutes ago, Lynxus said:

Id suggest not storm chasing unfortunately, could end up with a hefty fine  - Id love to be out on the road, but really shouldnt.

That's why i put a laughing sign on the end

i am not going anywhere mate,just hope the storms can push this far north before getting blown away by the Northerly.

Edit:^sorry that sounds IMBY,i wish you all the best today in getting a storm

good luck everyone?️

 

Edited by Allseasons-si
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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Author
Posted
3 minutes ago, AMeltedFlake said:

Not too sure if I'm allowed to talk about another site in here but Tony Gilbert From UK Weather World has cancelled his Thunderstorm forcast for today

Seems a bit dubious to me. He is a respected forecaster and normally knows what he is talking about, but no forecaster is infallible and this goes against all other forecasts and charts that I have seen. Will be interested to see what transpires.

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AMeltedFlake Contributor

AMeltedFlake

Posted
  • Location: Bishops Castle, Shropshire
  • Location: Bishops Castle, Shropshire
Posted
Just now, Supacell said:

Seems a bit dubious to me. He is a respected forecaster and normally knows what he is talking about, but no forecaster is infallible and this goes against all other forecasts and charts that I have seen. Will be interested to see what transpires.

That's exactly why it caught me by surprise Being honest, not too sure what he means by sustained upper ridging, but apparently that's the reason for the cancellation!

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