Competition - Guess the maximum temperature next week

[Djdazzle]

12 minutes ago, kold weather said:

Today's date record is just 23.3, so probably close to 100% chance that falls today.

Tomorrow is a far more tricky 26.0. still reachable but much more of a long shot than today's.

Can you post a link to the date records please?

I think 26C is easily beatable tomorrow.

Wonder if this will be the first of several to fall this year?

[Don]

3 hours ago, Djdazzle said:

Can you post a link to the date records please?

I think 26C is easily beatable tomorrow.

Wonder if this will be the first of several to fall this year?

Indeed, as I said yesterday, I think 27C will be recorded at least somewhere tomorrow.  I should have known 22.5C would have been far too lean when I made my guess last week!

[J10]

25c reached totay in Bude

 

[Don]

1 hour ago, J10 said:

25c reached totay in Bude

 

That's smashed the record of 23.3C, then.  I reckon tomorrow's record of 26C will likely go, too.

[Djdazzle]

If we can get 26.7C today, it will be a new earliest date for 80F to be recorded.

Certainly feels warmer today with less of an easterly influence.

[Don]

2 hours ago, Djdazzle said:

If we can get 26.7C today, it will be a new earliest date for 80F to be recorded.

Certainly feels warmer today with less of an easterly influence.

Indeed, it feels like a typical July day!

[kold weather]

3 hours ago, Djdazzle said:

If we can get 26.7C today, it will be a new earliest date for 80F to be recorded.

Certainly feels warmer today with less of an easterly influence.

My guess based on what we are seeing right now is we will probably fall a little short of that sort of figure, maybe high 25s, possibly a low 26 somewhere favourable.

Definately a warm day. Yesterday got upto about 23c here but the wind did kick in a little around 1pm. No sign of that wind so far today.

[thunderpants]

already 24.3c and rising here although i think we're near the max for today.

[mb018538]

Might be touch and go whether 25c is exceeded? 24.5c at St James Park looks to be highest. Not much heating left to go.

[Djdazzle]

Very odd. All the synoptics suggested a higher max than yesterday. Whet has suppressed the temps?

Edited April 11, 2020 by Djdazzle

[mb018538]

7 minutes ago, Djdazzle said:

Very odd. All the synoptics suggested a higher max than yesterday. Whet has suppressed the temps?

Is the cloud bubbling up enough to cause it? Strange as you say, 25-26c looked almost 100% certain today

[kold weather]

3 hours ago, kold weather said:

My guess based on what we are seeing right now is we will probably fall a little short of that sort of figure, maybe high 25s, possibly a low 26 somewhere favourable.

Max temperature appears to be 25.5c in St James Park according to the Met office. Not impossible that one or two stations are a touch higher but my earlier call of high 25s was pretty close to the ballpark.

[mb018538]

5 minutes ago, kold weather said:

Max temperature appears to be 25.5c in St James Park according to the Met office. Not impossible that one or two stations are a touch higher but my earlier call of high 25s was pretty close to the ballpark.

Seems odd that it was 24.1c at 3pm, but then it leaps to 25.5c an hour later?  

[Weather26]

Looks that has been confirmed!

 

[thunderpants]

Indeed 24.3c was the highest here today now slowly falling away.

[Don]

37 minutes ago, Weather26 said:

Looks that has been confirmed!

 

So, the record today looks safe after all!  That took me by surprise but there you are!  Nevertheless, a very warm day.

[Djdazzle]

Date record today is 25.6.

If the cloud stays away, could we see that challenged today?

[Djdazzle]

A few sites exceeding 24C at 1pm. Looks like today will end up the warmest of this spell. Tomorrow will be a shock to the system!

[mb018538]

42 minutes ago, Djdazzle said:

A few sites exceeding 24C at 1pm. Looks like today will end up the warmest of this spell. Tomorrow will be a shock to the system!

Touch and go - some hefty storms firing up now on the radar!

[Evening thunder]

On 11/04/2020 at 16:35, mb018538 said:

Seems odd that it was 24.1c at 3pm, but then it leaps to 25.5c an hour later?  

I don't think that's an unreasonable change especially if there was some cumulus cloud build up.

I see such changes on my station data (VP2 with FARS) even when station siting or a sea breeze can't explain it (e.g. a moderate breeze off the grassy fields that immediately border my station to the NW).

I've also seen high resolution graphs from official stations that show such temperature fluctuations (often the graphs we see from official sites are plotted with data points every hour, for example, so they appear smoother).

[J10]

With 25.5c, London and Saturday being confirmed. Here are the results.

No one got it spot on, with Freeze winning 0.3c out, lottiekent in 2nd, alexisj9 in 3rd. 

Top 10

Overall Top 10 -

Spreadsheet

Daily Wk 1.xlsx

Scoring Rules

A base 25pts less 0.2pts per 0.1c.
With a bonus 0.01 for getting the location and Day correct. This is more of a tie breaker.

 

 

[lottiekent]

2nd place! Wooo!

Thank you for the organisation and setting up of this little comp, enjoyed it

[DAVID SNOW]

May be another competition to guess next weeks highest temp?

It may be too late now or not enough notice or indeed interest, thought I would ask though..