Jump to content

February 2020 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests


Recommended Posts

  • Replies 306
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

Here is sunny Edmonton we are at -10.3c which is 2.7c below normal..forgot to put in January which ended up 4.9c below normal..we are now looking at 13 months in a row of below normal temps for my loc

Wettest Februaries for England and Wales on record (mm) 158.6 1833  152.7 1923 143.6 1950 143.2 1990 143.2 1977 142.1 1937 ~137. 2020 (up to 24th)

Wettest Februaries on record for England and Wales (mm) ~169 2020   158.6 1833  152.7 1923 143.6 1950 143.2 1990 143.2 1977 142.1 1937   

Posted Images

Looks like FINALLY the atmosphere over the NH is changing as we head towards February, so I'm not going mild again. 

2.1c 

67mm

 

 

 

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, summer blizzard said:

For the boffins with the data which years had a December exceeding 5.4, a January exceeding 5.9 but a February below 3.4.

Optimistic I know.

Based on your Jan & Feb criteria alone, the only years I can see where Jan > 5.9 and Feb < 3.4 are 1682, 1736, 1875, 1932 and 1983.  Dec 1931 was 5.3 which is close... Dec 1735 was 5.4 - I think that's the closest example but hopefully someone more familiar with the data can confirm.

Link to post
Share on other sites
8 hours ago, summer blizzard said:

Another divergence between methods but I will go for 5.4C. A more settled month like January but mainly to the south and east.

Do you think we may be in for a cold early spring going by your methods?

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, Don said:

Do you think we may be in for a cold early spring going by your methods?

Going by an analogue average yes, the highest confidence.

Going by the only two analogues (1975 and 2012) to be mild so far you get a cool February but March diverges. 1975 was cold, 2012 was very warm.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
×
×
  • Create New...