Tropical Depression 10

[MattTarrant]

Tropical Depression 10 has formed in the central tropical Atlantic and is forecast to move WNW/NW. Forecasted to be close to the Northern Leeward Islands by Friday as a #hurricane. The average (1981-2010 climatology) date for the 4th Atlantic hurricane is September 21 (@Philip Klotzbach).

[snowrye]

97l

[summer blizzard]

Models are fairly consistent that it will recurve and be no threat to land bar Bermuda.

[matty40s]

Like the models have excelled themselves this year with their early days tracks!!!!!

[iand61]

Looking at that forecast path i’m glad i’m not leaving Miami on a Southern Caribbean cruise on the 23rd.

oh wait, where’s my sea sickness tablets

[summer blizzard]

TS Jerry has got its groove on, steadily intensifying and now close to hurricane strength at 70mph.

[summer blizzard]

Jerry became a hurricane yesterday and strengthened to category 2. It is currently forecast to remain a hurricane through the next five days when it will be somewhere near Bermuda.

981mb, 105mph.

[summer blizzard]

Jerry has been suffering due to shear but is now turning north and east. Relative Shear should relax but dry air and minimal heat content mean it may die. If it survives long enough, it may approach the Azores.

993mb, 65mph.

[summer blizzard]

Jerry has been declared post-tropical.