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Storm Ciara - Atlantic storm 3


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The Aviation Update is an interesting one.

Deep low pressure (central pressure 936mb) centred just to the N of the British Isles, bringing SW gales to NW Europe. Sustained winds for the British Isles, northern France, Benelux, Denmark, northern and western Germany 25-30KT. Gusts 45-60KT inland. Peak winds 12-18Z across the UK and in the evening over N mainland Europe. The winds will ease during the early hours of Monday as the low transfers eastward to central Scandinavia. All airports in these areas are likely to be impacted by strong gusty winds conditions with possible local heavy rain an CB activity

WINDS >30 KNOTS

  • EHAM 13-20Z sustained 210-220deg 30-32KT. Gusts 55-60KT.
  • EBBR 15-19Z sustained 210 30KT. Gusts 45-50KT.
  • EGLL 11-15Z mean sustained 27-28KT 220 deg. Gusts 40-50KT.
  • EGKK 12-17Z mean sustained 27-30KT 220 deg. Gusts 40-50KT.
  • EGLC 12-17Z mean sustained 26-27KT 210 deg. Gusts 35-40KT.
  • LFPG 17-20Z mean sustained 26-27KT 210 deg. Gusts 35-42KT.
  • EDDL 19-21Z mean sustained 26-28KT 210 deg. Gusts 35-45KT.

3000 FT WINDS AND WIND SHEAR >30 KNOTS

  • EDDF: 210 30-35KT from 05Z, 190 40KT from 12Z, 190-200 55-60KT from 17Z, 200 65KT from 22Z. Shear >30Kt apart from 11-14Z.
  • EGLL: 200-210 40-45KT 00-05Z becoming 60Kt from 06Z and 70 KT from 12Z. Becoming 230 deg 60 KT from 17Z, 240-250deg 50KT from 21Z. Shear >30KT throughout, 45-50KT around 13-15Z.
  • LFPG: 200-210 30-35KT 00-03Z becoming 40KT by 06Z. 200 50-55KT from 09Z Becoming 210 deg 60 KT from 17Z, 230deg 60-66KT from 21Z. Shear >30KT from 04Z.
  • EHAM: 200-210 40-50KT, 60KT from 12Z. 75KT from 18Z. Becoming 230deg 60KT from 21Z. Shear >30KT throughout, 45-50KT

Heathrow & Gatwick looks set to have the worst of the winds. With 65KT gusts between 0915/0918.   Just shy of 75mph

 

LGW

TAF EGKK 081656Z 0818/0924 19010KT 9999 FEW030 TEMPO 0819/0821 19015G25KT BECMG 0821/0824 20018G28KT BECMG 0904/0907 21028G38KT TEMPO 0904/0915 7000 -RA BKN012 TEMPO 0907/0915 22032G48KT PROB30 TEMPO 0910/0915 22040G60KT 4000 RA BKN007 BECMG 0915/0918 24026G40KT TEMPO 0915/0918 3000 +SHRA BKN014CB PROB30 TEMPO 0915/0918 24035G65KT BECMG 0918/0921 25018G30KT PROB40 TEMPO 0918/0924 3000 +SHRA BKN020CB PROB30 TEMPO 0921/0924 25025G45KT=

LHR

TAF EGLL 081659Z 0818/0924 20010KT 9999 FEW025 PROB40 TEMPO 0818/0821 19015G25KT BECMG 0821/0824 19020G30KT TEMPO 0902/0909 7000 -RA BKN012 BECMG 0906/0909 20025G42KT TEMPO 0909/0918 21030G55KT TEMPO 0909/0915 4000 RA BKN009 TEMPO 0915/0924 3000 +SHRA BKN014CB PROB30 TEMPO 0915/0919 23035G65KT BECMG 0919/0922 24020G35KT=

 

Yeah in an airplane tomorrow? It's a no from me...

 

116657341

A lot of people seem to be downplaying this storm here in London.  But I guess the amber warning is warranted as it effects the greatest population areas.

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5 minutes ago, Robbie Garrett said:

The Aviation Update is an interesting one.

Deep low pressure (central pressure 936mb) centred just to the N of the British Isles, bringing SW gales to NW Europe. Sustained winds for the British Isles, northern France, Benelux, Denmark, northern and western Germany 25-30KT. Gusts 45-60KT inland. Peak winds 12-18Z across the UK and in the evening over N mainland Europe. The winds will ease during the early hours of Monday as the low transfers eastward to central Scandinavia. All airports in these areas are likely to be impacted by strong gusty winds conditions with possible local heavy rain an CB activity

WINDS >30 KNOTS

  • EHAM 13-20Z sustained 210-220deg 30-32KT. Gusts 55-60KT.
  • EBBR 15-19Z sustained 210 30KT. Gusts 45-50KT.
  • EGLL 11-15Z mean sustained 27-28KT 220 deg. Gusts 40-50KT.
  • EGKK 12-17Z mean sustained 27-30KT 220 deg. Gusts 40-50KT.
  • EGLC 12-17Z mean sustained 26-27KT 210 deg. Gusts 35-40KT.
  • LFPG 17-20Z mean sustained 26-27KT 210 deg. Gusts 35-42KT.
  • EDDL 19-21Z mean sustained 26-28KT 210 deg. Gusts 35-45KT.

3000 FT WINDS AND WIND SHEAR >30 KNOTS

  • EDDF: 210 30-35KT from 05Z, 190 40KT from 12Z, 190-200 55-60KT from 17Z, 200 65KT from 22Z. Shear >30Kt apart from 11-14Z.
  • EGLL: 200-210 40-45KT 00-05Z becoming 60Kt from 06Z and 70 KT from 12Z. Becoming 230 deg 60 KT from 17Z, 240-250deg 50KT from 21Z. Shear >30KT throughout, 45-50KT around 13-15Z.
  • LFPG: 200-210 30-35KT 00-03Z becoming 40KT by 06Z. 200 50-55KT from 09Z Becoming 210 deg 60 KT from 17Z, 230deg 60-66KT from 21Z. Shear >30KT from 04Z.
  • EHAM: 200-210 40-50KT, 60KT from 12Z. 75KT from 18Z. Becoming 230deg 60KT from 21Z. Shear >30KT throughout, 45-50KT

Heathrow & Gatwick looks set to have the worst of the winds. With 65KT gusts between 0915/0918.   Just shy of 75mph

 

LGW

TAF EGKK 081656Z 0818/0924 19010KT 9999 FEW030 TEMPO 0819/0821 19015G25KT BECMG 0821/0824 20018G28KT BECMG 0904/0907 21028G38KT TEMPO 0904/0915 7000 -RA BKN012 TEMPO 0907/0915 22032G48KT PROB30 TEMPO 0910/0915 22040G60KT 4000 RA BKN007 BECMG 0915/0918 24026G40KT TEMPO 0915/0918 3000 +SHRA BKN014CB PROB30 TEMPO 0915/0918 24035G65KT BECMG 0918/0921 25018G30KT PROB40 TEMPO 0918/0924 3000 +SHRA BKN020CB PROB30 TEMPO 0921/0924 25025G45KT=

LHR

TAF EGLL 081659Z 0818/0924 20010KT 9999 FEW025 PROB40 TEMPO 0818/0821 19015G25KT BECMG 0821/0824 19020G30KT TEMPO 0902/0909 7000 -RA BKN012 BECMG 0906/0909 20025G42KT TEMPO 0909/0918 21030G55KT TEMPO 0909/0915 4000 RA BKN009 TEMPO 0915/0924 3000 +SHRA BKN014CB PROB30 TEMPO 0915/0919 23035G65KT BECMG 0919/0922 24020G35KT=

 

Yeah in an airplane tomorrow? It's a no from me...

 

116657341

A lot of people seem to be downplaying this storm here in London.  But I guess the amber warning is warranted as it effects the greatest population areas.

I'm at newhaven lighthouse parked up to enjoy the storm. 

 

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23 minutes ago, Stewart said:

I'm at newhaven lighthouse parked up to enjoy the storm. 

 

I am surprised the gates are not locked, they don't normally let people in when there is storm - it can get very bad there I have seen it move them 1 ton concrete blocks. 

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4 minutes ago, MetWeather said:

Here in NW London the skies are still clear and the gusts have not even started. Should get wild around 3:00AM!

It's gradually picking up now here slowly, Dover, a few moderate gusts about from time to time

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4 minutes ago, HighPressure said:

I am surprised the gates are not locked, they don't normally let people in when there is storm - it can get very bad there I have seen it move them 1 ton concrete blocks. 

Yes it has moved those in the past.  We are about 100m back from the edge so ne problems. 

 

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