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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2019 onwards


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In Kent I'm probably to far east this afternoon and to south tonight for any storms.

Good luck to everyone. 

Edited by TN26
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Dunstable got a good snow cover but melted in the afternoon. Hills around the area did ok. I drove to the highest point in the Chiltrens to have my snow fix. Some photos from Wendover Wood this mornin

Shower cloud lit up nicely by the low sun earlier this evening north of Heathrow where I work.

Nice bit of snow here this morning, so that means it won’t go down as one of the worst winters I can remember but only by the skin of its teeth . Photos below ?

Posted Images

Jolly windy here in East Dene this morning. Outside temp shows 17C. But it feels cold in the wind. Take care everyone and good health to you all.

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7 hours ago, Blessed Weather said:

So will our Region see some of the very heavy rain with maybe some T&L over the next 24 hours? The consensus of the high res models seems to be a 'possible' for first the south, then the west, and by tomorrow morning the far east of the Region. This is best shown by running the sequence of charts for this evening through to 06.00 tomorrow morning from two of the models and it shows the worst of any rainfall splitting around us. So most of us missing the best/worst of any action - choice of word depending on your preference. :oldsmile:

Arome: anim_scb3.gif Hirlam:anim_cwr7.gif

 

As for seeing a storm? Only a 'slight' chance according to Convection Weather:

838919043_ConvectiveFcast12Jun.thumb.jpg.fac3a246dd6532a99829bc8ea1d409c0.jpg

Sources:
Charts http://www.meteociel.fr/
Convective Weather http://www.convectiveweather.co.uk/

Agree - to be honest due to the nature of the beast a lot has been made of storms/rain today and tomorrow but the latest indications are widespread and organised activity is limited especially for our region with tomorrow not looking bad at all now for many, but we shall see. 

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25 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

Dry here now, but still under the frontal cloud. 

Somehow I have always been in the dry bits here since last weeks heavy shower, just wind and low cloud, rain all around me on the radar and only a few spots again today, the garden is bone dry! Just noticed my tomatoes were wilting so had to go and water them.?

Edited by snowray
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For those in the SE Did you enjoy your 10 mins of drizzle? And for those in the SW And Wales hope you enjoyed the storms,oh wait a minute there wernt any what a surprise.

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The soil moisture-deficit around here is really quite worrying: despite repeated downpours, of late, the soil, once you get down past 3", is still as dry as a bone...Lots more rain required!?

Edited by General Cluster
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1 hour ago, General Cluster said:

The soil moisture-deficit around here is really quite worrying: despite repeated downpours, of late, the soil, once you get down past 3", is still as dry as a bone...Lots more rain required!?

I was hoping for lots of rain this week and then a return to Summer, but alas it was not to be...my veg would have loved it!?

Edited by snowray
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Managed some decent sunny spells late morning and over lunch, so the temp squeezed up to a high of 20.7C. A few drops of rain later this afternoon, but the high res model forecasts were correct about the rain band splitting to leave our Region with barely enough to damp the dust down.

Radar at 18.00: 343608959_Radar12Jun18_00.thumb.jpg.b72d437eaab42f297ebb2985503eba34.jpg

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6 hours ago, General Cluster said:

The soil moisture-deficit around here is really quite worrying: despite repeated downpours, of late, the soil, once you get down past 3", is still as dry as a bone...Lots more rain required!?

Indeed, but most here don't seem to realise this!

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31 minutes ago, chrisbell-nottheweatherman said:

Indeed, but most here don't seem to realise this!

I was putting in some new plants this afternoon - damp soil for about an inch and then concrete. I managed two, only six to go.....

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Don’t think we got any thunder last night, least I wasn’t woken by a slobbering scared dog, so it must have run up the coast. No sunshine yesterday, but woken today to glorious blue skies and sun. Happy weekend to all ?

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Morning

For once I’m hoping there is no storm here today as we’re having our allowed 4 extra people round in the garden later for a socially distant get together for our friend’s 40th birthday. We’ve said if it rains the whole thing is off as they’re not allowed in the house so fingers crossed it stays away from here!

Currently 17.1c and unbroken sunshine - have a lovely day everyone 

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Fantastic to have the lovely weather back, certainly lifts my spirits. It's just hit 18C here and I'm off out into the garden in a mo to put all the furniture and sun umbrellas back out. Having a few mates around later for a socially distanced tinny in the back garden. First time I've seen them in person since February.

I've checked 3 high res models and they show most of our Region dry until this evening when the odd shower might move up from the south and clip us. The east more likely to stay completely dry with a higher chance of a shower in the west.

Looking good: 1109432521_Radar13Jun08_25.thumb.jpg.ae39bcbf9387b506a1065936f1110d19.jpg

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