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Winter 2019/20 | Moans, Ramps & Chat


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Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON
11 hours ago, CreweCold said:

I really, desperately hoped I'd be wrong about this winter...

You must be a follower of the October Fog Index too It said snow chance of snow this winter, all the way back in.......well October.

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Posted
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in summer, thunderstorms, snow, fog, frost, squall lines
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
4 hours ago, jules216 said:

One winter forecast that is going to be as incorrect as one can imagine is Accuweather.The regions which were supposed to be the coldest will have the highest temp. anomalies by end of January. Central Europe benefitial rainfalls stand at 5mm so far this month and whopping 30mm in December

accu-winter-obr..png

Central Europe is one area that certainly could do with some ‘much needed’ rainfall. Or snowfall. In contrast to much of NW Europe!

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Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast

That poster that showed before when the CET in autumn was below normal that this winter would be mild, as in previous times when this happened was spot-on. 

Can't find the post, but I didn't think it be this mild, still no sign of even a single snowflake. 

This winter is absolutely horrendous. It's going down as the worst ever in my opinion. 

Even Buxton is snowless this winter. 

Currrent CET nearly 4c above average, ridiculous. 

March CET lower than January, February and probably April  will be lower too , with Easterly and Northerly winds dominating for much of spring.

 

Edited by SLEETY
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Posted
  • Location: Irlam
  • Location: Irlam
5 hours ago, jules216 said:

One winter forecast that is going to be as incorrect as one can imagine is Accuweather.The regions which were supposed to be the coldest will have the highest temp. anomalies by end of January. Central Europe benefitial rainfalls stand at 5mm so far this month and whopping 30mm in December

accu-winter-obr..png

Their winter forecasts at least for the UK have been very poor on the whole (should see the 2015-16 one, that was a real stinker) especially as regards to gales, seem obsess with active Atlantic weather in their winter forecasts and it's wrong again as regards to this. 

Edited by Weather-history
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Posted
  • Location: Cambridge, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Summer > Spring > Winter > Autumn :-)
  • Location: Cambridge, UK
16 hours ago, tight isobar said:

yeah - taking that orbit  turn into account 

and CFS  LOOKINGS. .spring looks  non-exist! !!.

'along with other factors '..

 

it's looking  like deep winter may well come into what we assume as spring! !!.

a growing habbit  of our climatically  changing turn! !!

Think I’ll believe that when I see it....none of the LRF models have gone for a cold spring.

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Posted
  • Location: Cambridge, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Summer > Spring > Winter > Autumn :-)
  • Location: Cambridge, UK
8 hours ago, jules216 said:

One winter forecast that is going to be as incorrect as one can imagine is Accuweather.The regions which were supposed to be the coldest will have the highest temp. anomalies by end of January. Central Europe benefitial rainfalls stand at 5mm so far this month and whopping 30mm in December

accu-winter-obr..png

Crapuweather strikes again! Their seasonal forecasts are absolutely terrible, last summers one was awful as well. It’s been unsettled here for sure, but stormy? We’ve only had 2 named storms....well down on previous winters. The rest of it is cack too. Best to ignore it really.

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Posted
  • Location: Ski Amade / Pongau Region. Somtimes Skipton UK
  • Weather Preferences: Northeasterly Blizzard and sub zero temperatures.
  • Location: Ski Amade / Pongau Region. Somtimes Skipton UK

Dire from GFS run this evening. Not one cold member out to 15 days. Limited penetrations of colder air from the NW but not getting that far south if at all.

C

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Posted
  • Location: Wyke regis overlooking Chesil beach.
  • Weather Preferences: Snowfall
  • Location: Wyke regis overlooking Chesil beach.

More of the usual crud from the models after our high pressure interlude. Just cool rain rather than exceptionally mild rain. Having said that yesterday was my coldest day this winter maxing out at a staggeringingly cold  7.4c.

Edited by Broadmayne blizzard
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Posted
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
  • Weather Preferences: LP - Horizontal Drizzle - Nice Blizzards
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.

Now this IS what they call the M4 CORRIDOR....!!!!!

prectypeuktopo.thumb.png.5385d5d7359609ad1b781a8bca6c2811.png

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Posted
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
  • Weather Preferences: LP - Horizontal Drizzle - Nice Blizzards
  • Location: Fenland Fylde.The same village as Duncan Iceglide.
1 hour ago, carinthian said:

Dire from GFS run this evening. Not one cold member out to 15 days. Limited penetrations of colder air from the NW but not getting that far south if at all.

C

?

uksnowrisk.thumb.png.ce9a5cbfaf0c0c37c926a8a3b2e261ad.pngh500slp.thumb.png.c6d73289616ce56482f09c165479ca23.png

....getting there.

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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
2 hours ago, mb018538 said:

Crapuweather strikes again! Their seasonal forecasts are absolutely terrible, last summers one was awful as well. It’s been unsettled here for sure, but stormy? We’ve only had 2 named storms....well down on previous winters. The rest of it is cack too. Best to ignore it really.

Totally useless...Together with Inexactaweather and Weatheraction, my box marked vox testiculi is overflowing!:ninja:

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Posted
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: blizzard conditions. ice days
  • Location: uxbridge middlesex(- also Bampton oxfordshire
9 minutes ago, Kentspur said:

Is the extreme high pressure having an influence on the rise in temps currently occurring in the SE where I am the frost  that developed from 7pm has melted and temps now up to 2c?!

20200119_230414.jpg

dew points appear  on the rise..

@more moisture  to add..

still -1 here  hard frost and slightly  murky /misty! !!

tx12.png

pointrosee.png

Edited by tight isobar
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Posted
  • Location: Live in NW Kent by the Thames & work in SE London
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy November to March and Sunny and warm April to October
  • Location: Live in NW Kent by the Thames & work in SE London
15 minutes ago, tight isobar said:

dew points appear  on the rise..

@more moisture  to add..

still -1 here  hard frost and slightly  murky /misty! !!

tx12.png

pointrosee.png

Thanks for that pal I did wonder if the Dew points were on the up hopefully they drop again having told everyone at work it's going to be the coldest night of the winter so far and to get the ice melt out!

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Posted
  • Location: East Devon
  • Location: East Devon

A lovely couple of days at last.

Kind of funny though, record breaking pressure here at 1050.1hPa, heading for the coldest night of the winter so far, but it has still managed to turn cloudy!

Edited by Evening thunder
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Posted
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: All
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
social299.jpg
WWW.SKYLINEWEBCAMS.COM

View on Plaza de España and Our Lady of the Rosary Parish Church of Bullas, world famous for the wine festival

 

This is SE Spain.  Whats that white stuff on the ground? 

image.thumb.png.48d6c845daac20e3fea9bac887ddaa4d.png

Edited by Had Worse
extra
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Posted
  • Location: Tonbridge Kent
  • Location: Tonbridge Kent

I'm struggling to remember a year where this 'cold locked-in' pattern was so persistent and wide ranging in that so many mid latitude area's (including USA, North West Europe & Russia) are having above average temperatures and very little in the way of proper wintry weather?  

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Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast

It will break though this mild pattern for the majority of the NH more than likely just in time for spring as usual. 

Edited by SLEETY
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Posted
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL

Just got to accept it isn't happening this time round.

My fear is northern blocking is now becoming restricted to spring and summer ..and non existent in Autumn and winter.

If this is related to GW its just about the worst outcome for people like myself who enjoy seasonal weather.

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Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast

Problem with GW is that U.K. has always been marginal for snow at low levels,so any slight increase in the annual temperature  due to GWwould impact the chances of snow at lower levels,and this is what is happening sad to say.

Doesnt effect countries like  Canada for example ,wehere the temp in winter is so cold that even the rise in temps there  over the decades of over 1.5c make no difference to getting snow or not.

 

 

Will soon have to fly abroad to see decent snow ,which is never the same,but no other option sadly.

Edited by SLEETY
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