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Scotland /Alba weather discussion 2020


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Some more pics from this morning in the Lomond Hills. Just the most sublime colours at sunrise. We had 12cm this morning, sunny all day except for a slight freshening up in the afternoon, now -0.7C an

Standing an impressive 5ft 5in tall - the kids have done well with limited resources ?

The snow still hasn't come to anything beyond a slushy mess at the house so we went to the snow. At the small car park at the top of Glen Ogle it was proper snow with a few inches on the ground. By th

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It started off nice here in Dunoon with some sunshine about in the early part of the afternoon but it soon turned cloudy and windy. I went out to the town just after 7pm it was raining very heavy some roads were starting to flood the wind wasn't too bad though it started to ease off around then.

Tomorrow I'm not sure sure what to expect the GFS and Met Office are giving me gusts around 50mph while the BBC weather, ECM and ICON are going for over 80mph gusts.

Edited by Zenarcher
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1 hour ago, Hairy Celt said:

Thought that said 'OVER 300 GIRLS INSIDE' 

Steady on.

?I will pop in with your marketing suggestion..... Sounds like a winner 

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Lost power between 4.20 pm and 8 .30 pm with some fairly strong gusts between 4.00pm and 5.00 pm then heavy rain.   Up till then got a lot of outside jobs done as ground rapidly dried in the wind.  Currently breezy and 3c

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I have been reading some tweets about the increased risk to the central belt tomorrow.

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If that’s the case then I would expect an amber warning soon.

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:spiteful:nmm_uk1-45-36-0.thumb.png.96b4ef08be1988d45d9c77716c9dcf1a.png and because I know @CatchMyDrift loves the euro 4 ? though I think the wrf will be closer to the mark but interesting that those 2 go for widespread snow as the rest of the short range models not keen so will be an interesting test euro4_uk1-46-54-0.thumb.png.1524358eec8a7131f6d30b376de6e91f.png

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The met and bbc still aren't picking up on that 70-80 mph spell in the central belt at all... both of them have winds peaking in the early afternoon at 50 - 60mph.What are other people seeing that they're not?

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There are now some very different forecasts kicking about for tomorrow.

Both the Met Office and BBC going for 50-60mph for me, but the Met say strongest around 9am whereas the BBC says strongest around lunchtime. 

As others have said, quite a few on social media now suggesting a much stronger spell of 70-80mph, although others go with the Met / BBC solution. What are some seeing that others are not?

All calm here at the moment but very wet. A lot of flooding on the roads being reported locally.

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Just finished listening to the main midnight news on BBC Radio 4 and Helen Willits? (sorry if that's not her name) just said in the weather report that they are def looking to upgrade the amber warning to the Central Belt tomorrow afternoon as they might be expecting gusts to reach 85mph in the afternoon. 

You should be able to hear it I think on demand soon on the Sounds app, the last 5 mins of the 30 min midnight news.

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They must be thinking sting jet if they're expecting that sort of jump from what the models are showing, even more so in the afternoon just as the storm starts to move away...

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We'll see about anywhere in lowland central or southern Scotland getting gusts at 70mph today let alone 85mph. Obviously 'they' are the experts and I'm not but in my experience the GFS is right about the wind speed 90% of the time and some of the other models overestimate it 90% of the time.

@Ross90 a lot of online sites use the models which always show extreme windspeeds which only happen over mountains. It is basically clickbait and it's a widespread tactic they use to boost their pages.

Maybe MeteoGroup who provide the BBC's weather are over-hyping it too? Time will tell but they're going to lose credibility if they're going to Daily Mail it.

Edited by CatchMyDrift
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The amount of rain that has fallen is certainly the noteworthy event here so far, the lake on my monoblock has never been so big in the 10 years I have lived here, flooding clearly going to be an issue. 

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Well, we had plenty of blusteriness yesterday and a few wee splashes  of rain overnight. Showers have passed through very quickly, thankfully. Still to check rain gauge to see how much rain we've had up here. Still don't know which forecast to go with for today, wind gust forecasts are varying from anything between 45 - 60mph. Certainly a lot of rain overnight as the usual loch has formed outside garage door. Fortunately it drains away very quickly. Highest wind speed I got here was 41.2mph around lunchtime. We only had two mini power blips yesterday so it wasn't really that bad. We'll see what today brings then! Stay safe everyone!

Just checked and emptied rain gauge, two inches of rain since Friday morning. So a slightly damp couple of days then!

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09.00 and it’s still very dark overhead; steady moderate rain, twigs and leaves stock still;  eerily calm with not a hint of wind..yet. 

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First viable casualty of Ciara from the house. Luckily the fence fell between the neighbours car and didn’t cause any damage. 

The birds & squirrels are no where to be seen as the bird feeder is not being touched. Wildlife is hunkering down and us humans probably should as well. Glad the worst of this is hitting at the weekend as I wouldn’t like to cycle in this to work! 

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