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Here is my prediction for the year 2020 and also some predictions for the decade of the 2020s.

2020

January: Generally unsettled but not especially wet. Snow potential during any polar maritime episodes. On the mild side

February: Unsettled, generally mild. 

March: On the dry side, first real spring warmth.

April: Wetter and milder than average 

May: on the average side, temperatures and rainfall

June: on the average side, temperatures and rainfall

July: Best month of the summer, on the warm and dry side. A couple of heatwaves

August: another mediocre August, wetter than average

September: on the wet side but generally mild

October: drier than September and a touch cooler than average

November: generally unsetlled, one of two notable gales

December: mostly unsettled and generally mild

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Predictions for the  2020s

Sub zero CET month in the 2020s?  No

Hottest CET month on record? No

Wettest and driest month on record for England and Wales? No to each

Wettest and driest individual months on record for England and Wales?  No to any month being the driest on record for it's grouping but wettest April on record, I'm going for occurring in the 2020s

Highest maximum ever recorded in the UK? Yes. 39.2C during July

Lowest minimum ever recorded in the UK? No

Coldest/mildest winter on record for CET? No to each

Coldest/mildest spring on record for CET? No to coldest, mildest, yes

Coldest/hottest summer on record for CET? No to each

Coldest/mildest autumn on record for CET? No to coldest, mildest, yes

Top 30 coldest, top 30 mildest CETs for each month?

(top 30 coldest, top 30 mildest)

January: 0, 3

February: 1, 2

March: 0, 2

April: 0, 4

May: 0, 1

June: 0, 2

July: 0, 3

August: 0, 1

September: 0, 3

October: 0, 4

November: 0, 4

December: 0, 2

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On 14/12/2019 at 08:12, Weather-history said:

Here is my prediction for the year 2020 and also some predictions for the decade of the 2020s.

2020

January: Generally unsettled but not especially wet. Snow potential during any polar maritime episodes. On the mild side

February: Unsettled, generally mild. 

March: On the dry side, first real spring warmth.

April: Wetter and milder than average 

May: on the average side, temperatures and rainfall

June: on the average side, temperatures and rainfall

July: Best month of the summer, on the warm and dry side. A couple of heatwaves

August: another mediocre August, wetter than average

September: on the wet side but generally mild

October: drier than September and a touch cooler than average

November: generally unsetlled, one of two notable gales

December: mostly unsettled and generally mild

-

A pretty bland year, then.

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2020 will be a very horrible year and the hottest on record at 15.5C CET.  The Globe will average 16C making it the hottest year on record Globally.  This summer the polar jet reaches the Artic, dies and leaves a "polar weakstream" swirling around a dying Greenland PV.  The subtropical jet also reaches the Artic and replaces the dead polar jet.  A main "subtropical weakstream" swirls around the North Pole whilst an even weaker "subtropical weakstream" merges with the last "polar weakstream" swirling around the dying Greenland PV.  The African Monsoon Trough finally jumps the Sahara and Mediterranean into Europe and affects Britain and Europe from the 1000mb to the 500mb level with an outflow ridge on top to form the British Monsoon system.  The British Monsoon forms a monster Mid-Atlantic Ridge and a monster Bartlett Ridge sending heatwaves to obliterate the last of the Artic Ice.  Britain always remains mild if not very mild in winter and always remains hot if not very hot in the other seasons but swings from flood to drought so many times you just can't keep up!  Britain gets monster floods from the interaction of the British Monsoon with Spanish Plumes which also create Supercell Thunderstorms and F5 Twisters.  However Britain also gets monster droughts when ex-hurricanes and/or rare "weakstream" troughs send the monster Mid-Atlantic Ridges toppling over Britain and merging into the monster Bartlett Ridges.  I am also expecting an explosive "Methane Burp" to occur in 2020 as the warming oceans destabilise Methane Hydrates.  Combined with yet more water vapour from the warming oceans, this Methane Burp will worsen global warming more than ever this year.

January the warmest on record 9.5C

February the warmest on record 10C

March the warmest on record 12C

April the warmest on record 14C

May the warmest on record 17.5C

June the warmest on record 20.5C

July the warmest on record 22C

August the warmest on record 21.5C

September the warmest on record 19C

October the warmest on record 15.5C

November the warmest on record 13C

December the warmest on record 12C

2020 will be the Bob Beamon Year of CET Warming.  :oldsad:

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well, my predictions may not be as in-depth as the first but here’s my gatherings from my crystal ball:

 

rest of winter: i think a mild & stormy start to the year with flooding yet again being in the news. perhaps january or february being a top ten record wet month. 

spring: a very wet spring with further flooding misery. quite cold, too, with some places seeing more snow in april than all of winter. 

summer: a mixed bag; probably quite hot at times but plenty of unsettled, thundery breakdowns. another wetter than average season. 

autumn: very mild. unseasonable warmth in september and/or october. another wet season, particularly later on. 

the year overall: a warm year, though not record breaking; c.e.t. between 10.10-10.40. an exceptionally wet year, perhaps top ten or top five. 

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To summarise a mildish winter (Jan/Feb) with a possible cold spell/snap at some time probably later, milder than average Spring with little in the way of convectivity and drier. Very warm summer in the south interrupted by the odd thunderstorm and then back to a fairly warm sunny September/October (with no fog). November again mild and fairly wet, December quite mild with the obvious green Xmas. 

Edited by Froze were the Days

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Jan: Gloomy and cool overall, easterly flow with snow for a few days mid-month. Generally drier than average

Feb: Colder, drier, sunnier than average. Not much in the way of snow, despite potential blocking to our north.

Mar: Dry and mild first half with our first 20C of the year gives way to cooler and wetter weather at the end

Apr: Brief polar incursions near the start give snow for some northern areas, rain elsewhere.. an average but wet month, warmer at end

May: Quite a cloudy month overall, but warmer than average. Unsettled towards the end but staying warm.

Jun: A generally boring westerly dominated month, cloudy and temps around average, rainfall avg. Turning hotter and sunnier at end.

Jul: Hot, sunny weather persists for first few days but generally wet and cool with poor sunshine levels until the last week where it turns very warm

Aug: Winds predominantly from the south / south east, a very warm month, sunny and dry. Best month of summer

Sep: A continuation of summer, warm and settled first half but stormy and wet 2nd half.

Oct: Warmer and wetter than average, a few tropical incursions from ex-ts / hurricanes throughout the month, but a cold end.

Nov: Cold but dry start, turning wetter and stormier thereafter, but cold again to end the month.

Dec: Sunnier than average first 3rd, with quite a lot of cold, frosty weather, but generally dry.. milder and wetter middle into Christmas, and turning bitter with snow just in time for the New Year. 

 

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2 hours ago, Lettucing Gutted said:

2020 will be a very horrible year and the hottest on record at 15.5C CET.  The Globe will average 16C making it the hottest year on record Globally.  This summer the polar jet reaches the Artic, dies and leaves a "polar weakstream" swirling around a dying Greenland PV.  The subtropical jet also reaches the Artic and replaces the dead polar jet.  A main "subtropical weakstream" swirls around the North Pole whilst an even weaker "subtropical weakstream" merges with the last "polar weakstream" swirling around the dying Greenland PV.  The African Monsoon Trough finally jumps the Sahara and Mediterranean into Europe and affects Britain and Europe from the 1000mb to the 500mb level with an outflow ridge on top to form the British Monsoon system.  The British Monsoon forms a monster Mid-Atlantic Ridge and a monster Bartlett Ridge sending heatwaves to obliterate the last of the Artic Ice.  Britain always remains mild if not very mild in winter and always remains hot if not very hot in the other seasons but swings from flood to drought so many times you just can't keep up!  Britain gets monster floods from the interaction of the British Monsoon with Spanish Plumes which also create Supercell Thunderstorms and F5 Twisters.  However Britain also gets monster droughts when ex-hurricanes and/or rare "weakstream" troughs send the monster Mid-Atlantic Ridges toppling over Britain and merging into the monster Bartlett Ridges.  I am also expecting an explosive "Methane Burp" to occur in 2020 as the warming oceans destabilise Methane Hydrates.  Combined with yet more water vapour from the warming oceans, this Methane Burp will worsen global warming more than ever this year.

January the warmest on record 9.5C

February the warmest on record 10C

March the warmest on record 12C

April the warmest on record 14C

May the warmest on record 17.5C

June the warmest on record 20.5C

July the warmest on record 22C

August the warmest on record 21.5C

September the warmest on record 19C

October the warmest on record 15.5C

November the warmest on record 13C

December the warmest on record 12C

2020 will be the Bob Beamon Year of CET Warming.  :oldsad:

We really will be doomed if that comes off! 😲

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I do wonder, could we see a "duff" summer this year? I know the climate is changing but 2019 was warm and wet, perhaps the clock has been run down for us to have a cool and wet one?

I do hope for some snow in Jan and Feb mind, but that's probably marginal sadly. 

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Jan, mild and wet, winds between SSW and WNW, every day

Feb, mild and wet, winds dominating from the west

Mar, wet, southerly jet so start of E'lys towards last week

Apr, winds mostly from north or east, W Scotland very little rain

May, winds mostly between N and East, midlands to struggle with north sea mist

Jun, first half mainly E winds, then changing 2nd half to w'lys

July, dry first half, best period of summer, low pressure to dominate 2nd half

Aug, dominated by low pressure, very wet

Sep, dull, uneventful

0ct, early on start of wettest autumn on record, troughs stuck over the uk, flooding

Nov, wettest on record southerly jet, signs on models of a cold winter

Dec, wettest on record, Atlantic to dominate

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January Metrological bore

February  Metrological bore

March Metrological bore

April Metrological bore

and so on and so forth lol

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Jan, average  temps,unsettled overall. 

Feb , coldest month of the winter,dryer and frostier,perhaps a decent chance of a cold spell from the east. 

March,first half cold and often dry, second half, mild more unsettled. 

April,  average overall, perhaps a cold snap or 2 from the north.

May ,warmer then average with summerlike weather at times,often dry.

June, first half warm and dry , second half cooler and unsettled. 

July, average temps overall, the odd very warm day but nothing special. Often unsettled. 

Aug, average temps, often unsettled. 

Sept, cool , average rainfall.

Oct, average,  reasonably dry overall. 

Nov, fairly cold overall with the odd cold snap, not overly unsettled. 

Dec , cold month with cold snaps, chance of a decent cold spell at the end of the month. 

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This will be the year of another poor summer, and probably the poorest overall since 2012. 
 

January : A slightly colder than average month overall, after a mild and damp start. From the 5th until 20th a cold spell will set in, but turning bitterly cold around the 15th to 18th with frequent heavy snowfall, and becoming more widespread between the 16th-18th. Some areas will record record levels. Windchill and low overnight temps will affect the most vulnerable. 
 

The month will end on a mild and wet note.

Feb: Overall average, with a very mild middle, but cold start and end of the month. Duller than average, and no complete sunny days. It will be a dry month.

March: Wetter and slightly milder than normal. After a cold start with snow, temps will start to recover. We will see a pleasant warm early spring spell with daytime maxes reaching 18-20c for a few days. Nights and mornings will still feel cold and fresh.

April: Warmer and drier than average. A cold cloudy start, with rain and snow showers in some areas. The second week will see the arrival of thunderstorms mixed in with some drier and warm sunny days, with daytime maxes reaching 20-21c, but london seeing its first 24c. This will be the first warmest day spell of the year. After mid month, all areas will be cloudy and cold for a little while. Nights and mornings will still be on the chilly side.

May: overall a poor month, and slightly below average temps. Early month will see dull and cool days, but it will remain dry. Most of the month will see little rainfall, even in northern areas. After the 20th, temps will rise into the mid 20s, with london and the southeast reaching a warm or hot 27-28c. Nights and mornings will start to become warmer, and days will move from feeling warm and dry to warm and humid. Thunderstorms will arrive between the 25th until 31st.

June: a poor month. Thunderstorms becoming widespread, some violent. Feeling warm and humid to begin with, but by the second week, daytime temps struggle to reach 16c. Staying cloudy and damp all month.

July : another poor summer month. Temps remaining below 20c everywhere, including london and the southeast. No sunny days, and a few thunderstorms breaking out, some violent, despite the low temps. 
 

August : another cool month, but the first ten days will see lots of sunshine and warm or hot temps, reaching 29-32c across many parts of the uk. This will be the hottest spell of weather for the summer. Thunderstorms will usher in a change to cooler conditions from around the 14th. The rest of the month will be cold and rainy. It will feel like autumn has already arrived.

September : A cold and dull month, with a sunny warm start. The last week will be very wet, but overall a dry month.

October : A sunny dry month, but mostly cold. Temps will struggle to reach 15c all month. No Indian summer.

November : a very mild wet and windy month. Gale force winds and rain for the first week, with mild nights, and daytime temps of 13-17c. It will remain very wet, with rain every three days until the end of the month.

December : A cold and dry start, with severe frosts. After mid month temps will be mild or very mild. Staying dry and mild until Christmas, but temps will drop to very cold conditions on Boxing Day. Close to average temps.

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Late winter early spring cold - 2018 redux - perhaps?

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Jan - Somewhat like Jan 09 in cool but unsettled with a dominant Scandinavian Trough and perhaps a decent northerly.

Feb - Somewhat like Feb 13 in being quite dry and settled but with perhaps a decent easterly setting in late in the month.

March - Somewhat like Mar 18 in remaining cool although probably dry away from the south.

April - Close to average, probably a more traditional showery month than 2018 or 2019.

May - Close to average, first real warm spell. Similar to 2019.

June - Warmer and drier than average, classic N-S split. 

July - Cool and wet.

Aug - Cool and wet.

Sep - Cool and wet.

Oct - Very settled, drier than average, on the cool side. Similar to 2016.

Nov - Very settled, cooler than average. Similar to 2016.

Dec - Settled but potentially milder than average as blocking moves from the north west to south east of UK. N-S split.

 

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On 18/12/2019 at 14:10, summer blizzard said:

Jan - Somewhat like Jan 09 in cool but unsettled with a dominant Scandinavian Trough and perhaps a decent northerly.

Feb - Somewhat like Feb 13 in being quite dry and settled but with perhaps a decent easterly setting in late in the month.

March - Somewhat like Mar 18 in remaining cool although probably dry away from the south.

April - Close to average, probably a more traditional showery month than 2018 or 2019.

May - Close to average, first real warm spell. Similar to 2019.

June - Warmer and drier than average, classic N-S split. 

July - Cool and wet.

Aug - Cool and wet.

Sep - Cool and wet.

Oct - Very settled, drier than average, on the cool side. Similar to 2016.

Nov - Very settled, cooler than average. Similar to 2016.

Dec - Settled but potentially milder than average as blocking moves from the north west to south east of UK. N-S split.

 

I hope that doesn’t happen, but have a feeling 2020 will produce a poor summer, which will lead to a cold autumn. 

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My guesses for the year.

Month/Avg Min/Avg Max/Rain/Sun

Jan: 6 / 10 / 150 / 25

Feb: 5 / 12 / 220 / 40

Mar: 7 / 13 / 190 / 75

Apr: 5 / 15 / 70 / 125

May: 6 / 15 / 120 / 155

Jun: 9 / 17 / 160 / 110

July: 12 / 19 / 300 / 90

Aug: 11 / 17 / 450 / 75

Sep: 10 / 19 / 110 / 130

Oct: 10 / 16 / 240 / 50

Nov: 8 / 12 / 350 / 5

Dec: 7 / 8 / 500 / 2

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3 minutes ago, Thundershine said:

My guesses for the year.

Month/Avg Min/Avg Max/Rain/Sun

Jan: 6 / 10 / 150 / 25

Feb: 5 / 12 / 220 / 40

Mar: 7 / 13 / 190 / 75

Apr: 5 / 15 / 70 / 125

May: 6 / 15 / 120 / 155

Jun: 9 / 17 / 160 / 110

July: 12 / 19 / 300 / 90

Aug: 11 / 17 / 450 / 75

Sep: 10 / 19 / 110 / 130

Oct: 10 / 16 / 240 / 50

Nov: 8 / 12 / 350 / 5

Dec: 7 / 8 / 500 / 2

Really???  an 8c Jan

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2 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

Really???  an 8c Jan

Bound to happen sooner or later?

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Jan/Feb      A continuation of the Atlantic and being bashed by mild South Westerlies, even feeling very warm and springlike for January and humid in febuary. 

March        A cold snap in the early part of the month but a soon swing back to Atlantic.  A boring mild and wet month with temperatures struggling to fall below 13 degrees for most of the month.

April         First taste of Summer will occur late month, April 2011 echos. But still very Atlantic driven and mild and wet. Warmest day of the year so far occurring on  the 27th nudging 27°C in Cambridge.

May        A Good pleasant dry and warm month. Lots of pleasant days to enjoy as the Jet Stream goes calm and then Northern blocking starts to take hold late in May

June     A dull and cloudy wet month full of rain and wind with daytime temps remaining around average, becoming very warm and humid late in the month but a miserable month lacking in sunshine

July     Another dull month, more wet days. Spanish plume will occur mid month with a hot spell lasting 2 days. Hottest day of the year will reach 33° on the 14th.

August     One for the bin°

September   Sunny and dry, lots of summer warmth. Heatwave early in the month temperatures around 26 to 29° for all.

October     Losing the sunny and dry theme, becoming mild and becoming wet, then becoming cold and wet.

November   Cold, wet and very autumnal.  Brief snowfall in the late days of the month.

December   Autumnal month, slushy wet Christmas and mild.  Atlantic driven.

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Solar Cycle 25 should begin in 2020.

Variations of temp and precipitation against the 30 year average.

Jet stream to be generally wavy, sometimes locked-in and occasionally very meridional.

January - Milder and drier particularly in S. At least one Northerly toppler.

February - Colder with widespread snow and ice days.

see https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/92649-coldest-minima-winter-2019-2020-season-recordings-and-thoughts/?do=findComment&comment=4100013

March - Variable with first spanish plume.

April - Wetter.

May - Warmer. Drier in SE.

June - Warmer and drier with occasional thunderstorms.

July - Warmer and wetter. Another spanish plume - very hot and thunderstorms.

August - Wetter, cooler.

September/October - Wetter, milder and windier. First northerly toppler in late Oct with snow on Scottish mountains.

November - Cooler. First snow on Northern Hills. NW-SE jet

December - Cooler. Hill snow (NW-SE jet) becoming drier towards New Year. First dusting in London and melts before midday!

 

 

 

Edited by senior ridge

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On 15/12/2019 at 18:16, Lettucing Gutted said:

2020 will be a very horrible year and the hottest on record at 15.5C CET.  The Globe will average 16C making it the hottest year on record Globally.  This summer the polar jet reaches the Artic, dies and leaves a "polar weakstream" swirling around a dying Greenland PV.  The subtropical jet also reaches the Artic and replaces the dead polar jet.  A main "subtropical weakstream" swirls around the North Pole whilst an even weaker "subtropical weakstream" merges with the last "polar weakstream" swirling around the dying Greenland PV.  The African Monsoon Trough finally jumps the Sahara and Mediterranean into Europe and affects Britain and Europe from the 1000mb to the 500mb level with an outflow ridge on top to form the British Monsoon system.  The British Monsoon forms a monster Mid-Atlantic Ridge and a monster Bartlett Ridge sending heatwaves to obliterate the last of the Artic Ice.  Britain always remains mild if not very mild in winter and always remains hot if not very hot in the other seasons but swings from flood to drought so many times you just can't keep up!  Britain gets monster floods from the interaction of the British Monsoon with Spanish Plumes which also create Supercell Thunderstorms and F5 Twisters.  However Britain also gets monster droughts when ex-hurricanes and/or rare "weakstream" troughs send the monster Mid-Atlantic Ridges toppling over Britain and merging into the monster Bartlett Ridges.  I am also expecting an explosive "Methane Burp" to occur in 2020 as the warming oceans destabilise Methane Hydrates.  Combined with yet more water vapour from the warming oceans, this Methane Burp will worsen global warming more than ever this year.

January the warmest on record 9.5C

February the warmest on record 10C

March the warmest on record 12C

April the warmest on record 14C

May the warmest on record 17.5C

June the warmest on record 20.5C

July the warmest on record 22C

August the warmest on record 21.5C

September the warmest on record 19C

October the warmest on record 15.5C

November the warmest on record 13C

December the warmest on record 12C

2020 will be the Bob Beamon Year of CET Warming.  :oldsad:

The worlds on fire mate

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9 minutes ago, SteveB said:

The worlds on fire mate

It certainly will if that 2020 prediction comes off.  We will be looking at a climate emergency!

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I think the months are getting increasingly easier to predict now with the ever warming climate, April to early June northern blocking, cold in the lead up to winter then turning milder the instant winter arrives, hopefully there will be a few surprises this year  

Edited by Freeze

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