Scotland /Alba weather discussion 2020

[edinburgh_1992]

At least the temperatures should return closer to normal from tomorrow. Snow in the Highlands, rain showers elsewhere, but also plenty of sunshine in eastern Scotland. Staying windy

[101_North]

Yes I am clutching and any straw will do

[Ravelin]

Please please be correct for once and shake us out of the current weather boredom... 

[shuggee]

1 hour ago, 101_North said:

Yes I am clutching and any straw will do

And mine for comparison:

Been showing this consistently for a few days..... But looking at GFS there's a lot of heavy ppn within uppers no colder than -3°C until sunset then -4s and -5s reappear. Of interest at least! 

[snowidea]

1 hour ago, 101_North said:

Yes I am clutching and any straw will do

Which weather app is that? It's my birthday on 14th and I don't live a million miles from you maybe I've got a snowflake too. 

It's chucking it down here, the cats are so fed up one of them's thinking of trying to log on and book a holiday somewhere dryer. 

[101_North]

5 minutes ago, snowidea said:

Which weather app is that? It's my birthday on 14th and I don't live a million miles from you maybe I've got a snowflake too. 

It's chucking it down here, the cats are so fed up one of them's thinking of trying to log on and book a holiday somewhere dryer. 

It's XC Weather - total cobblers and strictly just for shits and giggles

Forecast for Falkirk | XCWeather

WWW.XCWEATHER.CO.UK

In all my years of snow chasing I don't think it's ever verified

Edited January 11, 2020 by 101_North

[101_North]

1 minute ago, CatchMyDrift said:

It's 100% GFS data.

That'll explain it

[Northernlights]

Ditto above a very wet day after a very mild windy night .Water flowing down every field. Turning into a very long winter starting in late October with such terrible ground conditions.  Cooling down again currently 5c

Edited January 11, 2020 by Northernlights

[ciel]

Am I really the only person on this thread who does not crave ten foot drifts?

I do (very occasionally) feel a wee bit guilty about this as I know many enjoy snow-sports and the ski centres are so reliant on decent snow falls for their existence. 

I also wonder about the mountain hares and whether they have fully donned their white coats this year. If they have, to add to their troubles, without white hills they will be more vulnerable to predation.....and the ptarmigans.

 

[Hairy Celt]

2 hours ago, CatchMyDrift said:

It's 100% GFS data.

Isn't that NW forecasting too?  Always shows wipe out whiteout weather a week ahead but can't even tell you whether it's going to rain overnight.

[101_North]

23 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

Euro4 on the case too...

Now.....when Euro4 starts showing stuff within a reliable(ish) timeframe I start paying slightly more attention!

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

41 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

Euro4 on the case too...

wrf and some of the other short range models not really interested, ATM I would say somewhere like Cairngorms SW to Dalwhinnie look best. Euro 4 has really been overestimating any snowfall opportunities this winter IMO.

[Mair Snaw]

@Serac brilliant... spat me buckfast down myself..

[Hairy Celt]

2 minutes ago, bigsnow said:

@Serac brilliant... spat me buckfast down myself..

lemon I'll have to come round if you're going to waste it!

Lemon?wtf?

Edited January 11, 2020 by Hairy Celt

[Mair Snaw]

@Hairy Celt Lemon...?? pmsl...

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

11 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

Euro4 nailed the snow from 24 hours out the other morning when all the other models missed it. 

 

7 minutes ago, CatchMyDrift said:

I never replied at the time but my forecast for my weather page on Wednesday morning was based solely on the Euro4 and it was more or less spot on for what happened with the snow on Thursday, in my modest opinion

 

We need a beast from the east redux to fully test the snow forecasting capabilities of the short range models

[edinburgh_1992]

1 hour ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

 

We need a beast from the east redux to fully test the snow forecasting capabilities of the short range models

Like this? 

About possible snow Monday or Tuesday, I don't think the uppers are cold enough for it. 

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

1 minute ago, CatchMyDrift said:

Or just some clever person with charts and radar comparisons

Dinny start gettin cheeky or al get @Big Innes Madori on yeh  

[Paul]

2 hours ago, Hairy Celt said:

Isn't that NW forecasting too?  Always shows wipe out whiteout weather a week ahead but can't even tell you whether it's going to rain overnight.

Nope, we don't use GFS at all. 

The forecasts use UKV data (which incidentally also picked up the snow in the week), with some Netwx (NMM) model blended in beyond 120 hours.

[Hairy Celt]

Did anyone else get a look at the penumbral eclipse last night? I couldn't tell the difference from an ordinary full moon!

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

4 minutes ago, Hairy Celt said:

Did anyone else get a look at the penumbral eclipse last night? I couldn't tell the difference from an ordinary full moon!

Here's one from twitter 

 

[Hairy Celt]

6 minutes ago, Paul said:

Nope, we don't use GFS at all. 

The forecasts use UKV data (which incidentally also picked up the snow in the week), with some Netwx (NMM) model blended in beyond 120 hours.

  oops. Still, haven't found them that useful recently in Caithness.

[Hairy Celt]

3 minutes ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

Here's one from twitter 

 

'Monica' obvs not in Scotland...

(unfortunately?)

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

2 minutes ago, Hairy Celt said:

'Monica' obvs not in Scotland...

(unfortunately?)

Best one I could find from Scotland 

 

[Hairy Celt]

1 minute ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:

Best one I could find from Scotland 

 

Nairn's close to here. I looked at the Moon about 10 mins earlier and that shadow wasn't there then. Optimum time was around the time I looked. 

Mysterious