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Polar Maritime

Model Output Discussion - Into November 2019

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19 minutes ago, knocker said:

Plenty of record mins around this morning

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Pretty incredible for mid November knocker,could be a harsh long winter over there

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1 hour ago, weirpig said:

Who said it was ????

Guilty as charged...

My fault, * skulks off for a good dressing down..

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10 minutes ago, swfc said:

Pretty incredible for mid November knocker,could be a harsh long winter over there

I think I saw a Ryan Maue quote as a hundred year event

The sounding is for Charleston South Carolina

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27 minutes ago, swfc said:

Pretty incredible for mid November knocker,could be a harsh long winter over there

....though not all US forecasters would agree. There are calls in some areas for a mild east coast December. As ever - the picture as we approach winter proper is complex and all options remain on the table....

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Day 8 and into the second half of Nov. Huge Siberian High, heights over Greenland but still nothing decent over us. I wonder if FI will spring a surprise from the north around day 11!!! This could still get interesting later this month if you take day 8s chart as gospel!! 

 

6094EAD9-5E67-4E93-9584-545497852A1C.jpeg

Edited by Ali1977

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There’s nothing cold enough to tap into anywhere near us anyway, the Siberian high stops any attempt of any cold to come east.

Must be said it’s a dire chart for already flooded areas, with this same system pivoting on or around the uk for 3+ days

A3C1BC5D-772F-4DDC-A55A-18B1D7EA128E.png

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2 minutes ago, Weathizard said:

There’s nothing cold enough to tap into anywhere near us anyway, the Siberian high stops any attempt of any cold to come east.

Must be said it’s a dire chart for already flooded areas, with this same system pivoting on or around the uk for 3+ days

A3C1BC5D-772F-4DDC-A55A-18B1D7EA128E.png

That low is hanging around like a bad smell, spoiling any chances!! 

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2 minutes ago, Weathizard said:

There’s nothing cold enough to tap into anywhere near us anyway, the Siberian high stops any attempt of any cold to come east.

Must be said it’s a dire chart for already flooded areas, with this same system pivoting on or around the uk for 3+ days

A3C1BC5D-772F-4DDC-A55A-18B1D7EA128E.png

Yes pretty pony in our area tbh.pretty insipid looking charts tbh

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The new and quite intense upper trough 'trapped' in the eastern Atlantic started life as an extension of the Canadian vortex. Not good

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UKMO good at d6 - would’ve been nice to see beyond. Need to see more of that circled amplification round the states which just isn’t there yet on other models..subtle changes such as that make all the difference. 

9FF556B3-AA3D-4B20-AAEE-731116206250.jpeg

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About as seasonal as It gets really this run - guess we can't complain. I always think November is the dullest month for our weather. You're still not quite adapted to the very short days, the weather isn't cold enough (for most) for any meaningful snow and it's typically considerably wet and windy with extensive fog. 

Unless of course you like those things. 

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Edited by PerfectStorm

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