Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

February 2020 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests

Roger J Smith

By Roger J Smith
in Spring Weather Discussion

 Share

Recommended Posts

The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

Another mild one at 6C with 50mm of rain.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Bobd29 Enthusiast

Bobd29

Posted
  • Location: Trowbridge, Wilts
  • Weather Preferences: hot summers; frigid winters; golden fall; bright spring
  • Location: Trowbridge, Wilts
Posted

5.8C and 74mm for me please

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Sir Mim Contributor

Sir Mim

Posted
  • Location: Walsall, West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - cold, summer - not hot
  • Location: Walsall, West Midlands
Posted

Utterly nondescript, both milder and wetter than average, but not record-breakingly so...

 

5.9C and 101mm please

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
SLEETY Veteran

SLEETY

Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
Posted

Looks like FINALLY the atmosphere over the NH is changing as we head towards February, so I'm not going mild again. 

2.1c 

67mm

 

 

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
summer blizzard Maestro

summer blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
Posted

Another divergence between methods but I will go for 5.4C. A more settled month like January but mainly to the south and east.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
summer blizzard Maestro

summer blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
Posted

For the boffins with the data which years had a December exceeding 5.4, a January exceeding 5.9 but a February below 3.4.

Optimistic I know.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
virtualsphere Aficionado

virtualsphere

Posted
  • Location: Carmarthenshire
  • Location: Carmarthenshire
Posted
1 hour ago, summer blizzard said:

For the boffins with the data which years had a December exceeding 5.4, a January exceeding 5.9 but a February below 3.4.

Optimistic I know.

Based on your Jan & Feb criteria alone, the only years I can see where Jan > 5.9 and Feb < 3.4 are 1682, 1736, 1875, 1932 and 1983.  Dec 1931 was 5.3 which is close... Dec 1735 was 5.4 - I think that's the closest example but hopefully someone more familiar with the data can confirm.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Don Maestro

Don

Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
Posted
8 hours ago, summer blizzard said:

Another divergence between methods but I will go for 5.4C. A more settled month like January but mainly to the south and east.

Do you think we may be in for a cold early spring going by your methods?

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
summer blizzard Maestro

summer blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
Posted
2 hours ago, Don said:

Do you think we may be in for a cold early spring going by your methods?

Going by an analogue average yes, the highest confidence.

Going by the only two analogues (1975 and 2012) to be mild so far you get a cool February but March diverges. 1975 was cold, 2012 was very warm.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Freeze Seasoned

Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Shoreham, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: T storms, severe gales, heat and sun, cold and snow
  • Location: Shoreham, West Sussex
Posted

4.6c and 58mm

Link to comment
Share on other sites
syed2878 Rising Star

syed2878

Posted
  • Location: HANDSWORTH BIRMINGHAM B21. 130MASL. 427FT.
  • Weather Preferences: WINTERS WITH HEAVY DISRUPTIVE SNOWFALL AVRAGE SPRING HOT SUMMERS.
  • Location: HANDSWORTH BIRMINGHAM B21. 130MASL. 427FT.
Posted

For February I am going mild and wet my guess is 7.3c and 94mm of rain. Thank you.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Kentspur Accomplished

Kentspur

Posted
  • Location: Live in NW Kent by the Thames & work in SE London
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy November to March and Sunny and warm April to October
  • Location: Live in NW Kent by the Thames & work in SE London
Posted

5.6c and 63.5mm

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Dancerwithwings Maestro

Dancerwithwings

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
Posted

5.8c please.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share
Go to topic listing
×
×
  • Create New...