North Atlantic Storms

[Liam J]

Looks like an interesting week coming up if you like some very active & stormy weather. 
 

A very large and intense cyclone developing in the Atlantic as a wave exiting the States roughly around 1000mb undergoes extreme cyclogenisis, becoming sub 940mb in less than 24 hours. 

Smaller scale lows coming into the flow with the powerful jet stream will deepen rapidly, some wild weather ahead. 

[Ross90]

If Mondays low was just a bit closer it could bring storm force winds quite widely across the Northern half of the UK but it looks like it'll drift towards Iceland and weaken slighty, probably bringing similar conditions to what we're getting tonight.

[Liam J]

Before we get to the beginning of next week some very wet & windy weather today for the north and west with gales or severe gales. 
 
The centre of the intense cyclone which develops into Monday over the Atlantic is very close to our shores with the powerful wind field. 
 

Severe gales likely as the associated cold front and very unstable air moves across us from the west, further stormy weather likely following this but the exact details need firmed up on as this volatile pattern unfolds. 

[BurntFishTrousers]

Probably some of the highest sea swells in the world coming up. 

[Liam J]

Some violent wind speeds over the Atlantic as Monday’s system undergoes extreme cyclogenisis and develops into a significant windstorm. 
 

 

 

Very high seas. 
 

 

Edited January 11, 2020 by DisruptiveGust

[Liam J]

Here we go again! This powerful polar vortex just isn’t letting up this winter. 
 

The UK will be coming under the influence of a very large and intense area of low pressure next week as the jet stream gets pushed south by very cold polar air. 
 

Stormy conditions making a return. 
 

 

[MP-R]

This upcoming spell looks potentially a lot more interesting than the last with much colder air around after brief mild interludes - should feel much more like a winter stormy interlude rather than mid autumn like the last one.

[Liam J]

Some eyebrow raising charts being churned out atm. 

Next weekend and into next week could be very intense with numerous severe weather hazards.  
 

Stormy pretty much nationwide, snow & blizzards for some, severe windchill, wind damage... 

[Liam J]

Heads up from the Met Office. 
 

Wet and very windy weather to arrive this weekend

WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK

---

This weekend low pressure returns once again, heralding a spell of wet and very windy weather that looks likely to last well into next week.

 

[BurntFishTrousers]

928mb 

[stevofunnelcl]

i booked a trip up to NW Uk - even if these deep lows go Pete Tong... well i was looking forward to a vacation anyways

[Dorsetbred]

12 hours ago, BurntFishTrousers said:

928mb 

I wonder who gets to name this one, will Met Éireann jump on it before the MetO, or will they ignore it like last time?

[knocker]

As I have posted in the unpopular mod thread it's the rapid cyclogenisis of the low south of Iceland that is the main problem this weekend vis strong winds according to the gfs

[Mapantz]

Good ol' GFS 18Z, showing 91mph gusts here on Tuesday 

Sunday's low is already likely to be a headache for the Met, as much is yet to be resolved. 

[stevofunnelcl]

not overlooking. very high spring tides due next week

[pip22]

Official Weather UK

@Official_WXUK

·

4m

The

@metoffice

have named #StormCiara with severe winds expected overnight Saturday and on into Sunday.

The weekend storm has been officially named.

[Hurricane Debby]

Thanks Pip22 ! Popped on to ask if this storm was getting a name and you've answered it for me !

[Josh Rubio]

What sort of disruption would 60-70mph gusts do to inland areas? I’m quite excited in terms of extremity but also at the same time it could potentially be quite serious. 

[Ross90]

2 minutes ago, Josh Rubio said:

What sort of disruption would 60-70mph gusts do to inland areas? I’m quite excited in terms of extremity but also at the same time it could potentially be quite serious. 

Bridges will be shut to high side vehicles, some rail might be affected but probably more locally than widespread.70mph won't cause much damage, maybe a couple of trees down and damaged fences/sheds etc.

[weirpig]

2 minutes ago, Josh Rubio said:

What sort of disruption would 60-70mph gusts do to inland areas? I’m quite excited in terms of extremity but also at the same time it could potentially be quite serious. 

Storm doris  hit 70 mph in the black country  carnage   trees down  buildings damaged  injuries  and a death    dont want that repeated  

[The PIT]

Quite a downgrade from yesterdays 12oz GFS generally this is quiet normal although the new GFS seems to over blow storms forgive pun and quiet a few have disappeared when get to within 48hrs. Against that ECM is onboard as is the UKMO so the downgrades may not be as big. It'll be interesting too see what the models say by Friday.

[Ross90]

31 minutes ago, weirpig said:

Storm doris  hit 70 mph in the black country  carnage   trees down  buildings damaged  injuries  and a death    dont want that repeated  

From 70 mph? Maybe it's just more common up here but 80 mph seems to be about the boundary where it goes from being an inconvenience with minor damage to a more dangerous storm with widespread disruption and damage.

[The PIT]

14 minutes ago, Ross90 said:

From 70 mph? Maybe it's just more common up here but 80 mph seems to be about the boundary where it goes from being an inconvenience with minor damage to a more dangerous storm with widespread disruption.

It's all relative. If you live in a place where you never see 50mph it's the end of the world while 50 mph gust in Shetland isles wouldn't be really noticed except by holiday makers.

Also if you live in a place where strong winds aren't common weakened buildings or trees don't get the regular push to come down.

Edited February 5, 2020 by The PIT

[wimblettben]

1 hour ago, Josh Rubio said:

What sort of disruption would 60-70mph gusts do to inland areas? I’m quite excited in terms of extremity but also at the same time it could potentially be quite serious. 

Based off of the Beaufort Scale, at 60mph you would expect general basic trees to be blown down with considerable structural damage to buildings and houses.

70mph, and the physical structure of a house or building can be damaged, not just chimney pots or roof tiles. And more of the stronger trees would start getting knocked over. 

Edited February 5, 2020 by wimblettben

[weirpig]

26 minutes ago, Ross90 said:

From 70 mph? Maybe it's just more common up here but 80 mph seems to be about the boundary where it goes from being an inconvenience with minor damage to a more dangerous storm with widespread disruption and damage.

 

28 minutes ago, Ross90 said:

From 70 mph? Maybe it's just more common up here but 80 mph seems to be about the boundary where it goes from being an inconvenience with minor damage to a more dangerous storm with widespread disruption and damage.

Yes we got a amber warning that day   a  populated area  with 70 mph  really does cause havoc   round here anyway  storms above 60 mph   really are rare    most of the issues arise because we dont show the weather enough respect  as we are not used to it    the m6  in brum was st a standstill   that day