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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2019 onwards


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7 hours ago, Mal Kapadia said:

@Reefseeker and @Mark wheeler, you guys in Surbiton? I am.

The Hogsmill was high and fast flowing but fine (that was late afternoon when I took the dog for a walk). 

Mal

Hello. Yes I'm just off Ewell Road. I can see we got heavy rain an hour or so ago but the next lot went south of here, so I can see thick clouds from the front window and blue skies from the back. 

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Dunstable got a good snow cover but melted in the afternoon. Hills around the area did ok. I drove to the highest point in the Chiltrens to have my snow fix. Some photos from Wendover Wood this mornin

Nice bit of snow here this morning, so that means it won’t go down as one of the worst winters I can remember but only by the skin of its teeth . Photos below ?

Shower cloud lit up nicely by the low sun earlier this evening north of Heathrow where I work.

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Looks like morning has turned back to night here , horizontal rain, also thunder which turned out to be a boy racers silly little car with an amplified exhaust backfiring. ??.

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28 minutes ago, bluebell said:

Looks like morning has turned back to night here , horizontal rain, also thunder which turned out to be a boy racers silly little car with an amplified exhaust backfiring. ??.

The best kind of thunder! ? lol

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18 minutes ago, Essex Easterly said:

The best kind of thunder! ? lol

? indeed very predictable and pretty much bang/pop pop on demand! 
morning is back blue sky emerged, long may it last. ?

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19 minutes ago, Mal Kapadia said:

The Thames at Kingston is a lot higher than yesterday, it's only a few cm from overflowing. 

Good luck, hope it doesn't over top. 

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On 17/02/2020 at 14:49, Badgers01 said:

Highest levels in Cobham since 2013 , due to peak tonight not sure if it will break that record ..?

D8B9AC51-5E94-4D89-83FA-B18189492304.jpeg

C40668C8-6271-4E80-AF9D-222CE33ED7C4.jpeg

B7BDA07A-9F7C-4ADE-9082-FB38B5CC64EB.jpeg

Great pics. 

Torrential downpours of rain and hail passing through South London now. Very gusty. Certainly lively weather this. 

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3 hours ago, Mark wheeler said:

Blimey Look at that lot coming in from the west .

Just emptied over us, very heavy and squally for 10 minutes. It seems to be growing as it moves south east. Let's see if the showers behind do the same. 

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Well a bit of an SE Region Bus Man’s holiday here.... left the Surrey Hills at 10 this morning to come to Folkestone for a trip to Port Lypme and then some retail therapy at McArthur Glen in Ashford..... unfortunately the M20 didn’t play nice this morning and we were stuck for the best part of an hour around Maidstone... so switched the tickets for PL until tomorrow and the wife and daughter shopped this afternoon instead! 
 

Staying at the BW Clifton Hotel in Folkestone tonight.... food, service and downstairs are flawless... the rooms are a little tired though...

Glad we changed the days around as when we arrived in Folkestone the weather was foul for a good couple of hours.... calmed down now... so roll on the Zoo tomorrow...

 

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7 hours ago, John Stevens said:

Well a bit of an SE Region Bus Man’s holiday here.... left the Surrey Hills at 10 this morning to come to Folkestone for a trip to Port Lypme and then some retail therapy at McArthur Glen in Ashford..... unfortunately the M20 didn’t play nice this morning and we were stuck for the best part of an hour around Maidstone... so switched the tickets for PL until tomorrow and the wife and daughter shopped this afternoon instead! 
 

Staying at the BW Clifton Hotel in Folkestone tonight.... food, service and downstairs are flawless... the rooms are a little tired though...

Glad we changed the days around as when we arrived in Folkestone the weather was foul for a good couple of hours.... calmed down now... so roll on the Zoo tomorrow...

 

Sounds like a lovely day out despite the m20 hold ups, enjoy Port Lympe today, the weather looks dry for the first half of the day at least?! Work for me today but off to the Peak District Friday for a week! ?

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Chilly but beautiful morning here. Down to 3C overnight. Looking at the various high res model output, our Region escapes the worst of the rain over the next couple of days, with both GFS and NMM suggesting no more than 5mm for most. Cumulative rainfall to mid-night Thurs:

GFS 1414121900_GFSUKCumPrecip19-20Feb.thumb.GIF.92c4fcf6d350e04e7b4ab5059fb4d8b9.GIF NMM 781937696_NMMCumPrecip19-20Feb.thumb.png.b5152f8e7a80da4e389e01d0c6a94790.png

The most interest will be from the cold front coming through on Thursday afternoon. This could produce another squall line with a short period of intense rainfall and gusty winds. Shown here on the fax chart for midday Thurs and Arome precip forecast for 15.00:

1093895237_FaxChart20Feb12_00.thumb.jpg.e87fedb0032d3b6c8b51edaae6b64cf3.jpg  1262713530_AromePrecip20Feb15_00.thumb.png.67fcee7dfe0285a06a2a81e24bf8cd81.png

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Well the last thing anyone needs right now is more rain and more rain is forecast for today and tomorrow.. 

The lake at the back of my garden has risen considerably over the last few days as the water drains into it from the surrounding area.. 

Once it reaches the bank at the back of my garden it spills into the gardens and the land is really flat in some the gardens it comes right up to the back doors.. 

Thankfully they kept the bank in at the back of my garden but it still does come around and in through the neighbours gardens and floods half way up our garden..

Saturday 

IMG_20200216_084239.thumb.jpg.91aafe2d406c23ba7273684236b2d1f0.jpg

Today 

IMG_20200219_072124.thumb.jpg.5158cfb87bfd7c26920e7045edfa188a.jpg

 

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Everything is a big soggy mess at the moment, not much sign of anything dry in the near future with a conveyor belt of Atlantic depressions heading towards the UK. GFS has these lows for its entire run ? Feel sorry for those affected by flooding, must be grim. Looks like there’ll be a lot more folks affected in the weeks ahead, if the charts are correct.

Edited by stainesbloke
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