Global Surface Air & Sea Temperatures: Current Conditions and Future Prospects

[GeoCores]

Earth's global surface temperatures in 2019 were the second hottest since modern recordkeeping began in 1880: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ne4vE0DUJ-c

Global Warming: natural fluctuations of the climate system or human activity?

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

 

[knocker]

 

[Gray-Wolf]

With this year lacking any notable 'stuck patterns/polar plunges' are we not all getting a glimpse of where our temps/weathers should be over the 'New Winter'?

With the PNJ doing such a stirling job of keeping the Arctic locked in the Arctic I think this is where we are now with regards to an 'average winter'?

Since the start of the century Seas ice losses at the ocean entrances to the basin played merry heck with the setting up of the PNJ and cause many an odd looking vortex leading to the 'Polar Plunges/WAA' skewing the 'averages of the regions impacted?

This Winter we saw no such behaviours and ,as such I believe,  the Pacific side of the Basins 'sea ice losses' balanced out the new norm over on our side of the basin leaving the PNJ no longer 'asymmetrically' 'molested' by heat being shed by the ocean areas below?

Edited February 26, 2020 by Gray-Wolf

[knocker]

 

[Gray-Wolf]

1 hour ago, knocker said:

 

Seems to be what happens, around our lat.,  if the PNJ does its job of keeping the Arctic in 'The Arctic' eh?

Edited March 11, 2020 by Gray-Wolf

[cheeky_monkey]

19 hours ago, knocker said:

 

where do they get these anomalies from? here in Alberta according to this map the winter was between 2-4c above normal..when in fact it was actually 1-3c below normal.

[BornFromTheVoid]

22 minutes ago, cheeky_monkey said:

where do they get these anomalies from? here in Alberta according to this map the winter was between 2-4c above normal..when in fact it was actually 1-3c below normal.

Have any links or stats to show that?

[cheeky_monkey]

Just now, BornFromTheVoid said:

Have any links or stats to show that?

yep read my updates in the cet threads

[BornFromTheVoid]

9 minutes ago, cheeky_monkey said:

yep read my updates in the cet threads

Can't see any links to winter temperature anomalies in your comments. Can you link to anything?

[cheeky_monkey]

17 minutes ago, BornFromTheVoid said:

Can't see any links to winter temperature anomalies in your comments. Can you link to anything?

these are based on daily temp records for the International airport which is 5 miles from my house

[BornFromTheVoid]

39 minutes ago, cheeky_monkey said:

these are based on daily temp records for the International airport which is 5 miles from my house

Can't seem to find data for the airport, but I downloaded data and averages for Blatchford. The average was -8.5C this winter, 0.5C more than the 81-10 average.
1.6C warmer in December, 2.0C colder in January, and 1.9C warmer in February.

With that in mind, the map suggests 2-4C above the 51-80 average. Seems reasonable enough to me.

[Gray-Wolf]

Meteorologists say 2020 on course to be hottest year since records began | Environment | The Guardian

WWW.THEGUARDIAN.COM

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Global lockdowns have lowered emissions but longer-term changes needed, say scientists

With a record breaking Atlantic Hurricane season being forecast we look to be in for a bit of a Summer methinks!

[BornFromTheVoid]

This thread has been quiet, but we see a continuation on the record and near record warm months, despite no El Nino.

According to the JMA, April was 2nd warmest and May was the warmest on record. The rolling average is 2nd warmest, less than 0.02C below 2016.

 

With NASA GISS, we've been warmest on record for the last 2 months. The rolling average is once again second warmest after 2016. For the first time, the first 5 months of the year have all been at least 1C warmer than the 51-80 average.

With NOAA SOTC report, both April and May were 2nd warmest, and the year to date is, once more, 2nd warmest on record, after 2016.

[Gray-Wolf]

Thanks for that BFTV, very telling!

How can anyone still be in denial of the massive changes we have been seeing (and the causes?)?

As we're finding today it's not just temps we need look at.

With both the excessive ozone destruction we've seen over us this year coupled with the loss of some of the 'flip side to AGW'  due to lockdown UV levels are set to peak at a record value for us here in the UK (a glimpse of where we would be if we didn't have the level of 'Global Dimming' offsetting some of our current warming?)

If folk think the 'costs' of lockdown are humongous maybe they should revisit the 'costs' that this unprecedented Global change will bring with it (both economic and in terms of human lives?)

[BornFromTheVoid]

Joint 2nd warmest June on record according to the JMA

Global Average Surface Temperature Anomalies / TCC

DS.DATA.JMA.GO.JP

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Tokyo Climate Center Home Page

Joint warmest on record according to NASA GISS

Data.GISS: GISS Surface Temperature Analysis (GISTEMP v4)

DATA.GISS.NASA.GOV

Third warmest June according to the SOTC report, and only 0.05C off 2016 for the warmest first half of the year.

Global Climate Report - June 2020 | State of the Climate | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

WWW.NCDC.NOAA.GOV

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an analysis of global temperatures and precipitation, placing the data into a historical perspective

 

[markyo]

Summers could become 'too hot for humans'

WWW.BBC.CO.UK

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Rising global temperatures could see summers that are too hot to work in.

Sadly i suspect this will be the future

[Sunny76]

1 hour ago, markyo said:

Summers could become 'too hot for humans'

WWW.BBC.CO.UK

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Rising global temperatures could see summers that are too hot to work in.

Sadly i suspect this will be the future

I take these stories with a pinch of salt. This summer has been appalling so far.

[Relativistic]

Edit: intended for a different thread.

Edited July 16, 2020 by Relativistic

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

 

[BornFromTheVoid]

3rd warmest October on record going by the Copernicus data, and warmest October for Europe.

The last time a month wasn't in the top 5 warmest on record globally was February 2014 - 81 months ago!

https://climate.copernicus.eu/surface-air-temperature-october-2020

 

Edited November 6, 2020 by BornFromTheVoid

[johnholmes]

wow that is some time scale

[Jason M]

On 06/11/2020 at 10:17, BornFromTheVoid said:

3rd warmest October on record going by the Copernicus data, and warmest October for Europe.

The last time a month wasn't in the top 5 warmest on record globally was February 2014 - 81 months ago!

https://climate.copernicus.eu/surface-air-temperature-october-2020

 

That is a scary statistic. Quite clear to anyone who pays attention though that the changes are coming thick and fast. For me, one of the most notable things of recent years is that we are breaking records from synoptics that don't look all that exceptional. 

[reef]

2 hours ago, Jason M said:

That is a scary statistic. Quite clear to anyone who pays attention though that the changes are coming thick and fast. For me, one of the most notable things of recent years is that we are breaking records from synoptics that don't look all that exceptional. 

This has been noticeable on a local scale aswell. This month for example, after weeks of average weather we get a one day south-westerly feed and break the all time November maxima record by 0.3C. It was all the more remarkable as it happened at night aswell.

At one time you would have been looking at perfect synoptics to break the records, but now it seems to be quite a bit easier.

Edited November 9, 2020 by reef