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Blessed Weather

South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2019 onwards

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Feeling fresher this morning, managed my early morning walk without looking like I’d been for a swim in the river Blythe! According to the beeb weather app, tomorrow winds turn NE, and still 27c! But first the heat of today....how hot will it get, too hot 😂 for you heat lovers, enjoy, to everyone else, cheer up, as Yamkin posted, it’s not long til winter 😜

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17 minutes ago, Coopsy said:

Quite remarkable for your location and so close to the sea. Hopefully it’ll be moderated but it’s looking toasty 

Indeed...it’s an odd location, has both good and bad points weather wise as we take on a lot of influence from the continent. 

23c here already - have a good day everyone

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Well we will soon be off to the races with the heating temperatures.

Looking very hot today. As I said on the models thread some of the high resolution models have a touch backed off from the record breaking type heat today and tomorrow, though all are in agreement of 34C+ being recorded so even if they are right, its still very hot indeed, and you'd expect the usual hotspots to be 1-2c up on that figure as well.

Current temperatures broadly match what was on the 00z runs of those models.

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Posted (edited)

Beeb app has changed its thunderstorm symbols slightly, now from 3pm wednesday and all day Thursday 😂😂 met office app having none of it. For the triangle, I’m inclined to believe the met 😞

current temp 21c with 73% humidity. 

Edited by Blazerblue
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Posted (edited)

Not even the slightest breeze here though surprisingly cool in the house with the windows open. Just waiting for the sun to hit it and I’ll be running round shutting the curtains like a madman lol. 

I think there’s a chance of the all time hottest nighttime record going over the next week (23.9oC Aug 3 1990 in Brighton) Especially if clouds build at night to trap in the heat. (EDIT: However the models have just edged away from the hottest temps forecasted by a degree or so - I’m now thinking it won’t be as hot as last week here (maybe famous last words) 

I hate the heat but when records go it’s always interesting and exciting (whether good or bad IMO) 

For the vulnerable amongst us stay safe and get through this. For the heat lovers, enjoy! 

Edited by Coopsy
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Very pleasant early doors in N Surrey quite a cool breeze which is great - doesnt have the intense heat feel of last Friday , but that could change ...

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13 minutes ago, Blazerblue said:

Beeb app has changed its thunderstorm symbols slightly, now from 3pm wednesday and all day Thursday 😂😂 met office app having none of it. For the triangle, I’m inclined to believe the met 😞

current temp 21c with 73% humidity. 

Several high resolution models have some shower activity breaking out over E.A *tonight* with there being a decent chance of something kicking off tomorrow (which is why some of those models now have a much lower forecast for tomorrow down to only 32-34c maxes).

Worth watching that band in the SW, it looks reasonably active and don't be surprised if mid level cloud from it spills into our region by 2-3pm which may just prevent the very highest temperatures occurring that are forecast.

The flow does look increasingly less stable, the AROME for example breaks ut quite a few showers tomorrow, which is far from impossible if the front remains straddled close to our area as oer forecast (as usual, the closer to the coast you are, the better the chances of keeping dry and hot, which is why the models are now focusing any 34c+ heat south of London).

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7 hours ago, alexisj9 said:

Is there a meteor shower around soon, only asking cause I saw a shooting star yesterday, and another tonight. 

Perseids due mid August.

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6 minutes ago, kold weather said:

Several high resolution models have some shower activity breaking out over E.A *tonight* with there being a decent chance of something kicking off tomorrow (which is why some of those models now have a much lower forecast for tomorrow down to only 32-34c maxes).

Worth watching that band in the SW, it looks reasonably active and don't be surprised if mid level cloud from it spills into our region by 2-3pm which may just prevent the very highest temperatures occurring that are forecast.

The flow does look increasingly less stable, the AROME for example breaks ut quite a few showers tomorrow, which is far from impossible if the front remains straddled close to our area as oer forecast (as usual, the closer to the coast you are, the better the chances of keeping dry and hot, which is why the models are now focusing any 34c+ heat south of London).

Let’s hope so, been extremely poor for storms here so far this summer and I’ll not be upset if we do get some cloud to keep temps down today.🤞

 

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20.4 at 0830 after a low of 16.1 overnight.

Humidity at 71% but very pleasant in the garden. That was the last decent nights sleep for a week I reckon.

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Posted (edited)
7 minutes ago, Blazerblue said:

Let’s hope so, been extremely poor for storms here so far this summer and I’ll not be upset if we do get some cloud to keep temps down today.🤞

 

I think we as a region will be very unlucky not to see some thunderstorm activity as the heatwave rolls on, the flow looks pretty unstable to me and there is some decent enough CAPE to work with for any storm that does kick off to get fairly strong, especially past Sunday.

Just worth noting the temperatures across the region are about 1c down on where they were last week, so increasingly unlikely we get as hot as last week today, and that is ignoring the convection currently developing over the SW and moving NE that may well spill mid level cloud into the western part of the region by 2pm.

Still every chance of reaching 35-36c today though, which by any normal times standards is madness (we've been spoiled in the last 13 months!)

Edited by kold weather
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30 minutes ago, Blazerblue said:

Beeb app has changed its thunderstorm symbols slightly, now from 3pm wednesday and all day Thursday 😂😂 met office app having none of it. For the triangle, I’m inclined to believe the met 😞

current temp 21c with 73% humidity. 

An eight o'clock temp of 23C, down (or up) here... I reckon 30 or 32C must be well within today's range? But at least tomorrow's 27C should feel a lot fresher!:oldlaugh:

Thunderstorms? Triangle?  Naaah!:olddoh:

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23.5 already, metoffice state 22 for 09.00 seems temperatures are climbing faster here, I suspect a sea breeze will develop here soon to stop the temperature rising too much, enjoy the heatwave all, for those who don’t like the heat you have to wait until Wednesday Thursday 

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Posted (edited)

10am 27c 63% humidity 🙁

edit, should add, these are Norwich airport stats, closest reliable station to me.

Edited by Blazerblue
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25.8

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Starting to feel uncomfortable in the shade now

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1 hour ago, Lauren said:

Perseids due mid August.

Lol, I wonder if I see any when they peak, normally I don't. Should start looking early it seems. 

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Well I'm just happy that the washed bedding I hung up outside at 10.30pm last night was dry by 9.30 this morning, lol!!!

Fwiw, my little at home weather station here in Ashtead (nr Epsom) says 25.5c and 51% humidity. Mid 20s is my favourite (and my veg garden/lawn's favourite!!) so I think there'll be lots of hose and water play in the garden with the kids the next few days!! Going away to Devon next Thursday and fully expecting a massive breakdown and crappy weather coming in off the Atlantic!!🙄😜xx

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Not a breath of wind and already past the 30C mark, now at 30.4C. It's going to be roasting by this afternoon with no breeze and full sun

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27c and rising here. In the end I am not expecting the highest temperatures here (probably 32/33c), I will not expect them in Great Yarmouth where I am heading for the weekend.

As for beyond this, if thunderstorms cause cooler temperatures then that is fine. However a stiff NE wind and low cloud would be a real spoiler so fingers cross the winds remain more easterly.

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Temps Brands hatch ( shade )

10am 23.2c

11am  26.2c

A 3 degree rise in 1 hour.

I still think heathrow / Kew will get 37/38 today with landmarks

12pm 30c

1pm   32c

2pm   33.5c

Leaving 4 hours warming for the other 4 degrees.

Update at 12

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NE Hants (Fleet) and it's 31.5°C at 11am imby, and rising. 😱 Oh. Em. Gee. 🔥🔥🔥

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11am, 29c, 45% humidity, no breeze at all. 

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