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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2019 onwards


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Morning all,

And a Happy, albeit snowless, Valentine's Day to all the female Members of the S.E.Thread.

You'll be pleased to hear, I remembered a Card for "Septic" (Wife Colette).

Poor thing went off to work at 6.15, for her early Morning shift. I've given her strict instructions, not to work on this Afternoon. Likewise Tomorrow, she has an early Morning shift but Tomorrow is our 10th Wedding Anniversary, evidently our Diamond Anniversary but I can't afford a Diamond, so I've bought her a humungous box of Chocolates.

Like my original prediction in snowray's Snow Competition, Colette's choice of Tomorrow, will also bite the dust. And we won't see a repeat of Snow grains on our Wedding Day, as we saw outside Sidcup Registry Office, in 2010.

I hope this is ok with Malcolm but I do need to return to my Weather predicting Competition, briefly.

As I stated a few Days ago, I have carried forward those Members predictions (post 20th Feb), to my new Weather predicting Competition but the great majority of you, have only predicted Category 1 (next date of settling Snow), there are another 3 Categories.

Category 2 - Predict the exact and final date, of the last named North Atlantic Storm, and it's name, to enter the Shipping Forecast area. The name of the Shipping area, it first enters and its central Barometric Pressure, at that time.

Category 3 - Predict the exact Date and Temperature (to the nearest degree Celsius), of the last AIR Frost of the Season. 

Category 4:- Predict the FIRST Date that 21c (70f), is recorded in the South East Region.

The following S.E. Members need to complete all these Categories, if they're going to have a chance of winning a wonderful, "Virtual" Prize:

Chertseystreamer79, classylady, Jimmyh, Sleety, snowray, Stainesbloke, Steve Murr and Mark Wheeler.

The following Members need to complete Category 2, with their prediction of the date and central pressure of the last named Storm, when it enters the Shipping Forecast areas, at that time:

Claret047, Kentspur, Lewis028, Lottiekent  and John Stevens.

Don't worry, if you're not considering to continue, in my Competition. But if you do, could you please Post your predictions, on my Competition Thread, in the Lounge Forum. Thank you.

Sorry to be so fastidious but it's a legacy of working for a Bookmaker, where ambiguity is a Bookmaker's enemy and a Punter's friend.

A few Years before I became to ill to work, I was given the task of rewriting our Betting Rule Book and I'm sure Lassie (a much valued Patron of my Horse Racing Competitions), will confirm that I'm a "stickler" for Rules and Entry deadlines!! I've always felt that if you're going to do something, do it properly. :oldgood:

Myself and Colette were quite alarmed, when a couple of Days ago we went to collect my B.P. medication from a Chemist in Chislehurst, to find the counter awash with Face Masks. Especially, as Colette has experienced a tight chest and cold type symptoms, along with myself in the past few Days.

But coming into contact with a myriad of viruses, is one of the "hazards" of working in the Care Industry, for which employees are paid, a pathetic pittance. Colette is still waiting for her amazingly generous Christmas Box of, wait for it...……. a  £5 Amazon Gift Voucher!! :oldangry: Shame on you BUPA ( a multi-million £ Company). 

I count myself very fortunate and a bit of a fraud, for along with my Children (who also worked with me), received 10% of our Gross Annual Income (after Tax/N.I.), if Results from a Bookmaking POV, had been favourable. Which was a hell of a lot more than BUPA's pathetic offer!!

Looks like our planned Joint Anniversary/ 72nd Birthday meal with my eldest Sister, will have to be postponed, to a later Date. :oldangry: So, snowray no meal at Studio Gusto in Bromley. or a Joe Green (Giuseppe Verdi) Opera.

I admit to doing something very un-Italian the other Day, sprinkling Worcester Sauce on my Wife's delicious Lasagna. That's as bad as having, Lasagna and Chips!!

Apologies to Malcolm but one last bit of "Tomfoolery" from me, before I depart to other Threads.

As well as celebrating our Wedding Anniversary, we will also be celebrating the 2nd Birthday of our Twins (stay with me and humour me on this). 

The first Twin, Rupert (Ruby), aka Wobbly. He was bought (born), in the Co-Op at Chislehurst, Valentine's Day 2018. He was always very flimsy and fragile. But we were very worried when his head started to come off but Nurse Septic and myself sprang into action. Below are images of Wobbly Pre-Op and Post-Op.

 image.thumb.png.7fa5bb726f89e46d7d2cc7ba97c47a5e.png     image.thumb.png.4178fe9ed352480361ea857c5ac66cfa.png  Wobbly in recovery, with one of the medical instruments, behind him.

His Twin Sister, Darcey Bella was bought (born) a Day later, amongst the Chocolates in Sainsburys, in Bromley and evidently, pushed her Twin Brother, out of the womb. Here she is, pictured below:

image.thumb.png.f807d8c4328baff5dce51dad5d678686.png  She is a lot bigger than her Twin and like a lot of girls, has a craving for chocolate.

Colette was considering getting a Cavalier King Charles Puppy, which Colette had chosen the name Darcey for but we thought with my uneasy balance, could have resulted in my tripping over it. 

Apologies Malcolm but I have been behaving myself lately, re. the zany, O/T  Posts.

Right, enough of my nonsense I'm off to other Threads.

Stay safe and beware of "Dennis the Menace".

Adios!!

Regards,

Tom.   :hi:

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Dunstable got a good snow cover but melted in the afternoon. Hills around the area did ok. I drove to the highest point in the Chiltrens to have my snow fix. Some photos from Wendover Wood this mornin

Nice bit of snow here this morning, so that means it won’t go down as one of the worst winters I can remember but only by the skin of its teeth . Photos below ?

Shower cloud lit up nicely by the low sun earlier this evening north of Heathrow where I work.

Posted Images

46 minutes ago, TomSE12 said:

Morning all,

Category 2 - Predict the exact and final date, of the last named North Atlantic Storm, and it's name, to enter the Shipping Forecast area. The name of the Shipping area, it first enters and its central Barometric Pressure, at that time.

Category 3 - Predict the exact Date and Temperature (to the nearest degree Celsius), of the last AIR Frost of the Season. 

Category 4:- Predict the FIRST Date that 21c (70f), is recorded in the South East Region.

The following Members need to complete Category 2, with their prediction of the date and central pressure of the last named Storm, when it enters the Shipping Forecast areas, at that time:

Claret047, Kentspur, Lewis028, Lottiekent  and John Stevens.

Don't worry, if you're not considering to continue, in my Competition. But if you do, could you please Post your predictions, on my Competition Thread, in the Lounge Forum. Thank you.

Adios!!

Regards,

Tom.   :hi:

Good Morning Tom

Congratulations on your forthcoming wedding anniversary.

I noticed that I have not given the temperature for the final air frost nor the central barometric pressure of the last named storm.

I will attempt to add this information over on the Lounge Section.

Enjoy the weekend in spite of Dennis

Kind Regards

Dave

PS I have just visited the Lounge and can find no trace of the competition

Edited by claret047
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As claret047 pointed out above, my Competition is NOT in the Lounge Forum, it's in the Weather Discussion Forum.

Apologies! :oops:

For those of you wanting to enter the Competition but aren't sure what to do, I recently Posted my Wife's, my Son's and my Predictions, on the Thread. See link below:

https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/93240-nw-weather-predicting-competition/

But don't be mad and copy my predictions, I'm the worst "Judge" of all!!

Regards,

Tom.   :hi:

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5 hours ago, Mal Kapadia said:

A few people saying this will be worse than last weekend. Any thoughts on that?

It doesn’t look quite as severe as Ciara but will still be a significant storm. Looks like the rain will be more of an issue than the wind in our region but will still be very windy, especially if we get any squall lines.

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they shuting  our main bridge  here  in ipswich  at 3  this afternoon for at least  16 hours

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49 minutes ago, stainesbloke said:

It doesn’t look quite as severe as Ciara but will still be a significant storm. Looks like the rain will be more of an issue than the wind in our region but will still be very windy, especially if we get any squall lines.

Famous last words, we are paying close attention to tomorrow when a squall is expected to move through that's what the strong winds are on the GFS again tomorrow.. It brings nearly 90mph to the south coast and 80mph inland as it moves through.. Although I can't see that happening 

Screenshot_20200215_060749_com.android.chrome.thumb.jpg.07205a483113425caff2c5c79e8e6b94.jpg

Screenshot_20200215_060734_com.android.chrome.thumb.jpg.d99ea3dc3b15d98b07812fc51b65a56c.jpg

Edited by Surrey
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4 minutes ago, Surrey said:

Famous last words, we are paying close attention to tomorrow when a squall is expected to move through that's what the strong winds are on the GFS again tomorrow.. It brings nearly 90mph to the south coast and 80mph inland as it moves through.. Although I can't see that happening 

Well... Its a bit gusty here already in Tunbridge Wells.  And so many of the fields are waterlogged already.  My friend has bought her cows in... Mud nearly up to the top of her Wellington Boots...And before any of our resident comedians comment the cows are in her barn NOT her house! ??????????

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Just now, Sidsnake said:

Well... Its a bit gusty here already in Tunbridge Wells.  And so many of the fields are waterlogged already.  My friend has bought her cows in... Mud nearly up to the top of her Wellington Boots...

I have a lake at the back of my garden its an old gravel pit that was bought and incoperated into the massive garden that belongs to the house a few doors down from me.. It's nearly over top thankfully there is bank in the way to stop it flooding my garden however back in 2015 I think it was, it did flood my garden and now all the people around the lake are worried again.. It must draim a lot of water from the local area or have a small stream that feeds into.. When it's light I'll take photos and I gaurntee by tomorrow afternoon it's over.

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Just seen the latest weather forecast, they have definitely have overreacted with the rain for this part of the region, looks like it’s is mostly going to miss the Far East which is good news, light patchy rain with the odd heavy burst passing through during today, Sunday now looks rain better too, again patchy rain with the odd heavy showers. No where near the prolonged rain that was expected. Let’s see how bad the wind will be then? 

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Forecast for SE region is for heavy rain later Saturday and most of Sunday, with Amber warnings, so which forecast are you looking at. 

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Morning all,

Want to give a final reminder to those S.E.Regional Members looking to enter my Weather predicting Competition, as Claret047 pointed out Yesterday, it's NOT on the Lounge Thread but in the Weather Discussion Forum. See link below.

Weather Predicting Competition!

Hope you're all paying attention and listen very carefully as I will say 'zis only once more!!

The entry deadline for the Competition, expires at 9 PM Tonight.

image.thumb.png.dfe16f3d8cc60901274f33364a2f226c.png

Looks like "Dennis the Menace" is going to gatecrash, mine and my Wife's 10th Wedding Anniversay, with no repeat of the Snow Grains we experienced outside Sidcup Registry Office, in 2010.

Hope you all have an enjoyable Day, and stay safe!!

Regards,

Tom. :hi:

 

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23 minutes ago, SLEETY said:

Forecast for SE region is for heavy rain later Saturday and most of Sunday, with Amber warnings, so which forecast are you looking at. 

I was meaning this part of Norfolk not to have the continuation of rain 

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Sorry the location doesn't show on mibike

3 minutes ago, slater said:

I was meaning this part of Norfolk not to have the continuation of rain 

Sorry, your location doesn't show on mobile for some reason. Yes no warnings for Norfolk, but still Amber warning here, alas. 

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2 hours ago, Snow Queen one said:

Happy Anniversary Tom.  Hope you have a great day despite the weather.

Thanks S.Q.1,

Poor Colette has had to do an early Morning shift, at the Chislehurst Care Home where she works.

But I've told her, under no circumstances is she to stay on and do a double shift, on our Wedding Anniversary.

I don't care if they're short staffed, especially after that insulting £5 Amazon Gift Voucher "Christmas Box", that the Staff were given.(Btw, Colette hasn't received hers yet!!).An en suite Room costs the Resident £1,500 per Week and if the Residents don't have any savings, Bromley Social Services  have to pay BUPA.

So, someone is seeing that money but it certainly isn't the Staff!!:nonono: No doubt the CEO, is doing ok.

I know I'm biased but I happen to think it's a national disgrace, how little importance we attach to caring for the ill and elderley, in this Country.

Right, I'll get off my Soapbox now.

Meanwhile in Weather news, the rain from Dennis is knocking on our door.

https://en.meteox.com/ 

Regards,

Tom.   :hi:

 

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6 hours ago, Surrey said:

Famous last words, we are paying close attention to tomorrow when a squall is expected to move through that's what the strong winds are on the GFS again tomorrow.. It brings nearly 90mph to the south coast and 80mph inland as it moves through.. Although I can't see that happening 

Screenshot_20200215_060749_com.android.chrome.thumb.jpg.07205a483113425caff2c5c79e8e6b94.jpg

Screenshot_20200215_060734_com.android.chrome.thumb.jpg.d99ea3dc3b15d98b07812fc51b65a56c.jpg 327.76 kB · 0 downloads

GFS has amped up the storm somewhat on recent runs, though I was looking at the Met Office impact matrix and that was less severe than Ciara. It’ll still be a significant event. These storms do have a habit of throwing a surprise or two in. For our area near the Thames, it’s the rain amounts that are of more concern.

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