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Model Output Discussion - heading into April


Paul

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Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
36 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

More interested in what woulh happen by 192.

The first lot won't amount to much, but round 2 could be interesting alright. Surely not another wind up....:fool:

ECM1-192.thumb.gif.1f20b7f314fabea389218865bdb606f5.gifECM0-192.thumb.gif.18502ea2e18f9eab70062a3c19058b16.gif

 

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Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast

Round 2 will probably come to nothing just like round 1 won’t now either.

Trying  to get any decent cold into the U.K. is getting harder and harder as the years go by!

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Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
11 minutes ago, SLEETY said:

Round 2 will probably come to nothing just like round 1 won’t now either.

Trying  to get any decent cold into the U.K. is getting harder and harder as the years go by!

easier at this time of year though, than Dec to Feb

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Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
1 hour ago, feb1991blizzard said:

More interested in what woulh happen by 192.

In reality probably nothing!

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Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
50 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

easier at this time of year though, than Dec to Feb

Even that seems to be getting more difficult now!

Edited by Don
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Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
2 minutes ago, winterof79 said:

Is this the moans thread?

Wintry showers forecast this weekend cold uppers and a possible northerly shot.

Heights breaking out across the pole and lots of residual cold and a blocking high....

 

Yes i know - there is more people despondent in here than the coronavirus thread, and there is a threat to lives of people posting in there!

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.

And ironically they have chosen the time of year that has shown the best charts to be at their most despondent.

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Posted
  • Location: Kirkburton, Huddersfield - 162.5mtrs asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Winter synoptics.Hot summers.
  • Location: Kirkburton, Huddersfield - 162.5mtrs asl.
Just now, feb1991blizzard said:

Yes i know - there is more people despondent in here than the coronavirus thread, and there is a threat to lives of people posting in there!

At least we may be treated to some snow falling and hard frosts while we are at Home.

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
Just now, winterof79 said:

At least we may be treated to some snow falling and hard frosts while we are at Home.

To be honest i think we really need to see some sort of wave embedded in entrenched -8c air to give a significant snow event, certainly further south, but i don't get the moaning at such charts as this on March 25th thats all, i am not suggesting a right dumping is likely, thats probably a 1-5% chance even for me and you but better than nothing. Scotland could see about 3 inches even on lower ground near Inverness if the Northerly comes off and the PPN is at night.

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Posted
  • Location: Kirkburton, Huddersfield - 162.5mtrs asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Winter synoptics.Hot summers.
  • Location: Kirkburton, Huddersfield - 162.5mtrs asl.
6 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

To be honest i think we really need to see some sort of wave embedded in entrenched -8c air to give a significant snow event, certainly further south, but i don't get the moaning at such charts as this on March 25th thats all, i am not suggesting a right dumping is likely, thats probably a 1-5% chance even for me and you but better than nothing. Scotland could see about 3 inches even on lower ground near Inverness if the Northerly comes off and the PPN is at night.

Agree ,precipitation charts show promise as early as Saturday and dew points will be low

image.thumb.png.535857e7b5fbcae5b28197667ac2e47f.png

image.thumb.png.8a0bbb3b3c4bacc606b566f8cf7f1e44.png

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Posted
  • Location: York
  • Weather Preferences: Long warm summer evenings. Cold frosty sunny winter days.
  • Location: York
3 minutes ago, winterof79 said:

Agree ,precipitation charts show promise as early as Saturday and dew points will be low

image.thumb.png.535857e7b5fbcae5b28197667ac2e47f.png

image.thumb.png.8a0bbb3b3c4bacc606b566f8cf7f1e44.png

It will be ironic if we get decent snowfall no one will be able to go out and enjoy it!!

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Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast

Can the 2nd wave attack make it, normally something seems to go wrong at the last minute, when Northerly airstream s are involved. 

Of course if the winds were coming  from the SW than guaranteed it would come off. 

 

Edited by SLEETY
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Posted
  • Location: Kirkburton, Huddersfield - 162.5mtrs asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Winter synoptics.Hot summers.
  • Location: Kirkburton, Huddersfield - 162.5mtrs asl.

One massive difference to our normal toppling Eastward moving high.

There is no vortex to set off the jet firing up off the Eastern sea board so the Northerly could be huge

image.thumb.png.8e1ffba660b03504a72a71d58fa77b3c.png

image.thumb.png.9d56943f920cf406dfeb954159845934.png

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
2 minutes ago, winterof79 said:

One massive difference to our normal toppling Eastward moving high.

There is no vortex to set off the jet firing up off the Eastern sea board so the Northerly could be huge

image.thumb.png.8e1ffba660b03504a72a71d58fa77b3c.png

image.thumb.png.9d56943f920cf406dfeb954159845934.png

Its certainly a stonker Northerly on this run.

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Posted
  • Location: Hertfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW AND FREEZING TEMPS
  • Location: Hertfordshire

Bloody Nora I’m on a roll and so is the GFS6z . Just keeps giving . 

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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

Yay! One of the best 'Yeah, Right' charts of the year!:yahoo:

h500slp.png    h850t850eu.png :oldlaugh:

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Posted
  • Location: Cambridge, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Summer > Spring > Winter > Autumn :-)
  • Location: Cambridge, UK
8 minutes ago, winterof79 said:

One massive difference to our normal toppling Eastward moving high.

There is no vortex to set off the jet firing up off the Eastern sea board so the Northerly could be huge

image.thumb.png.8e1ffba660b03504a72a71d58fa77b3c.png

image.thumb.png.9d56943f920cf406dfeb954159845934.png

It's finally moved away from its usual home to our NW....right when it would have less impact. Typical eh. In January you'd be looking at ice days in many places, barely above freezing in others and pretty much all ppn as snow. It'll still be raw if that verifies mind you. The usual problem with northerlies is lack of ppn - waves needed!

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Posted
  • Location: bingley,west yorks. 100 asl
  • Location: bingley,west yorks. 100 asl
1 minute ago, mb018538 said:

It's finally moved away from its usual home to our NW....right when it would have less impact. Typical eh. In January you'd be looking at ice days in many places, barely above freezing in others and pretty much all ppn as snow. It'll still be raw if that verifies mind you. The usual problem with northerlies is lack of ppn - waves needed!

Surely,with it been nearly April,the sun would set showers off.......

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Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
7 minutes ago, mb018538 said:

It's finally moved away from its usual home to our NW....right when it would have less impact. Typical eh. In January you'd be looking at ice days in many places, barely above freezing in others and pretty much all ppn as snow. It'll still be raw if that verifies mind you. The usual problem with northerlies is lack of ppn - waves needed!

Settling snow there.

Yes pity we can't get this in a winter month, still going to be a shock to the system after all this mild muck, particularly for us soft southern fairies.

 

gfs-16-216.png

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