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Winter 2019/20 | Moans, Ramps & Chat


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Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: Basically intresting weather,cold,windy you name it
  • Location: sheffield
11 minutes ago, DAVID SNOW said:

Two days in it aint.

As with every long range forecast....goes straight in the bin

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Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
5 hours ago, TomSE12 said:

I've just had a long telephone conversation with an acquaintance of mine, S.E. Meteorologist, Ian Currie.

Like many parts of the Country, Mr.Currie has just experienced a very wet November at his home in Storrington, West Sussex.

Ian is expecting a mobile Westerly flow, to become established again after the current respite from the recent very unsettled Weather.

As some Forecast Models have been suggesting recently, he expects a Northerly and much colder Weather around mid-Month with some Snow. He expects this to be fairly transitory though, with milder and unsettled Weather to be back in charge again, for the Festive Season. He expects January to continue on a mild and unsettled theme.

Regards,

Tom.   :hi: 

Oh dear.....

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Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast

Another mild winter forecast,good,because normally  the complete opposite happens with these forecasts.

Not possible to forecast accurately months ahead anywaybut it’s fun to guess.

I posted mine,let’s have some other members forecasts too...

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Posted
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
28 minutes ago, SLEETY said:

Another mild winter forecast,good,because normally  the complete opposite happens with these forecasts.

Not possible to forecast accurately months ahead anywaybut it’s fun to guess.

I posted mine,let’s have some other members forecasts too...

Cold snowy Christmas is my fun forecast.:cold:

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Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
34 minutes ago, DAVID SNOW said:

Oh dear, its a cold start to winter.

1989/90 had a cold start to winter, too.

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Posted
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
39 minutes ago, Don said:

1989/90 had a cold start to winter, too.

Cold or mild start, 'some' will always look for the negative, as sleety says nobody really knows.

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
8 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

Stewart (Glacier Point) updated his blog a few weeks back it's a long and detailed read

A short summary from the end of it is below

His full thoughts are on his blog 

https://centaureaweather.com/weather-news/solving-the-winter-conundrum/

Gav - how long ago did he update that please? - would be interesting to know

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
2 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

Gav - how long ago did he update that please? - would be interesting to know

November 19th

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Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
8 hours ago, Don said:

Don’t like it

really any surprise though? people these days still expect cold spells, time to be realistic, winters changed 21 or so years ago

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Posted
  • Location: Windsor
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and cold
  • Location: Windsor

What happened to the fog in the South East today that was predicted ? 
 

Regarding next weeks ‘interest’ we need more Gefs members going below -5c 850s and the UKMO needs to come on board too which is looking flat at the moment for t144. Let’s see what the Ecm delivers this morning..

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Posted
  • Location: Windsor
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and cold
  • Location: Windsor
2 hours ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

really any surprise though? people these days still expect cold spells, time to be realistic, winters changed 21 or so years ago

Not for Decembers as the 1981-10 average for Decembers is lower than the 1961-90 average. Januarys and Februarys on the other hand have been a lot poorer.

Edited by prolongedSnowLover
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Posted
  • Location: Rainham Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Snow all the way
  • Location: Rainham Kent

Well that’s then according to the Net Weather Winter Forecast, above average temperatures for Christmas and New Year.  Answers the debate about whether there should be a return to a hunt for cold forum, apparently a hunt for mild would be more suitable. On a positive note saves me getting obsessed with catching up during the next couple of months in the hope for snow! 
All my fun over, back in February with fingers crossed. 

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Posted
  • Location: Huddersfield
  • Location: Huddersfield
14 minutes ago, Biensie said:

Well that’s then according to the Net Weather Winter Forecast, above average temperatures for Christmas and New Year.  Answers the debate about whether there should be a return to a hunt for cold forum, apparently a hunt for mild would be more suitable. On a positive note saves me getting obsessed with catching up during the next couple of months in the hope for snow! 
All my fun over, back in February with fingers crossed. 

How did that 'BBQ' summer work out?

Anything can happen. Already talk of cold next week. 

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Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
4 hours ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

really any surprise though? people these days still expect cold spells, time to be realistic, winters changed 21 or so years ago

Not really a surprise but that doesn’t make it any better!  Cold spells still possible but less likely.

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Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
56 minutes ago, Biensie said:

Well that’s then according to the Net Weather Winter Forecast, above average temperatures for Christmas and New Year.  Answers the debate about whether there should be a return to a hunt for cold forum, apparently a hunt for mild would be more suitable. On a positive note saves me getting obsessed with catching up during the next couple of months in the hope for snow! 
All my fun over, back in February with fingers crossed. 

If it does turn out to be a poor Winter for coldies we can at least chalk off lower Solar minimums as a factor.

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Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
1 hour ago, Biensie said:

Well that’s then according to the Net Weather Winter Forecast, above average temperatures for Christmas and New Year.  Answers the debate about whether there should be a return to a hunt for cold forum, apparently a hunt for mild would be more suitable. On a positive note saves me getting obsessed with catching up during the next couple of months in the hope for snow! 
All my fun over, back in February with fingers crossed. 

Since when has any seasonal forecast been accurate

Don't give up hope of a cold winter because some seasonal forecasts are going mild.

A fair few forcasts went for a mild Autumn which didn't happen,and the forecast for an above average CET for Dec is looking shaky already !

 

Edited by SLEETY
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Posted
  • Location: Elstow, Bedford
  • Weather Preferences: Deep cold
  • Location: Elstow, Bedford

Hmmm.... lets review the evidence

- models agree on snow  - Check

- General election to disrupt - check

- Steve Murr has nodded sagely  - check

- NW traffic increasing exponentially - check

- Sidney memes appearing - check

 

oh - and I have to drive from Bedford to Dorset! - surely makes disruptive snow south of the M4 a certainly 

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