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Blessed Weather

South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2019 onwards

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Super humid this morning and no storms to show for it ?

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43 minutes ago, Blessed Weather said:

Good morning Lottie. I thought I'd take a look at what happens tomorrow (Thurs) and the developing weather set-up does help explain the forecasts. In a nutshell it's looking like a much better chance of some wider rainfall for our Region - although ironically not for your location from what I can see.

So starting with a look at the Met Office Fax charts for midnight tonight and midday tomorrow shows that an occluded front has entered from the right, moving in a westerly direction off the North Sea to impact us. By midday as that trundles off in a NW'ly direction a trough has developed behind which kicks off some very heavy showers.

Midnight tonight 1509249375_FaxChart17Jun00_00.thumb.jpg.a91d5e2c52e100a0c734d6bedcfdbaff.jpg Midday Thurs 1982894660_FaxChart17Jun12_00.thumb.jpg.99d237310f86a44a4642b51a0e79fcdb.jpg

And here's how the Arome high res model forecasts the rainfall associated with the front moving in around midnight and by morning impacting a large part of the Region. By 15.00 tomorrow the front is to our north but the heavy showers associated with the trough are showing from the Thames Estuary across to Wales with hopefully some storm activity thrown in. The message for most of us is to take in the garden seat cushions tonight or they'll get soggy! But for the SE corner and thus your location down in Folkestone, it seems you miss all the action.

00.00 1967519387_AromePrecip18Jun00_00.thumb.png.533b0d58e1949bddd45b6fe7fad356f0.png 03.00 828059709_AromePrecip18Jun03_00.thumb.png.fdad4c1b2bf8260be23d61365d360178.png

06.00 1502365206_AromePrecip18Jun06_00.thumb.png.d98b67aeaa375198f952c83554f4a099.png 12.00 1344277807_AromePrecip18Jun15_00.thumb.png.9962322b831c26d22e8f2fb8c24a401b.png

That sounds about right!

We are lucky here at times though; we have had some nice snow streamers in the past that only affected a slim coastal region from Deal down to New Romney way. Then in the summer we will often get a warmer pool of air that just envelops us coming off the continent, which in turn allows us to be clipped by storms moving up from France.


So I’m happy for others to have their turn as I know we’ll get something magnificent eventually.

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A partly cloudy, hazy and muggy start to the day, here: temperature is already at 20C, so the current warm spell has made it to 5 days!:oldgood:

But, I'll need to go on Netflix to find any thunder!:oldlaugh:

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18 minutes ago, General Cluster said:

A partly cloudy, hazy and muggy start to the day, here: temperature is already at 20C, so the current warm spell has made it to 5 days!:oldgood:

But, I'll need to go on Netflix to find any thunder!:oldlaugh:

I'm that desperate I keep watching Twister and Into The Storm....

I really REALLY hate E'ly onshore winds. 

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Hi all,
Is there any idea when this humidity could drop? I might have misheard but I'm sure the BBC local weather seemed to suggest we will pick up a stronger westerly breeze by Friday and we should lose the humidity? 

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Storm popped up out of nowhere between Ashford and Maidstone and also another one over Calais which seems to be on its way towards me. Shame I’m stuck at my desk (kitchen table) until 4pm! 

DEE7F60C-8443-4A32-9906-40489FCEFAF0.jpeg

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I can see towers to my south, is that actually gonnaake it over this time. 

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Yep, dark here in Potters Bar

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3 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

I can see towers to my south, is that actually gonnaake it over this time. 

It’s struggling to make the jump, heaviest stuff staying just off french coast. Bet you the lighter stuff makes it then it ignites just as it passes us inland?

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So some low cloud/fog moved in just after sunrise, this has lifted and again we have clouds building with the hope of seeing something later in the day. Warm and sticky again.

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Definitely a different look and feel to today, just cut the front grass (3/4 hour) and it's a very different feel to yesterday when I cut a lot of hedges and didn't even break sweat. I'm just a pool of liquid atm!

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Just heard a rumble from the Channel. Still not convinced it’ll do much until it’s passed over and is heading further inland. People in north Kent might do well off of it perhaps? 
The cell in mid-Kent seems to have formed a friend on its southern side towards Paddock Wood.

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Posted (edited)

Storm kicking off here.  no thunder yet, but just a matter of time... nope...thunder heard

Edited by nanu
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Posted (edited)

It’s going to go bang . This has exploded in to life in the last hour .

95596419-95CA-43D6-B8A2-B7E43E15111D.png

Edited by Mark wheeler
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Torrential rain and thunder in Bromley now, and a heavier burst to come behind it. Right in the firing line today

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That little storm just skimmed me to my West, nothing overhead.

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wow.. rain is incredible... close lightning as well... long time since ive seen it this bad

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Humidity unbearable, had to down tools. Every other cloud looks like it's climbing in height. it's going to be an interesting afternoon.

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UOK so far some distant rumbles when the anvil first came over, but now the rains here, nothing. At least we have some rain at last. Let see if it wakes back up.

More rumbles now still distant though. 

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Action still too far west. I’m assuming what’s leaving Belgium now is what’s coming in over night? 

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Had torrential rain for an hour now bout 10 claps of thunder.

Plenty more heading our way from the coast, it looks like a conveyor belt

Three strikes detected within a mile of us 

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Omg its torrential rain and storming now in N Kent.

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Posted (edited)

First rumbles of Thunder here . Light rain for now but this is going to change . A band is forming and getting longer and wider all the time .

C570567A-AA61-46E6-986A-3FDB8DCD1EB4.png

573AC7F9-3E7A-4C2F-9F5E-002ECA1F98C5.gif

Edited by Mark wheeler
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